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Santa Anita for Sunday 2 October 2016

OK card today. Please check your calendar as there are 2 days left in 2016 that we are not covering and they come up rather soon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Kenji's Giant   Baltas recent graduate has a shot at making it back to back wins here as he should be able to stalk or lead only one other speed type and that horse (the 5 horse) appears to only have entered the race to help out the racing office......Sutherland is starting to heat things up

1  Spitfire   believe this Ellis late runner to be the best horse in the race but might be pace compromised in this race that seems destined to favor speed

4  Candy Cowboy   2nd best of the 3 late runners entered in this race will need quite a bit go right to win this overcoming a pace scenario working against him and the fact Spitfire appears to be a better late runner

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Basie Boots   one win and three 2nd's in last four races at SA......I almost always like when Bejarano rides for a trainer that he seldom accepts mounts for.....that is the case for this Pender three-year old filly

6  Rocky's Rainbow   on the improve with every start and if that continues today I should have placed her as the top selection......I am a touch leery that she prefers the Lrc surface over the SA surface.....but if that isn't the case.......lookout

1  Shanghai Beauty   lifetime best was in her lone effort at SA and it was her debut.........and I like that she handled the 1 post at Dmr which was at 7F like today.......solid recent 5F drill hints she is doing fine......not out of this by any means

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Glacken Too   gelding owns numerous races that are better than appear in print......interesting (very out of the norm) one mile endurance building work put into this fellow by Miller.....looking for a strong finish today

3  Boone Docks    trainer Glatt has scored with over 25% of his last 80 claims 1st out following the claim.......might add to that here with this gelding who might snatch the lead in this spot......the last two times that occurred (races 2 and 3 back) he managed to win

7  Eddie's First   another just claimed and by a trainer in Diodoro who is just as dangerous 1st out following the claim as Glatt happens to be........like the way he stalked and won in last.....seems wise to try that tactic once again

5  Serbian Syclone

 

race 4    below average clarity

10  Exhale   earned a strong adjusted for trouble Santucci fig in latest losing about 7 or 8 lengths (checked - rank - somewhat wide).......nice works since.......Smith will (or at least should be) out to make amends......maybe he should pretend this is Graded Stakes race.....hey.....the guy is night and day better when riding for the big bucks

1  Dark Energy   today's distance should be a good fit as this three-year old colt is bred to run all day long.......that alone makes him dangerous in this soft looking group of MSW turf runners

5  Aztec Warrior   improved some in his latest with the blinkers on for the very 1st time.......and now he competes as a 1st time gelding.....that gives him the potential to move forward again......might be rated too low if he does especially with Bejarano sticking around

9  Pappou

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Vending Machine   scrapped the paint in his last on a bad day to do that....that hides a move forward.....claimed in the race by Miller and his a.m. prowess for his new conditioner is impressive.......seems well prepared for his 1st at a route with an endurance building 8F drill put in just 8 days ago

8  Run Macho Run   good sprint debut for this Baltas baby and now his trainer sees fit to run him long in his 2nd lifetime endeavor........that my friends is right in Richard's wheelhouse

4  Dynamic Ruler   hidden move forward in 2nd lifetime start running way over his head and doing so on a dull inside...........seems somewhat set up today with the sprint - sprint - route maneuver.......Prat lands on our 4th pick but Mr. Bejarano will do

1  Big Shorty

Long-shot consideration:   6  Mizzen Me   2nd lifetime race fits......2 clunkers to darken his form and get away with the drop into mid priced maiden claiming.....or......just horse gone bad......we shall see

 

race 6    average clarity  

(agonized over the 4th choice and gave up and broke the rules so I am giving you 5 selections)

4  Ralis   last two races both on the grass are strong and better than appear in print.......believe this O'Neill runner's form has returned.......after all he did win a Grade 1 at Saratoga by 5 3/4 lengths last year at two......good post and a distance that should be to his liking an won't be for many in here

7  Metaboss   very strong stretch runs in last two races and in his latest he came from the clouds......seems much improved since the D'A took over.......powerful late runner has my favorite jock with off pace route runners in Bejarano

6  Ashleyluvssugar   very reliable grass runner and Hall of Fame jock knows her well.......1st at 10 furlongs but it sure appears as if it will be a good fit having won at 1 1/8, 1 3/8 and 1 1/2 miles

3  Flamboyant

8  Messi

 

race 7    below average clarity

9  Americana   MSW debut is better than appears in print.......blinkers off for today and the recent works hint the equipment change has improved her and maybe by quite a bit.......believe she fires a strong improve race today

5  Viva Vegas   last at 6 1/2 furlongs fits effort/fig wise......debut 2 back was at today's 6F distance and is even better.....obviously a very dangerous two-year old Baffert filly

2  Jilly   Jilly the filly ran a useful MSW debut and for her 2nd start Baffert removes the blinkers.....works are better so like our top selection more seems likely for her 2nd lifetime start

1  Bernina Star

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Forest Blue   checked repeatedly in his last or would have won at today's level........and the cut back in distance appears to be a plus.....as does the fact Miller was able to put in 4 works since his latest

2  Handful of Stripes   seems to have run himself into shape and if he manages his 5th straight improvement he has a good shot at taking down the nw alw race

1  Coldspell   nice win in 2nd lifetime start and 1st on Lasix.....decent a.m. prowess since......and Stevens sticks around once again so you know he sees something he likes in this Harty three-year old colt

3  Silent Bird

 

race 9    above average clarity

8  Ok Doll   par like efforts in last two races and now for today we get one significant rider upgrade especially for a route grass race....that and an exceptionally strong 5/8th's bullet drill one week ago.....should fire lifetime best today for Baltas and friends

9  Leveler   impressive 1st ever on the grass in last running quite wide and still graduating......Elliott will likely need a more clever rider today and the way he keeps improving he has a decent shot at providing one

4  Sutton's Smile   consistent sort in turf routes just needs a little more pop late .........and........ she has the right trainer to eventually get it from her in D'Amato

3  Crimson and Gold

2  How Unusual

6  Do the Dance

 

 

Posted on October 2, 2016 at 7:58 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections