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Santa Anita for Sunday 17 January 2016

2nd half of the card appears more difficult than the 1st but I sure could live with the morning line price for the top choice in the last 4 races. Don't forget there is racing tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Secret Command   might be a bounce candidate off of such a strong move forward in his last.......but if he isn't he will be mighty tough here at his favorite racing surface

2  No Contingency   will likely duel in one nasty pace with our 3rd choice but he has gone eye to eye in the past and still held together.....ignore his last as he was placed quite a bit over his head

4  Sacred Ovation   will need to hold together off of a strong pace but his record is awfully good when competing at six panels with 9 of 14 in the exacta

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Kristinite   five year old mare is in an every other mode and today sets up for the positive end of the pendulum.......strong race at SA two back....better than par and it was run at 1 1/16th on the dirt.......1 mile seems to fit better.....trainer has been firing on all cylinders

1  Quinnette   consistent sort and especially so on conventional dirt (19 8 5 1)......well spotted to win and Ellis could use a win or two and Blanc knows this gal well and could also use a score.....hope they are both "hungry"

5  Light Striker   good history when Gutierrez rides......by far at her best on the SA dirt.....should welcome return to it

 

race 3   average clarity

1  Ryderroo   been absent for over 16 months but returns versus easier (cuts MC price by more than half) which makes total sense as she is now six years of age and still a maiden.......works say she is meant and ready

3  Just Bookin   major league rider upgrade especially since Maldonado is riding extremely well of late.........last 3 endeavors at the track fit......and a recent reassuring drill.....should be in the hunt from the get go likely in a nice stalking position

4  Secret Chords   voided claim in last but Gutierrez sticks with the horse and she has been given 7 weeks off to get her in good enough condition to compete.......should be loose....thus dangerous

6  Back Street Cat

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Jade with Envy   fairly consistent sort and that is especially true when running on the Santa Anita turf course........proven at the distance......appreciates ample time between starts and Baltas shows patience and gives it to her.......recent works seem improved.......Bejarano sticks around

9  Peggy Sue's Loose   double barrel action for Baltas........seems like a good claim of a consistent turf runner .......first at 1 1/8th might be a problem with a pedigree that doesn't scream long distance......but.....the way she has been finishing at 1 1/16th hints she can handle it

6  Dressed to a T   done little wrong in her two lifetime grass races both at 1 1/16th on the sod.......and she is bred to appreciate 9 furlongs and or even longer........might have rated higher if her work regiment wasn't less than what it was prior to her other two starts

5  Stole a Kiss

 

race 5    above average clarity

2  Mighty Mousse   went off at 1 to 2 at Lrc 6 Sept 14 and was given a very wide trip by M Smith and finished 3rd.......away since but couldn't be working any better......only mount of the day for Garcia and the only horse that Mr. Baffert has running this afternoon.....should be a ton if he runs to his works and gets a better trip this go around

4  Jazzie Cat   very solid MC debut back in March.........returns 10 months later for his 2nd lifetime start off of better a.m. work......and steps out of claiming into a MSW affair......believe he matured nicely and that he will show it this afternoon fresh off of the bench

3  Seattle Salt   best early speed in the field and just worked a vastly improved impressive 46 flat one week ago for his new trainer Matt Chew.....sitting on best ever

5  Nardo

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Exemplar   slowly developing sort just fired his best ever and it appears as if the 1 1/16th distance will be to his liking as he finished up well at 1 mile two races back.......and he gets in light with the 7 lbs bug up

6  Black Tie   seems better at a route and this is his 1st route running on Lasix..........and we get a rider upgrade and with 5 lbs less to carry.....that should be with at least 2 or 3 lengths of improvement

2  Book Thirty Four   lifetime best was his lone effort at today's 1 1/16th mile distance........and it was run off of 40 days rest........38 days since his layoff run in last which was a protected from claim race......and drops.....hmmmmm

7  It Behooves Me

 

race 7    below average clarity

5  Generosidade   runs well fresh and handles the marathon distance.......faced tons better in both USA races and was only beaten by an average of 2 3/4 lengths.......can low percentage trainer Lobo have her ready fresh again?......obviously I'm leaning that way

9  Sweet as a Rose   love her pedigree to appreciate running a marathon for the 1st time in her career.......and the way she finishes up supports that......very nice work regiment......4 lbs off for today.....and her trainer is rather hot

2  Gage A   Drysdale (a decent 10 for his last 50 in non Graded Stakes) has shown he can get this gal to fire fresh and so he likely has her ready for today's affair .......and 12 furlongs should be right up this mare's alley

3  Havanna Bell

 

race 8    below average clarity

7  Nine Point Nine   needs her best and believe she is about to bring it off of vastly improved a.m. work......and "vastly improved drills" for one hot trainer in Cerin

10  Tribal Headdress   don't see anyone in this field capable of running 1:10 flat at GG like this filly did 2 races back.....not too shabby in a alw race in her last either......tough post but she has the ability to overcome it and the right pilot

8  Heed to Speed   successfully rated in her last and graduated.....always like when a horse learns how to rate for the 1st time.......especially so when they are trained by a top conditioner like Miller

3  Sooner Time

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Lady Valeur   beat 11 foes to run 2nd in her debut which was run in Ireland at 40 to 1 odds.........likely more talented than her connections thought.....shows up in the U S of A with Gallagher who is hot......1st on lasix.....and Stevens is up for his lone mount of the day......that'll do

2  Nodiac   no shot in her 1st run in the USA as she sat too far off of a ridiculously slow pace......and she sure exploded late.....should be feeling great for her 2nd start in the USA and her 1st down the hill....... and she has the best off pace jock riding down the hill by my book in Raffy B

10  Proud 'n' Ready   30 to 1 in MSW dirt debut has tune-up written all over it.....solid works since......Eurton has been on an impressive extended roll much of it with today's jock up......filly is bred nicely to handle a grass sprint ......danger city

13 AE   Newcombe

6  How Unusual

4  Celestial Smile

3  Lethal Legacy

 

Posted on January 17, 2016 at 10:17 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections