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Del Mar for Friday 26 August 2016

Take note that the first post time today is 3:30 pacific time. Seems like a decent card. Let's call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

8  Westmont   owns good speed and speed has been dynamite at 5 1/2F this meeting........decent speed rider......good trainer with 2-year-old runners........last should do the trick unless I am wrong about the 3rd choice slipping

4  Pacific Song   useful MC debut in last and claimed......and the works since the claim (and putting on the blinkers) are improved suggesting his new trainer Mike McCarthy has a good handle on his new addition to his barn

2  Rim Ditch   this drop out of MSW racing to maiden claiming makes little sense to yours truly.......two nice MSW 2nd's with a low percentage rider up......only one drill since his last 6 weeks ago......little doubt in my mind they want to lose the horse.....but.....maybe the youngster has one decent enough effort left in him to handle easier than he has been facing

1  Mikeys Glory

 

race 2    average clarity

2  A Red Tie Day   last is better than appears in print with about 6L of trip trouble.....but maybe more importantly this Baltas grass runner was gelded since his last and the works since are very nice.......so.......I believe the surgery improved this fellow like they hoped it would and that it will show today

1  Papacoolpapacool   seems like a good spot to put the blinkers on especially with a recent speed work put in.....as this spot seems to favor those up close early and I think we will see this fellow up close today.....trainer is solid 1st time blinkers and 3rd out following a layoff.....both being the case today

3  Poshsky   strong race two back fits here.......and he won at today's 9F on the turf last Fall at Dmr in solid time.......I noted there was a lack of support at the windows in his last and his race looked a bit like a public work-out of sorts.....why?......maybe to put some doubts into the minds of the claiming vultures so as to drop into high-priced claiming and not get snatched away

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Bernin Sensation   4 straight gate works for this Baffert 1st time starter strongly suggests he is "meant and ready" in his MSW debut......top Cal trainer and top Cal rider finally have teamed up on a consistent basis (what took them so long) and the combination has been consistently over 40% win and 80% in the money for some time now.....yikes

6  What'sontheagenda   good debut and decent works since.....likely needs a small move forward today to hit the winners circle and might provide one

1  Unbridled Envy   difficult post for some youngsters to handle but the works here are too good to ignore for this Yakteen first time starter....not out of this if this colt has a good head on his shoulders to deal with the 1 post in his debut into the wonderful world....... that is .......thoroughbred racing

4  Oopper Wallah

 

race 4    average clarity

5  El Koreano   improving speed horse smartly steps up following the Knapp claim....5 1/2F has been very speed friendly this meeting and this three-year old gelding can really turn it on early......and Knapp is a solid 8 for his last 32 1st after a claim

4  Pete's Play Call   strong effort (and disguised bad a bad trip) the last time this gelding was up for a tag....and back to the jock who rode that day........plenty of speed signed up for this mid pack runner to close into......trainer has had a very good meeting

1  Swiss Minister   claimed for 50K and drops to 32K.....yikes....but the trainer Tim McCanna is 3 for his last 6 dropping after a claim with two others hitting the board.....seems dangerous

8  Big Finish

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Breathe   2 par like figs in two lifetime starts but what catches my eye more is the vast improvement in early speed......and it appears this Sadler filly is capable of performing without a clear lead which might come in handy here

5  Escapee   best race by far was her MSW debut (and at Del Mar) and the effort is better than appears in print......she had to duel in a brutal set of fractions for the given day and predictably tired.....seems cranked up like she was for her debut.......if she is ready fresh off of the bench she has a decent shot at being be loose on the lead

2  Drama Fina   Marty Jones year in and year out is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters and this fillies first lifetime endeavor wasn't bad.....highly likely to move forward and be a factor in this spot

1  Perfect Pic

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Rangi    didn't draw in from the AE list in an open 40K claiming race and then in an optional 40K nw alw race both times as the morning line favorite.......so it was a bit forced that he ended up in an optional 62.5K nw2 alw race......but he did not embarrass himself with a 3/4rds of a length 3rd.....gets that 40K today where he looks like the one to overcome from start to finish

1  Jazzy Josh   two good races at 5F on the turf at Dmr in two races.....one last year and then in his latest race which was the 27 July version of this race.......if he is up for a 3rd good 5F turf race today he has a good chance to close from mid pack and maybe close past them all

6  Zuri Chop   decent 3rd at today's same level especially considering it was run off of a layoff....and the a.m. work since the race hint the race muscled him up some and that a move forward can occur today

2  Hot Market

 

race 7    below average clarity

10  Accelerate   hellooooo route racing.....major move forward 1st at a route in latest......dealt with a very strong pace and was still able to run a 1:34:3.....3 reassuring works since hints he is still in good form/health.......repeat of his last would be tough to overcome

2  Taman Guard   rider upgrade for this gelding who attempts a route for the 1st time in his career......pedigree to handle one especially at the distance of one mile is quite good.....does need to avoid a speed duel with our top selection one way or another

9  Who's Out   nice history with Mike Smith aboard (4 2 2 0).......might sit pretty stalking our top two selections who might bang heads some

4  Spanish Hombre   SCRATCHED

 

race 8    average clarity

6  If You Believe   dueled on a dull rail in last which hides a par like effort.....previous race was around two turns which he didn't seem to care for.....race 3 back was another par like effort at today's same level........should be in the mix early.....improved little work since his last.....hot trainer.....plenty of positives

10  Buzzer Beater   all three races sprinting since the blinkers were put on fit fine here.......and Hartman is starting to get a good feel for what it takes to win in S Cal........but this runner does need to get over his tendency to hang

5  Yavrig   on the right end of the learning curve and if the tendency continues he might be the one to overcome......7F seems like it is within his range and won't be for many in this maiden $20K for the girls and gals

1  Sunday Creek

2  Bulkan  SCRATCHED

8  Tanager

 

 

Posted on August 26, 2016 at 9:21 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections