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Del Mar for Thursday 18 August 2016

OK card this afternoon with the excitement of a pick 6 carryover.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Ideal   last two races sure fit fine and Hollendorfer is very dangerous first time in maiden claiming......solid work series since stepping on the Del Mar dirt......trainer and rider have cooled off recently as a combo.....maybe they can begin to rectify that here

2  Nuke Laloosh   sure like when Miller drops off of layoffs and that is the case here......and this maiden returns as a 1st time gelding with good works......seems meant and ready fresh

5  Papa Gulf    another 1st time gelding dropping out of MSW racing into maiden claiming.......and trainer John Salder is having a stellar meeting.......dangerous

7  Clifton Beach   SCRATCHED OUT

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Compel   won the only time she was able to run off of very short rest (14 days).......that was run turf route to turf sprint with Bejarano up.......turf sprint to turf route this time around (off of 11 days rest) and back to Raffy who hasn't been up since the aforementioned win

1  Tequila Mary   consistent three-year old filly on the grass and she sure can finish up her races......bug boy had to cope with the 9 post in his last mount on her and predictably got caught wide......one post this afternoon......good history running off of short rest which is the case today

5  Optimism And Hope    hard to get more dangerous than when you get a stout grass rider and one of the more successful turf trainer's in D'Amato to team up......won for 50K in last......40K today.......beat our top choice in latest but didn't outrun him.......still might be rated too low

4  Dame Street

 

race 3    above average clarity

3  Rideo   powerful race in latest running 3 wide sitting close to a solid pace.......impressively won by daylight earning a fig the is better than par for today's higher level.....cut back of 1/2 furlong seems like a positive.........I am slightly leery that O'Neil and company didn't put her in a protected starter alw race

7  Look Me in the Eye   so so run 1st time on the Del Mar dirt in last......but the works on it since hint a run over the surface tuned him up for it......race 2 back fits and is disguised by running wide up on the pace and still winning.....and back to Raffy who wasn't aboard in his last

2  Golden Atlantic   dueled in nasty pace off of the extended hiatus from the game......now drops into much softer......race two back is better than appears in print and it doesn't look that bad in print either.....and back to the rider who rode that day.......drop is somewhat suspicious but if this four-year old is still in relatively good health he fits well in this spot

1  Cee the Preacher

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Zealous Tale   might be a good claim by O'Neill and friends whose two sprint running lines hint he might like route racing more.....1st time blinkers......1st time routing......believe O'Neill like myself believes he will lose this fellow at the claiming box .........which if true........enhances the chances that the trainer will have him feeling good for this race

1  Wild Mischief   SCRATCHED OUT  on the improve and his latest is somewhat disguised by running wide on a slightly biased rail day.......and today we get a significant rider upgrade....seems up for another (necessary) move forward

5  Ring Collector   very dangerous speed in this spot might never look back 1st out following the Hess claim......and I like that Hess legs up his buddy Kent Desormeaux

3  Bernardjfortunato

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Watch This Cat   believe the lead will go to one of the Baltas horses ( no.7 or no.1) or maybe the no. 2.....and I doubt Baltas will want his jocks to go head to head.....thus speed  has a decent shot of sticking around and this four-year old filly seems likely to sit 1st, 2nd or 3rd down the back-str........that with Bejrano aboard makes her dangerous

9  Do the Dane   best of the mid pack runners in this field needs to find a way over by the 1st turn and might find it with the 1 - 2- 7 all faster early......needs to cope with only 4 others to find the 2 path or better by the turn.....and Baze is usually decent finding a slot in situations that are doable

10  Midnight Swinger   same assignment (that Baze has to cope with - see no. 9 above) for Van Dyke with one more horse deal with........and you have to like that Van Dyke gave this filly good rides from posts 7 & 8 in his last two mounts

1  Marriedtoaminister

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  Appealing Lady   horrid trip in last (I have 9 lengths of trip adjustment in my notes) doing quite well to only get beat by 2 1/2L for the win.....same effort with just an OK trip and the circle of joy is doable.......note I said just an OK trip because she seldom gets a good trip

4  It Girl   seems likely to move forward 2nd out over the Del Mar surface and back in short rest which she has responded to in the past albeit with a different trainer

3  Olotta Shaken   dangerous speed in this spot and a jock hungry for a win.....hard not to root for Sutherland in her comeback who at one time sure was solid on the lawn

5  Warren's Purrfect   SCRATCHED OUT

 

race 7   above  average clarity

8  Danas Best   yet to earn his keep so the connections drop to cut the loses......firmly believe that many will put in a claim for him so D'Amato will have her at a peak to not only collect the 40K for the claim but another 40K for the win

5  Banze No Oeste   SCRATCHED OUT  has something to prove running 11 furlongs but he exits a race where 2nd and 3rd came back to win and win impressively.......and this Brz invader might have needed the race to get acclimated to his drastically different environment........big 6 furlong work since the race hints that he did

1  Pretentious   had little shot to close from the rear as the pace being set up front was ridiculously slow in the version of this race run on 22 July......likely feels good to be able to work twice following a marathon race......not out of the picture here by any means

7  Bronzino

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Y0u're The Reason   beaten 7 lengths in a MSW debut with K John up.....now she's in a maiden claimer with G Stevens up........that is worth at least 7L or maybe more....and William Morey is 42% win with his last 2 dozen MSW to MC.....yikes

6  Hotflickarue   35 to 1 in MSW debut (many of you know the drill) strongly suggests that the race was a gimme to drop into MC and be at full throttle for Eurton and company in her 2nd lifetime start

9  Victory Seeker   another with little support at the windows in her debut......not out of this if she makes a logical forward move......but easy to place as our 3rd selection

5  Starr of Quality

7  Its Not So Easy

2  So Heres the Thing

 

Posted on August 18, 2016 at 8:18 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections