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Del Mar for Sunday 24 July 2016

What a difficult card to decipher. Do I small double carry-over for Wednesday.We shall see.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

5  Back Beauty   the only time Bonde risked losing this filly in a claiming race she ran her best ever and the effort is hidden by a bad trip......that was for 40K......up for 25K today and with a rider upgrade

4  Aiming Straight   decent layoff effort in latest......fits well if she builds off of the effort.....seems best at today's 5 1/2 panels

1  Ryderroo   SCRATCHED

7  Nazareth

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Singing Kitty   poor journey in latest as Bejarano tried the overland route thru-out the race.......in fact this filly has many bad trips in her history that hide her ability........small field.......a good post...... and..... Mr Bejarano out to make amends.....good trip seems likely today

2  Fanticola   best at one mile on the grass (6 3 1 2) and her race 2 back at the distance is very strong and somewhat disguised......Talamo is off to a dismal start at the meeting but he sure is familiar with this D'Amata runner as this is the 8th straight mount on her

1  Avenge   R Mandella is at his most dangerous 3rd out following layoffs (13 for his last 40 with another 16 2nd or 3rd)....that is the case today......sprint-sprint-route set up.......gets Prat back who is 2 for 4 on this filly

 

race 3    below average clarity

6  Above Board   laid up Baffert colt was a disappointment last Fall but drops and is training as if he is meant and ready to return some dividends and cut into the red ink

2  Ideal   SCRATCHED

1  Atypique   claimed by the red-hot Diodoro in late May.....off since.....returns as a 1st time gelding and with the blinkers on for the 1st time......and runs on the dirt for the 1st time with an excellent pedigree for it

7  Specimen  

Long-shot consideration:   3  Wild Mischief    trainer has run this one into shape and appears to be in decent shape now......good chance to sit mid pack and put in a good stretch run......rider seldom wins at the major S Cal racetracks but he sure helps the odds

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Hard Aces   smart scratch yesterday as he was looking at a Grade 2 that came up ridiculously strong......faces much easier here......acts like 12 furlongs is within his reach

6  Quick Casablanca   mostly competes on the sod but she has earned $287K on the dirt and only missed the board once .........comes from far back so the small field should help her pick an opening

2  Energia   six-year-old mare can run all day on the grass but what can she do on the dirt......gets enough of a weight break that if she takes to the dirt she likely fits.....doesn't seem to own the best pedigree for it

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Mystic Kid   poor trip in MSW debut.....showed life.....might have been a gimme anyway....switch from Smith to go to guy Baze for Diodoro........good route and grass pedigree.....trainer is hot

4  Bourque   3 to 5 in debut and ran 2nd.....then.....8 to 1 in 2nd out and ran up the track....maybe word was out it was a public work-out? ...... O'Neill is solid in these early 2 yr old grass route races........rebound city

2  Beantown Boys   double barrel action for O'Neill.....useful debut......Gutt takes the 2nd pick.......Raffy lands here......such a deal......mom has tossed 2 grass winners

5  Super Echelon

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  Justonemorething   key race 2 back.....then ran quite strong vs. better......and he received too wide of a trip for a 5F affair......trainer/rider have been very live in their last 4 starts as team.....believe that continues today

9  Incline Village   only seems to fire these days with ample time between starts.....gets that today and drops significantly.....been a long time since Koriner has "fired on all cylinders" but be is right now

5  Coyote Fly   3 of the last 4 efforts fit well for this 4-year-old colt......I like when Sherman drops below where he claims a horse....that is the case here......and the aging nice guy trainer owes Elliot a live horse as they are 0 for their last 8 on the board

10  I B Mike

Long-shot consideration:   7  Allovertwistabout   undefeated in 3 lifetime sprints albeit at Boise......but if any Idaho bred is ever going to compete in any S Cal race it would be in an abbreviated sprint of 5 1/2F or less......like the 58:4 this fellow ran at 2 in his Boi debut in 2014

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  It Behooves Me   not much on the sod but he did run his best ever on the lawn in latest.......and it appears to have muscled him up as his works since are strong especially his last a best of 105 bullet 4F work......best ever turf last......better on the dirt.......adds up to him producing one of his best dirt races ever this afternoon

9  Alex Rossi   gimme in his last to drop and go go go this afternoon......and he best go go early to clear all or most by turn one....showed tremendous early speed in a dirt route last Fall at Dmr

5  Dream Team   very suspicious drop and definitely not the kind you would want to claim.... but....Baffert often gets an effort or two out of these kind before they go bad

1  Midnight Destiny

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Poshsky   just fired his lifetime best (and better than par for today's level) on the grass....that race was at Santa Anita and I believe he is even better on the Dmr turf....rider/trainer are 4 for their last 8 as a combo

5  Alert Bay   unreal consistency and I actually have him slightly better in his last whereshe lost to our top choice.....2nd only because his only race on the Del Mar turf wasn't so hot

2  Ambitious Brew   best down the SA hill but he can route as well just not as dangerous.......one for one for Prat.....good post and tactical speed.....should get a good trip

8  Soi Phet

 

race 9    below average clarity

8  Surf Shack   tepid top choice shows hints of some early speed and appears to have enough furlongs put in to be ready for his MSW debut.....Desormeaux often gives them a race but I don't believe that is the case here

6  Farley    O'Neill has three in here and I like this 1st timer the best as he is being trained very aggressively over at LA with less notice by the clockers and other watchful eyes

1  Orejas   just bought in March so the connections had an idea of what they were getting......not much of a trainer with MSW 1sters but this one sure appears ready and draws Prat

4  Blue Anzul   SCRATCHED

Long-shot consideration:   5  Midnight Pleasure   you seldom will see a $310K purchase just bought in April and training well go off at a big price but you likely will here.......reason......"no name" connections

 

race 10    average clarity

1  Street Moxie    love when Palma claims and shows big drills.......that is the case and then some here.....and look who he gets to ride......only needs a little more than his last and he is likely to provide it

6  Zinvor   trainer shows signs of awakening ......4 yr old gelding is consistent and especially so at today's one mile turf distance......and he is 1 for 1 at Del Mar on the grass

4  Lucky J Lane   claimed by Ellis way back in mid May and he appears to have his near shooter all cranked up and ready and places him at a distance where he is 4 for 7 lifetime on the sod

12  Image of Joplin

3  Professor Burns

10  Tribal Tribute

Posted on July 24, 2016 at 11:08 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections