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Del Mar for Sunday 7 August 2016

I have had some very nice Arlington Million days over the years going way back to the inaugural. Not too shabby of results in 2013 & 2015 either. Chicago was my racing circuit for some 30 years until switching to Southern California. Great race card is well worth the price of the publication.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

5  Tooluckysupermoon   aggressive jock sure fits this Periban runner who is on the improve and deservedly steps up....last is disguised.......pressed the pace 3 wide on a somewhat biased inside day.....Pedroza is shooting for 3 straight today and carries 7 lbs less  which can help get another 1/2 furlong

2  Kyankes   Glatt keeps dropping his stock and winning.......not the best looking form for this filly but Bejarano is up and he easily has gotten the most out of this filly.........and a nice recent reassuring 5F work hints she is still physically OK

4  Audra   in the every other win mode and today and she is on the desired end of the pendulum today.......and the rider/trainer over the last two months are 4 for 8 as a team

 

race 2    below average clarity

4  Magical Touch   keeps improving and sure is competitive ( 4 3 1 0).....last is solidly better than par........she has won on fast dirt and on a sloppy track......that tells me she might handle the sod despite only an average at best pedigree for it

6  Doodetta   by far owns the best turf sprint credentials in the race and responds well to Raffy in the saddle.....but might run out of real estate to get up in time if the turf remains speed favoring as it has since switching to the 18 Ft position.....either way should be flying late

3  Pearl de Vere   given a break and the recent a.m. work over at Slr hints it has done this hard trying six year old mare some good.....we shall see

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Always Dangerous   on the improve so the drop to the bottom level claiming is a touch alarming but my guess is this filly has had enough time off (7 weeks) for the D'A to get her to feel good enough for today's race.....the kind you can support at the windows but wouldn't want to claim

4  If You Believe    cut back in claiming.....cut back in distance.......and seems like the controlling speed in the race.....and her trainer is having a good Del Mar meeting

3  Buzzer Beater    seems well prepared in the a.m. for her 1st start in S Cal off of the claim by Hartman at CD.......but she best get over her bad tendency t0 hang in the stretch

6  Spread the Joy

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Mr. Cartagena   eased in last but he is working as if little is troubling him......appears to be lone speed and with a 7 lbs bug boy that is 22% win in routes

4  Ezio   ( 4 2 1 0) lifetime on conventional dirt including a dirt win in his latest against easier.......but if he makes a move forward today he should fit and he seems likely to get a nice stalking of mid pack ground saving trip

2  Nahem   decent trainer 1st out following a claim in McLean.......back in only 9 days rest hints he might be feeling awfully good.....that..... or..... it is one unadvised move to bring your new purchase back so quick

3  Lucky Shoes to Win

 

 

race 5    below average 

4  Fortunate Queen   four consecutive gate works to finish her a.m preparation suggest this Baffert 1st timer is "well meant" in her debut.....draws Mike Smith and Smith has won 5 of his last 10 teaming up with Bob

1  Dorita's Candy   nicely bred Kruljac 1st starter has a prolonged work regiment that shows steady improvement......and mom has tossed 3 winners form 4 starters and all 3 preciously were able to graduate at two.......lastly I find it interesting that Desormeaux lands here

5  Noted and Quoted   par like MSW debut and I like that Baffert has put in a few speed works since as that is what she lacked in her debut......should be a factor in the outcome of this race

7  Cynthiana

 

race 6    above average clarity

6  Saint Dermot   improving sort is more than deserving at a shot in an alw. race and sure appears very sharp in the a.m.....Glatt is red hot and a good portion of that is when teaming up with Gonzo

4  Tribal Jewel   strong winning route race the last time this gelding ran on the Del Mar dirt back in Nov......seems very sharp both in the a.m. and p.m.......seems likely to get a stalk position behind our 3rd selection who is often vulnerable late

5  Got Even   Spawr seems to be trying to teach this seven year old to stalk rather than run off and lead.....but I doubt they take that tactic here (I wouldn't) as he sure can get an easy lead in this spot

1  Ultimate Luck

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Juno   solid dirt tune-up in last which was off of a layoff and was her 1st in the good old U S of A......5 for 5 on the lawn in Brazil with 4 of those Graded race wins.....very strong work series since her 6F dirt race where she had plenty left past the wire.....should show up "big time" today

2  Sobradora   4 for 4 on the grass in Argentina 3 of which were Graded races........away since Oct but should fit well here if this race isn't a tune-up of sorts......works hint it might be....but then again when Callaghan puts a top jock up for the 1st start in the USA of an overseas invader they are usually live.....Raffy up

8  Entrechat   this filly is best in two turn grass races and I believe her connections realize that now......and she should be on or near the lead and speed on the grass has been dynamite since the rails were moved to 18 feet out

3  Elektrum

Long-shot consideration:   6  My Year is A Day   quite the promising horse in France as a year old ( 6 3 2 0)......it has taken a long time for her to come around in the U.S. but it appears that D'Amato has figured her out.....last run on 19 June is quite good and she has put in 6 works since.....believe she moves forward today and if she does and gets a good trip she might upset the apple cart here

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Chao Chom   strong move forward in her 2nd lifetime start and more importantly it was her 1st on the Dmr surface....very reassuring 5F work since......Stute is having quite the rebound year and has been (amazingly) very reliable

3  Plane Lucky   won for fun to break her MSW in her latest.....three year old filly likes to run "fresh" and Richard Baltas gives her plenty of recovery time as in 10 weeks to be fresh for today

5  Q' Viva   seem like a sharp claim by Keith Desormeaux as this mare appears best at Del Mar....the trainer is very solid 1st following a claim and draws his bro to ride

8  Dis Smart Cat

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Angel On Point   solidly improved effort in latest as this filly had the 10 post and that led to a very wide trip......better post today and a rider upgrade.......should sit close up early and seems likely to save ground thru turn one.....and that is 1/2 the battle

6  Tinderella   extremely dangerous trainer in Mullins dropping from MSW racing to maiden claiming.......9 for his last 27 with 8 others hitting the board

4  Sweet Treat   solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route and the effort is better than appears in print....1st on the grass but owns a good pedigree to handle it....retains Prat......should be in the hunt from the get go and front runners have done well with the rail 18 feet out

9  Midnight Swinger

8  Victoria Falls

5  Lookinforadanger

 

 

Posted on August 7, 2016 at 10:52 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections