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Los Alamitos for Thursday 21 April 2016

For those of you planning on purchasing our special ($34.95) full card selections for Churchill Downs on Derby Day, May 7th please don't procrastinate as logistically it makes in easier on yours truly setting up the emails that will be sent at about 6 p.m. central time on Friday night, May 6th. Thank you.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   below  average clarity

2  Sacred Ovation    75% of his lifetime starts in general fit solidly here including his last......and then there is his 4 wins in 4 starts at Lrc.....should be in the mix from the get go

3  Backstreet Boss   six-year-old gelding has only missed the exacta once in his last 8 starts with most of them run with high % Lorenzo Ruiz as the conditioner.......gelding is a respectable (3 1 1 0) at Lrc........ and Ruiz/Bednar are 4 for their last 7 as a team

4  Finallygotabentley   3 of 4 lifetime races at Lrc fit fine.......last might have been nothing more than a turf tightener for today.....seems like a player if that is the case

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Carulli   decent race off of the extended hiatus from the game.....and the works since suggest the needed effort muscled up this Baltas runner as only a race can do sometimes.......cut back of.1/2 furlongs appears to be a plus

1  Concorso   broke poorly in MC debut and that is not a good thing in an abbreviated 5F sprint race.....showed some life after the bad beginning........had to cope with the 1 post in his debut and unfortunately has to today as well......or......would have been top choice

2  Our Luck Day   Jones is low % with first time starters but mom has tossed 6 winners from 7 starters......not impossible but easy to place as 3rd selection

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Black Tie  drop makes sense as this five-year old is at his best at Lrc (3 1 2 0) and was only claimed for $4,500 more than he runs for today.......and blinkers off to shake things up and a recent improved work hint the equipment change has done as intended

5  Better Bet   obviously coming off of a major physical set back as when last seen in Sept. he won an open company nw alw race at Lrc and now shows up at the bottom 8K level.......hurting bad but the trainer also owns the horse so has a little more incentive to place this gelding where he can win before he goes bad

2  Moonlight Meeting   obviously a bad claim of a declining gelding but Miyadi is not too bad dropping following a claim.......so maybe this fellow has one more decent run left in him.......decent enough to compete at the lowest level of his life

 

race 4    average clarity

2  C W Road  debut 2 back fits very solidly here and her latest (with moisture in the surface) which is not as strong still might fit fine at today's lower lower.....fast track and a jockey upgrade from her last.......good chance for her 1st visit to the circle of joy

4  Cecile's Demand   57 to 1 for a Mulhall runner has gimme written all over it.....and the "gimme" did as intended as it muscled up this filly if her sizzling bullet 4F work is worth a hoot......switch to Pedroza might be the key as he sure has been getting the job done for Mulhall and company the last 2 or 3 months

3  Jeana Baby   only race on fast rated dirt fits OK and is disguised somewhat by not the best of trips......filly should have the best sprint endurance of her life today coming off of a grass route race

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Espirito Bueno   return to the race wars in his last following an 1 1/2 year layoff from the game was better than appears......dueled in solid pace on a dull rail.....went off 42 to 1 hinting he wasn't exactly fully fit......with his early speed the cut back in distance is a plus......back in 11 days......might be 3 or 4 lengths better today.....lookout if he is and gets a better trip

2  Templar   need to lead type might be able to grab the front end here over the 1 and the 3 and if he gets it he has only 5 panels to hang onto it

4  Ebony Gold   like the work regiment quite a lot for this laid up 6 yr old and would have put him on top if this race was at 6F or further......but......he has to come from far back in a 5F race

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Caradini   only filly in the race that has competed at a route on the dirt and competed quite well to boot....lifetime best was her latest which was at 1 1/16th and 1 mile seems like a slightly better fit

1  Holiday Movie   bad trip MSW debut breaking a length tardy and running 4 wide......did decently to run a 2 1/2 beaten lengths 4th.........2 reassuring 5F works since.....draws Desormeaux who by my book is the best jock available at Lrc at the moment

6  Lily   likely needs a small move forward today in lifetime start no. 3......but.....only mount of the day for Smith who rode this filly in both lifetime starts......he must like something about her.......seems dangerous

 

race 7    average clarity

NOTE:   This is an exceptionally strong field for LRC one that SA or Dmr would be proud to present.

1  Roy H   fired an amazing 115:2 fresh off of the bench in his latest and did so running wide on a somewhat rail biased afternoon.....nice reassuring 3F drill at Slr since......same or better seems likely today

8  Mrazek   away since early August but he won his MSW debut by 5+ lengths and then followed that up with 2 2nd's and a win in 3 more starts before being laid up.........likely ready as he has been in all 4 lifetime starts and if he is he will be a major player

2  Seventh Sense   powerful awakening in 2nd lifetime start and he has trained awfully well since......might be the speed of the speed in this spot and with some endurance put into him coming off of a 6 1/2 furlong strong gate to wire win

3  Justin Squared

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Jonny's Choice   handles LRC quite nicely and is well proven fresh off of the bench.....and Glatt is better than average with sprinters running off of 45 to 90 day breaks.......rather sure this seven-year is ready to roll

6  Okaad   back in the Aguirre barn following two races with Mike Chambers as the listed trainer.....gelding appears to be on the upswing........and he is 1 for 1 at 5 1/2F at Lrc......seems like a major factor in this affair

3  Tripski   lookout if this elder statesman (he's 9) fires his race 3 back which is very strong and run turf to dirt.......turf in latest......dirt today.......hmmm

1  Pulla Train

9  Hope 'n Pray

5  Runaway Wildcat

 

Posted on April 21, 2016 at 6:52 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections