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Santa Anita for Monday 4 July 2016

HAPPY 4TH OF JULY!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Myheartsinthecity   ultra consistent "at the distance" having only missed the board once in 13 races......does tend to hang but seems more focused with the blinkers on........filly has put her head in front in the stretch 3 of her last 5 wearing blinkers with one win

1  Street Goddess   last is decent and the cut back in distance appears to be a plus.....not much pace for this off pace runner to close into but it might not matter in this race lacking talent and a hanger as the top pick

3  Teasing Moment   laid up since July of 2015 but training up to snuff and is 1 for 2 at the distance....trainer has done decent with very limited starters in 2016...might sit close up in a race that should yield a lackluster pace

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Ike Walker   sharp right now and he is quite capable of holding his form for a series of races......and he sure appears to sit in a nice stalk position behind the 5 horse who I believe will falter in the stretch

1  Tribal Jewel   last three races fit and back to Bejarano who is an obvious rider upgrade for today......he does have to deal with high weight of 127 lbs or might have considered as top pick

4  Fly Lexis Fly   only 1 for 7 on the SA dirt but his last isn't bad and he seems better running off of short rest........and 23 days since his latest endeavor qualifies for that

 

race 3    above average clarity

2  Sunday Rules   best early speed in this race by quite a bit and the most dangerous speed jock on the grounds is aboard......5 for 5 at Santa Anita.....3 for 3 at the distance........no brainier to put as top pick

1  Lost Bus   4 for 6 at SA and 0 for 8 elsewhere......so you know Sherlock will have her ready for a peak preformance.....a.m. work supports the notion.....likely to sit a few lengths behind our top choice and go after her in the stretch drive

4  Harlington's Rose   late runner will need a better pace set-up than appears on paper or she will run out of real estate to get up in time

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Mt Veeder   Baffert colt has done little wrong (outside of breaking bad in his last start) in 3 lifetime sprint races with 2 wins and a 3rd in his latest race........away since March but training exceptionally well even by lofty Bob Baffert standards.......good shot to get back on track today

3  Drefong   double barrel action from Mr Baffert........colt appears to be getting better with every race and retains Mike Smith who has won 3 of his last 6 riding for Bob.......would have been top choice if he didn't have to deal with the significant early speed of the 5 horse

2  The Gomper   laid up Hollendorfer colt is training as if the layoff did him a world of good as he is working vastly better than he was last winter when last seen......might be flying late

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Leveler   nice forward move in 2nd lifetime start and a sizzling 5/8ths bullet drill put in since for this D'Amato filly ........another move in the desired direction seems highly likely this afternoon

4  C. C. Zipp   both lifetime races at SA running without blinkers are quite strong......she did get beat and outrun by our top choice in her last but she has upside potential running 2nd out following a long layoff

8  Lunar Empress   2 2nd's in 2 lifetime starts......been absent since November but is training as if she is ready.......and she will need to be and then some if she wants to overcome our top two selections

1  Little Dume

 

race 6    below average clarity

10  Light of the Moon   believe Hollendorfer waited for this 1st 2 yr old race available going as far as 5 1/2F as it likely suites this well bred filly 1st timer .......sure like that he worked her 6F.....should have good endurance when push comes to shove in the late stages

5  Auntjenn   Mulhall isn't all that hot with MSW 1st timers but this filly is training too well to ignore.....she shows hints of early speed in the a.m......hot rider/trainer combo in Pedroza/Mulhall

4  Line   Richard Mandella is only average at getting (more like wanting) 1sters ready at 1st asking but this filly is training like she is and draws Mr. Prat who is usually live with Mandella runners

3  Adorable

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Mysterious Miracle   four-year old filly was dead on the board in her last which tells me her turf race was likely a muscle her up gimme as only the grass can do sometimes.....and if that is the case ........a full-blown go go go is likely today on the dirt

6  Be a Lady   seems likely to get a nice position on or near the lead in what seems likely to be a reasonable paced affair......that's a scary proposition with Bejarano at the helm

4  Revenue Virginius   faced tougher in last and the effort might have been a gimme to set up today's drop vs. easier and keep the claiming vultures at bay....we shall see

2  My Fiona

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Mrazek   tossed a clunker at Belmont in his latest but returns home to a surface he sure appreciates.....O'neill colt appears to be the controlling speed in the race......seems tough if he rebounds off of a dismal effort in the Big Apple

1  Raised A Secret    loves the distance (9 4 3 2) and just popped a best of 107 bullet 5/8ths work at SA on 26 June.....all systems go for a big effort

3  Forest Chatter   loves the SA hill but alas the hill is not available.....gives the dirt another shot this time at 6F instead of 7F .......6F appears a better fit

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Atomic Action   not a weak work showing....like the consistency for a first timer who is working more like he belongs in a MSW race......he only cost $4K at sale so why not start in a softer mdn50K....and lastly Bonde is good with 1st time starters

6  Elkhorn Crown   nice debut albeit way back in December....but he is not eligible to be claimed so that is a big incentive for the connections to have him ready.....and the a.m. prowess supports the notion

9  Worldwide   has eaten plenty of cash of the win bettors but not the show bettors as he hasn't missed the board in all 6 lifetime starts.....likely needs to use his good early speed to get at least to the two path by the turn....might be rated too low if he does

4  Yet Another Nate

5  Junior Gilliam

1  Woodle B Awesome

Posted on July 4, 2016 at 9:38 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections