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Del Mar for Saturday 12 November 2016

Not the easiest of cards to decipher. Sunday's appears much better. Double carryover?

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Bedeviled   his two best grass races of four run to date are off of short rest....with that in mind his latest might have been a tune-up of sorts to return quickly and be fully fit and ready to display his best......extra 1/16th should be to his liking

4  Dark Energy   race lacks speed and so the addition of blinkers for today seems like good timing especially considering if you twisted my arm I would have chosen this guy to be the 2nd or 3rd most likely leader without them......dangerous potentially loose on the lead entry

6  Klondike Creek   if the blinkers on don't improve our 2nd choice's speed than this R Mandella runner is likely to get it......either way he should be in the mix from the get go and a major factor in the outcome of this race

5  Aztec Warrior

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Lunar Empress   tepid top selection has never been off the board and is very consistent on conventional dirt where she owns a win and 3 2nd's in 4 starts........like that the blinkers are taken off today as this filly seems likely to finish up better sitting off of things a little.....trainer won two on opening day

5  Call to Congrats   only lifetime route race was on the turf and is better than appears in print.......with that in mind I like her chances of running a strong 1st ever dirt route today coming off of two solid sprint dirt races

2  C. C. Zipp   seems like the best speed in the race and has a good speed rider in Mike Smith.......not out of this by any means

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Sabi Sands   beautifully bred filly exits a very key group and showed plenty of life especially considering it was her MSW and she went off at 25 to 1......did awfully well to run 4th considering she broke tardy and ran wide and green.......plenty of time off to help her educational process.......we shall see

8  Go On Mary   nice forward move in her 2nd lifetime endeavor for O'Neill and company......draws the attention of Prat and his agent for the 1st time......should range up near the lead from the outside which wasn't a bad deal on opening day

3  Princess Julia   expensive 1st timer especially out of a mare who only has produced 1 winner from 4 starters.......good looking work regiment......and trained by one of the best with young fillies in Jerry Hollendorfer

7  Street Love

Long-shot consideration:   5  Honor Maker   20 to 1 for a Baltas 1st timer especially at Lrc says the race was nothing more than a public work......and the a.m. work since is vastly improved.....that and the fact the connections don't drop into maiden claiming hint this filly will show much more today......to what degree is the ? mark

 

race 4    above average clarity

3  Curlin Rules   scratched out of a 200K Stakes race for this softer spot and seems to be in the driver's seat as the controlling speed in the race........deserving favorite should be tough

6  Mittersill   consistent sort both in Ireland and now in the USA should be flying late especially if the 4 horse or someone else force the pace some......good history with 5 weeks between races and gets that time interval today

5  Barhanpour   last at SA was OK.....but her effort at Dmr two back was very impressive sitting too far off of a pedestrian pace and with a wide trip.......yet........she still flew late to win......dangerous back on the Dmr turf

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Velvet Jones   1 for 1 at Dmr winning her debut.....very strong race in her 2nd lifetime start.....that is the race we are looking for....and if she is up to it with a solid rider upgrade for today she should be the one to overcome

5  Lil Miss Sapphire   benefited from a rail bias in her latest so the effort isn't as good as it appears in print....but on the other hand it likely was a stress free race  and if that is the case she should feel really good for today's affair.....and appears to be the speed of the speed

7  Sausalito Sunset   proven on the Del Mar surface and the only time Koriner and company put her up for a tag she won by 6 1/4 lengths........available for the same tag today of $50K......dangerous

8  Hotflickarue

Long-shot consideration:   4  Demigoddess   two of her best lifetime races were the only two efforts were she ran off of very short rest (like today) in dirt sprints.....deep closer needs some pace up front to set things up and might get it here........seems worth using at 20 to 1 or higher odds

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Buymebond   seems to show up in every race and he is 1 for 1 with T C Baze up......fairly smooth runner......high percentage trainer.....and seems best on the Del Mar turf.....plenty to like

10  Tattenham   like his efforts when Desormeaux rides......showed improved speed in latest and blinkers go on today......might show the most early speed this afternoon in many a moon.....and that would enhance his chances of getting over by the 1st turn.....like his chances if he does

1  Neveradoubt   seemingly never the same since running a monster race/number in July of 2015.......suggesting the big effort did him in.....but he is finally showing signs of life in the a.m. and drops to the lowest level of his lifetime......10 weeks off seems to have done some good.....believe he makes a rebound today.....to what degree is the ? mark

3  Saint Loup 

Long-shot consideration:    7 Sweet Daddy   low percentage trainer but his runner has been in the exacta 7 of 10 running at one mile on the sod.....and sure is working as if he is meant and ready fresh off of the 8 month hiatus.....seems dangerous at a very big number

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Exemplar   likes today's 6 1/2F distance (4 2 1 0) and it showed in his latest as he was caught 5 wide and still managed a strong run to win.....O'Neill is decent wheeling horses back off of short rest and that is the case with this four-year old gelding....1st on the Del Mar dirt is a ? mark

10  Eddie's Turn   1 for 2 at the distance and his lone race on the Del Mar dirt is much better than appears in print (wide pressing a decent pace).....should be in good position ranging up from his outside post......and last but not least he sure faces a softer level of racing today

4  Thunder Basin   Hess is very dangerous with the blinkers off / blinkers back on maneuver....that is the case here.....and he gets one of his top guys  and buddy in K Desormeaux to ride for the 1st time

3  Pedro Cerrano

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Hobbits Hero   very consistent sort but faltered in his latest.....but just popped a near bullet work followed by a bullet work in preparation for this race......a ton if rebounds.....tough call.....call it 50/50

9  He Will  all 4 lifetime grass races off of 6 weeks or less rest sure fit well here......4 weeks off for today.....hard not to see being a major factor with a decent ride

3  Crown The Crown   better post and better grass rider for today's affair....and for a grass horse that is a fairly smooth controllable runner......dangerous

2  Banze No Oesta

 

race 9    below average clarity

6  Woodstock Memory   new to the scene trainer makes for a big ? mark.....but......last three efforts fit and the cut back from 8F to 7F is usually as strong positive

12  Gavin Streetsense   dangerous speed shown two races back and it was at today's 7 furlong distance.....and today we have a rider upgrade......trainer won a pair on opening day.....dangerous for sure

7  Foolish To Deceive   much better rider and trainer and drops......obviously a dangerous entry

10  Zealous Tale

5  Johann's Command

3  King's Palace

 

Posted on November 12, 2016 at 11:05 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections