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Santa Anita for Thursday 20 October 2016

Seems like a decent card which if I am right would be nice following a disappointing weekend of racing.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    above average clarity

4  Dumont   exits a fast heat of low-level maiden claimers running 2nd despite an inside stalking bid on an outside biased day at Lrc......trainer is badly in need of a win and might get it here if this two-year old filly handles her 1st on the SA dirt

6  Jeanjeannie   Callaghan sure likes to give a good portion of his new stock a race and then go all out in their 2nd lifetime race.......nice leg her up MSW turf route tightener.......drops top to bottom for 2nd start and runs on the dirt which she likely is better suited for

5  Golden Silence   rider is off to a very slow start at the new meeting but he can be quite dangerous on a front and appears the most likely leader here......1st at a route but might get awfully brave if she opens up a work 2 days ago


race 2    average clarity

3  G Q Covergirl   heck of a strong cheap maiden debut coming home in 109:4 and doing it quite easily......good a.m. work since and it is at SA........debut was likely stress free which should lead to another strong effort in her 2nd lifetime endeavor

2  Kristie's Heart   has been successful stalking in the past and that might occur here if the 1 and the 3 press each other hard in the early stages of this six furlong affair.....and this filly seems best competing at 6F

4  Princess Ashlyn   always like when a given runner changes their running style and does so successfully.......that is the case for this filly albeit she accomplished the task in an abbreviate sprint of only 5F


race 3    average clarity

1  Jimmy the Juice   on the improve with every start and proven on the sod albeit vs. easier.......might feel great coming off of an easy 5 1/2 furlong 7 1/4 length going away at the wire rider/trainer combo in Sutherland/Belvoir

2  Air Pocket   ice-cold rider gets a rare (these days) mount from his old "meal ticket" trainer in Bob Baffert"........a "live" 1st time in claiming colt?......or.....a claim me please entry.......we shall see which is the case........seems like a 50/50 proposition

4  Yoked   had some trouble in his latest his 1st on the sod and he was only 4L behind the winner facing a slightly tougher group.......and the race was run off a 1/2 year hiatus......should sit dead last saving ground and might shock them late as this race might yield enough pace to aid her deep closing style

6  Dirt in Your Face  


race 4    average clarity

6  California Silver   Carla Gaines tends to give nothing  away which is supported by her 1 for the last 28 MSW to maiden claiming maneuvers.......that is the case here......but...... on the other hand she has had a tough year and might be more willing to risk a given horse

4  Right as Rain   barn seldom wins but the works for this first time starter are too good to ignore.......numerous decent drills with some off them quite good sire has been fairly decent

1  Salient   last was almost par and today we get a significant rider upgrade......not the best of posts but the one hole with a late runner in a small field is no big deal to me

Long-shot consideration:   3  Royal Rebel    race 2 back run off of a long layoff isn't too bad.....but what catches my eye is the equipment change for today to blinkers off and the night and day better work tab since his last....and Perez is a good long-shot jock


race 5    average clarity

5  Seaside Glory   believe that the easy pace that this filly got away with in her latest on the way to solid winning time is the reason that this Hollendorfer filly is able to race back off of short rest of only 12 days.......stress free soft paced loose leads often lead to even bigger races the next start.....that's what I'm banking on here

2  Ultimate Holiday   filly handles SA and she seems best at today's 6 1/2F distance......recent best of 68 bullet work and back to Bejarano..........should be flying late

3  Brainspin   filly is improving.......rider jumps off the 1 horse who he has 3 wins on to ride this filly once again.......but he best avoid a suicidal speed duel with the one horse and our top selection one way or another


race 6    average clarity

7  Fin de Semaine   4 grass races at a slightly higher level and the most this gelding has ever been beaten for the win was 3 1/2L.......drops today and adds blinkers.....and assuming he has trained with them on he sure appears to be improved........stout brother ride team has cooled some but I doubt things will stay that way

1  Malko   last appears to be a race to darken his form and keep the claiming vultures at bay so as to be able to drop into claiming and face much easier and not be claimed.......also like the change in riders back to Talamo who knows this late runner well

5  Cervaro   blinkers on in latest and the equipment change sure improved this six-year old.......and now a change in jocks to Elliot who is 6 for his last 18 riding for Puype.....such a deal

4  Royalist


race 7    average clarity

8  Chao Chom   ultra consistent sort (the only one in the field) has a nice stalking or mid pack style that seemingly will fit well in this field with plenty of early speed......and this three-year old filly continues to train like a happy healthy individual

5  Plane Lucky   poor history running off of short rest......consistently fires fresh......big shot here if 9 weeks off is enough of a break for her to fire a top for one at SA and it was a 7L win

4  Desert Thief   seems best at SA and one of her trainer's best stats is "2nd start with trainer".....that is the case here for this Becerra four-year old filly

1  Fortheninteen


race 8    average clarity

1  Spanish Hombre   best running off of short rest and runs off of very short rest today.......with that in mind his latest appears to be a gimme to put some doubt into the minds of the claiming vultures a drop and go at full throttle today.....and we get a significant rider upgrade to the surprising leading rider at the meet to date in Arroyo

4  Imperious One   another with a solid rider upgrade and this three-year old is also competing 1st time as a gelding........Bejarano should have this guy in the mix from the get go......O'Neill has been firing better than his 10% win percentage at the meet suggests

5  Oscar Dominquez   yet another getting a jock upgrade.......lifetime best was run two races back and is somewhat hidden........and......that race was the only other time this three-year old was up for tag

8  Glory Bound

10  Handful Of Stripes

9  Dynamic Scoring


Posted on October 20, 2016 at 7:49 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections