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Santa Anita for Sunday 3 July 2016

Not the easiest of cards to decipher. Let's call it a 4 on the 1 to 10 scale of things. We will be back with you tomorrow for the 4th of July race card.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Swiss Minister   this three-year old seems best when ridden aggressively and so it makes sense that Pedroza has had success on him.....and the veteran jockey has been teaming up successfully with Mulhall for the last 3 or 4 months

4  Secret Room   3 for 4 in the win column when sprinting........and working well......seems deserving of the step up in claiming 1st out following the Mullins claim

1  Nusret   vet scratch on May 30th but this gelding has been able to work 5X since......and if he is OK he sure is competing at the right number of furlongs........3 for 5 at 6F and all three were at SA

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Tammy's Window   very solid works for this O'Neill 1st timer at LA......just bought for 65K in April so starting in a mdn75K doesn't bother me in the least....should be tough

2  Besides the Point   another working as if she is meant and ready in her MC debut......and Baffert is so dangerous when he works a given starter multiple times out of the gate....in this case 4 times

6  Tattooed Kitty   works are decent although not as impressive as our top two selections.......not impossible but this Miller 1st timer was easy to place as the 3rd selection

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Dr, Go   Mike Harrington has been more reliable lately that he has been in some time....and he sure has this colt training as if he can make a 2nd straight move forward this afternoon....and he is likely the one to overcome if he does

2  Matriculate   not too crazy about this fellows last race as a blistering pace handed the race to him........he sat towards the rear and was out kicked in the stretch and wound up 4th.......but then again....... his two previous races fit and he might rebound

3  Carlos Dangerous   improving sorthas something to prove on conventional dirt but if he handles it he might go gate to wire in this spot

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Amberella   low percentage trainer but he seems to have a handle on this runner......his mare likes the distance....and the trainer is able to get Prat to ride......decent reassuring 5F work in preparation for today

2  Veronica Bay   like the rider switch quite a bit when considering the 7 lbs weight break.......cut back in distance of one furlong might help this mare cope better in the late stages of this extended sprint

6  Sweet Profit   Vann Belvoir seldom wastes Bejarano with mounts that aren't live so the switch to him hints this diminishing five-year old still has enough in her to be a factor running at the lowest level of her career

 

race 5    below average clarity

7  Touching Rainbows   might be speed of the speed.....drops down in maiden claiming......and makes a significant rider upgrade......that's good enough to make top pick-a-roo in this weak looking group

6  Fashionly Handsome   blinkers back on and Bejarano riding for the 1st time for Baltas.......the trainer/rider consistently make for a very dangerous team

1  Blyde River   might be best of the late runners and that makes him dangerous as many in this two turn cheap maiden three-year old claimer fall apart late

3  Latest Craze

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Celebrity Status   trainer is quite successful winning back to back races and man does he show confidence in his claimer here as he steps him up 3 levels.......and.....the 7 year old sure seems to appreciate breaking from the outside and especially so in routes

5  Jonny's Choice   scratched out of an 8K affair yesterday for today's significantly tougher level which similarly to our top selection hints he feels awfully good.....and gets a major league jockey upgrade for today

1  Roman Tizzy   top two choices are big steps up while this gelding is making a big step down.....dangerous for sure but......careful as Cerin tends to give nothing away

2  Dive Down

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Zealous Tale   expensive purchase has to start his career as a 5-year-old so he likely has run into many setbacks......thus the connections are willing to place him in a MC30K......works sure are good enough and when is the last time you saw Ellis finish with 4 straight gate works prior to a 1sters debut

7  Couchsurfing  another training as if he is all set to compete at a high level in his debut.......R Mandella seldom debuts an individual in a maiden claimer which I kind of like as it supports the notion this fellow is ready

1  Soap Box   best of those who have raced......might be better suited to the Lrc dirt than the SA dirt......if that is all wet I have placed this speed horse with only 5F to run too low

6  Skookum

 

race 8    below average clarity (hard to toss anyone out in this affair)

5  Out of Patience  tepid top selection gets top billing mostly for how consistent he has been in 2016 when competing on the dirt

7  Airfoil   another who is fairly reliable in most of his racing starts specially when sprinting

3  Head South   doubt his layoff last was a "needed race" as the works prior were good.....but.....if it was I should have placed him as my top selection

2  Magna Warrior   

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Living The Life   very consistent sort and almost beat the boys in her last at GG.......a.m. prowess since hint she exited the race in great shape.....should be in the hunt from the get go

2  Vale Dori   fabulous pick-up by Baffert has won a Grade 1 in Argentina and was only beaten by 1 1/2L in March vs. the guys in the UAE Derby........if she is fully ready I should have placed her on top.....but......her work regiment by Baffert standards isn't that good and the connections might be using this race to get ready for bigger and better opportunities down the road

4  Belle Hill   very nice consistent campaign in 2015 (7 5 0 1 1) for high % trainer Larry Ross.......winds up in the R Mandella barn and Mandella seems to have his new shooter all wound up and ready to roll.....four year old filly is 3 for 3 in dirt routes......not out of this by any means

7  Show Stealer

5  Gloryzapper

 

Posted on July 3, 2016 at 9:55 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections