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Del Mar for Friday 11 November 2016

Shout out to all my fellow veterans especially those who saw battle. Enjoy your day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Roman Tizzy   multiple indications that this Cerin runner is sitting on a strong race.......step up in claiming combined with a good recent improved drill........races with 7 lbs less today than his latest and 11 lbs less than his race 2 back.....and appreciates short rest......good post

7  Alex Rossi   looking for his effort run 2 back which was also at Dmr and at one mile......recent works hint the break of 2 1/2 months did him some good......and he has shown he can run well fresh off of the bench in the past and that is somewhat hidden

6  Out of Patience   high percentage 1st out following a claim trainer in Bill Spawr......although he will need to move his new shooter quite a bit forward if one or of course both of our top choices run the race that I believe they will

5  Dadtaughtmewell

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Enduring Erin   last two races with Prat aboard led to wide margin wins.......he is back up today following a one race absence and with a good post to work with.........seems likely to get a nice ground saving stalking trip.......and this mare is in love with the Del Mar dirt ( 5 3 1 0)

6  All Star Bub   Jerry Hollendorfer is one very dangerous trainer when he puts a given horse in claiming race for the very 1st time and that is the case here.......and back to Bejarano who got the last win out of this filly (and at today's level) when he rode her 7 races back.......hmmm

3  Roo's Valentine   jumps off of the page "work wise" and seemingly is the speed of the speed...........combine that with the fact she is ( 3 2 1 0) at the distance and you have a dangerous front-runner

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Tribal Jewel   very strong history on the Dmr conventional dirt and also with Bejarano up........combine that with the fact he has been in the exacta 10 of 19 lifetime at today's distance and you have a Spawr competitor who sure seems like the one to overcome in this spot

1  Celebrated Talent   Ron Ellis is often more dangerous 2nd out after a claim than the 1st (6 for his last 17).....blinkers off for today and an improved work tab hinting the equipment change has helped......and back to the $40K that Ellis and company grabbed this gelding for......sure appear well-meant and ready for today

2  Curlin Road   might be the "last one standing" as this affair seems as if there will be a lively pace and is so this is only "deep closer" in the field.....and he is best at one mile on the dirt (3 1 2 0)

 

race 4    below average clarity

3  Tammy's Window   believe her latest was mostly a turf sprint tightener as she went off at odds of 21 to 1 .........and yet.........she still managed to run a 3/4's beaten lengths 3rd.....has some tactical speed and a good post for Perez to work with.....that should enhance the likelihood for a good trip

1  Americana   nicely bred filly dueled in a decent set of fractions for a two-year old filly in a MSW race and tired late.......back in short rest and with two works since one of which was a strong 5/8ths work......that tells me this filly is razor-sharp for today......good post - trainer - rider......should be tough

2  Go Argento   all 3 lifetime races fit fine fig wise and all are route turf races.....so why 3rd selection?........filly has flattened out very late in all of the efforts......dangerous for sure but might be vulnerable once again when push comes to shove

8  Ciao Bella Rosa

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Dixie Pistol    likely has some physical issues as this colt was entered for Mdn 75K and was a vet scratch 2 weeks ago.....but Prat accepts the mount and Callaghan is rather successful dropping from MSW racing to maiden claimning......dirt and sprint are ? marks but I sure like the   22:1  -  45:3  -  110:2    splits put in running at one mile on turf in his last

7  Dynamic Ruler    following two decent route efforts this two-year old gelding should finish up this 6F affair with vigor.......and Bejarano and his agent must be thinking the same as they stay on the Belvoir youngster for a 3rd straight time

6  Not Chopped Liver   1st timer starter owns a prolonged work regiment and the works sure got better in his last two drills.....that suggests that he is sharp when it counts the most......as in right before his debut

10  Northern Grey

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Rye Patch   just claimed by Spawr and the crafty trainer gets a good spot in a protected race where his new shooter's efforts/figs sure fit solidly in this spot......and the trainer isn't messing around as he lures Bejarano to ride

1  Rye   rattled off two straight wins with the blinkers put on......and then despite not winning he might have run his most impressive effort as he flew late despite a pedestrian pace set but the leaders and with a wide trip at that.......and he sure acts as if the extra 1/16th of ground to cover will greatly be to his liking

3  All Call   best recent effort was run 3 races back........and the race was at today's 9F turf distance and with Pratt up and the blinkers off......call you spell   r  e  b  o  u  n  d

5  Comes the Dream

Long-shot consideration:   9  Dynamic Scoring    brutal trip in latest breaking slightly tardy and then racing way too wide......that effort on paper looks as though he didn't care for turf........he did and it is somewhat hidden

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Hot Rodin   quite the awakening in his latest with the blinkers put on for the 1st time since his MSW debut......and the morning work since is eye popping........so strong in fact that it bodes well for today and possibly for his future endeavors competing at higher levels

10  Admiral's Club   four-year old gelding sure woke up in his latest both final time wise and pace wise......if he is up for a repeat performance today he should be able to range up from the outside and grab a nice outside stalk position......dangerous for sure if that is what occurs

9  Desert General   low percentage trainer with 1sters but the best looking work series for a Sean McCarthy 1st timer in many a moon....and I like that Sean puts up Baze as he often gets the mount on some of the trainer's better horses

7  Country Road

Long-shot consideration:   1  Kenny Benny   good works prior to debut and yet went off at 24 to 1 and ran rather well......good works since and a major league rider upgrade......believe he will still go off at least his morning line or higher.....seems worth it to use if he does

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Sobradora Inc    most of her career fits solidly at today's softer level......and her most impressive race run in the USA was her lone race at today's 1 1/16th turf distance which was also at Del Mar......in that race she was blocked on the 2nd  turn and still managed to win

2  Keri Belle   best credentials in the race but like her race two (a key field I might add) back she might sit too far off of what should be a slow-paced affair.....still she should be flying late and with little traffic because of the field of six

4  Do the Dance   incredibly game runner sure can negotiate traffic and is impressive going thru tight spots without hesitation like in her latest......believe Baze will hustle her some early and try to sit as close as possible to the lone speed 6 horse.....lookout if that is what happens as I obviously believe the 6 will tire despite a race that sure sets up for her

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Buzzer Beater   lifetime best (and a 5 1/2L win) was run two back at Del Mar off of short rest.....with that in mind his latest run in a protected race at SA appears to be a tune-up to drop into claiming and run off of short rest and be a full throttle 2nd out following the Pender claim.......and Pender sees fit to use Gonzo who was up for that 5 1/2L win

9  Herunbridledpower    the fact that this Miyadi three-year old filly returns in a claimer and not a protected race hints she is ready to compete at a high level despite the 7 month hiatus from the racing game......and if she is she should be in the hunt from the get go and be tough thru-out as she has been in all 3 of her lifetime dirt races

6  Straight N Strong   seems the most likely to be on the lead........does lack endurance...... but...... as they say......she might get brave loose and lonely on a clear lead

4  Myheartsinthe city

10  Zanab

2  Wake the Dawn

Posted on November 11, 2016 at 10:47 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections