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Del Mar for Thursday 4 August 2016

Good looking Thursday card with one warning. The 3rd race is awfully tough.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Runaway Wildcat   high % trainer......high % eight year old......and has been in the exacta 7 of 10 "at the distance".......upset the apple cart at 16 to 1 with Vinnie Bednar up last Spring......Bednar is 1 for 1 at the meeting and 3 for his last 8 teaming up with trainer Ruiz

1  Celebrity Status   strange but dangerous entry here......Hess seldom uses Bejarano and this gelding seems best in routes.....but this is one weak looking 8K claimer for a horse who is has 3 wins - one 2nd - one 3rd - one 4th - one 5th over his last 8 afternoon endeavors all of which were at $8K

5  Ain't No Offer   logical drop of two levels as winning at Del Mar (even at the bottom 8K level) often takes a willingness to drop

6  Senator Bob

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Arrogate   extremely strong efforts in both lifetime route races winning by an average of just shy of 5 lengths......seems to be a Stakes runner but Baffert shows patience and gives him one more allowance race

3  Kristo   better than par efforts for this Sadler five year old in last two races.....but he still will need a little more this afternoon if our top selection runs his race

5  Tenienta Coronel   expensive claim made by Hess and company of a consistent route runner competing at CD.....not totally out of the picture if Hess improves him and he takes to the Del Mar dirt in a big way......not impossible but easy to make as the 3rd selection

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Moose Skowron   seems like a good spot to drop a notch as this (ball) player seemingly faces quite a bit softer.......seems very pointed for this race with no less than 5 drills over a 6 week break since his latest......that is meaningful for a cheap claimer especially when the D'A is in charge

2  Redneck Crazy   last win can the last time this youngster ran on the Dmr dirt......seems best at today's 6F distance......three year old is not much of a worker but was able to put in 3 drills since his last.....needs a rebound and believe he is going to provide one.....we shall see

7  Captain Akers   Miyadi is firing on all cylinders......major league rider upgrade......can sit in a nice outside 2 path stalk position.......might even grab the lead

3  Gathering Evidence

 

race 4    average clarity

3  First Scillian   very solid gate drills for this Hollendorfer 1st timer.......and I like the copious furlongs put into this two year old as this is the first 6F race for two year old filly claiming maidens this year in S Cal

6  Holey Mosey   best of those that have raced and Stevens sticks around.......Molly Pearson is 3 for her last 8 MSW to MC

1  Pattin for a Dance   talk about a public workout.......ran 8 furlongs on the grass just 6 days ago to muscle up and gain some endurance.......should be fit to handle the challenge of 6 furlongs of dirt today

 

race 5    above average clarity

2  Big Move  ran 3rd one alw level over her head in latest off of 6 weeks rest......back to the level she belongs and back in short rest which she appreciates.....and back to regular rider Bejarano who was absent for her last

7  Lemontagne   dangerous very consistent on the grass east coast invader.......and one dangerous trainer in 5F turf sprints in Wesley Ward.....should be prominent from the get go

8  Discatsonthesquare   speed crazy in last (21:1 & 43:3) with the blinkers on.....wisely removed today......and 1st time Stevens ......OK on the grass.....and.....5F seems like it will be a good fit

1  Lemon de Oro

 

race 6    above average clarity

2  Signature Cat   little shot to strut his stuff in last.....ran way too wide......2 previous races fit solidly....recent a.m. work is improved......seems up for those two "previous races" or maybe more

5  Prime Issue   public work-out like route turf race in last......major league jock upgrade and back to the dirt......races 2, 3 and 4 back all fit well......likely to rebound to one of those efforts today

3  Eight Spokes   last is strong and a repeat of the race gives him as a good a chance as anyone......if........he can run off of 5 weeks rest.......seems best off of more time between starts then that.....but ......Bejarano does stick around

1  Spirit Rules

 

race 7    average clarity   

5  Lunar Empress   very solid time/fig in last.....in fact the effort which was in a dirt sprint is better than par for today's higher level......owns decent turf and route breeding....... and....... 1st long and 1st turf is right in the wheelhouse of Mr. Baltas

6  How Unusual   has been facing better and been fairly competitive despite numerous bad trips.......a perfect 2 for 2 when not placed in Stakes races......should be a ton if she gets a clean trip but she seldom does

10  Nine Point Nine   Bejarano jumped off of our 4th choice once this speed filly drew in from the AE list.......definitely seems to own the best early gas in the race......won for fun the only time Raffy has been aboard

8  Sweet Halory

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Soap Box   exits a very fast for the level 5F sprint and now drops one notch......reliable gate horse and also a jockey who can hustle a given runner early......seems like a garden spot in another 5F race

5  Magic Taste   in that every other mode and today is the desired swing of the pendulum.......beat our top choice by a nose two back stalking a duel....might set up similarly today

4  Triple Crown   3 very unimpressive lifetime MSW races last winter......away since buts drops from MSW to the bottom MC level and returns as  first time gelding.....like our top choice she owns plenty of early speed with only 5 furlongs to stick around

8  Squash

3  Big Champion

 

Posted on August 4, 2016 at 11:02 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections