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Del Mar for Sunday 13 November 2016

Very interesting card this afternoon. Rate it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things. Pick 6 will likely go down this afternoon unless the strongest looking "free square" in quite some time falters in the 8th race.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Smuggler Union   on the right end of the learning curve........strong likely his best ever bullet work 5 days ago.....and a significant rider upgrade.....should be tough

1  My Prince Harry   lifetime best and a strong effort/fig was produced two races back in his 2nd lifetime start at Del Mar and at today's 6 1/2 furlongs.......should have plenty of endurance today when push comes to shove exiting a route race

6  Sunset Grill   very bad trip in his MSW debut which was down the hill as he was 5 wide and fairly close to a decent pace.......switches to the dirt for start no. 2 and I think his pedigree suggests dirt might be a better surface for him.....we shall see

2  Williston Dude

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Albeit   best lifetime race by far was his only grass race at Dmr and it was at today's 12 ft position.......the race turned out to be a very key one producing many that came back to win or run 2nd in their next start......stout rider/trainer/owner trio

5  Optimism And Hope   suspicious drop in latest to 25K following two straight 40K wins both at Dmr...... and he ran as I thought he might as in off the board.......now the D'A and friends put him back in a 40K claimer and with vastly improved works.....that tells me they might have turned his physical condition around rather quickly......we shall see

1  Brookes All Mine   small drop helps as does drawing a decent post........should get a nice trip sitting on or near the lead.....and she best get a smooth journey or I believe her tendency to flatten some late will occur again

2  Plastered

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Colis Gold   working as if another Baffert 1st timer is meant and talented and ready for his debut......Baffert is as tough as it gets with male two-year old MSW 1sters that are the ML favorite.....and even more successful when they actually go off the favorite

8  Potente Alba   very dangerous looking prolonged work series for this Mike Puype MSW 1st timer......the trainer sure seems overdue as far as having a nice young horse .......he might here

4  Little Awecim   yet another 1st time starter that hints he has talent and possible some early speed......mom has tossed 2 winners from 3 starters and both were precocious as they were able to win as babies

6  Thankful Every Day

Long-shot consideration:   7  Woodfox   not much with the blinkers put on in last.....but his MSW debut without them was decent and somewhat disguised by a bad trip.....and he might have surprised his connections as he went off at 70 to 1....blinkers off today and a significant rider change for the better......not 70 to 1 today but should be double digits odds

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Seattle Boom   often when a good barn agrees to take over the training duties of a cheap horse they only do so when the connections are willing to run them where they can win.....believe that is the case here and with the support of some eye-popping works.....and with a jock upgrade to Prat who is starting off this meeting with bang

7  Redneck Crazy   last was very strong with the switch in jocks and somewhat hidden.......red hot rider/trainer combo in Perez and Sherlock especially with off pace runners like this colt

6  Spirit World   sharp in the morning since the claim from planet Mars .....and her new shooter sure likes the distance with 3 2nd's in 3 starts at 6 1/2 furlongs......and draws the attention of Desormeaux who is awfully dangerous riding for small barns

9  Ring Collector

 

race 5    below average clarity

6  Sudden Sam   impressive in last two starts winning fairly easily on the dirt and then down the SA hill turf course....Cal-bred is more than deserving of facing open company today......hard to split selections but he gets top billing as he has more upside potential than anyone in here

2  Gutsy Ruler   good recent history at Dmr at 5F on the grass and with Gonzo aboard......seems capable of taking back some and that might come in handy here in a race that should yield a nasty set of fractions

11  Rangi   very consistent grass sprinter was just claimed by Miller 10 days ago.......his new shooter has only attempted to run off of short rest (but more like 3 weeks) a couple of times in his life and he has run well......tough post but he just ran the fastest 1/2 mile split down the hill for the fall SA meeting.....rider/trainer are on fire as a team

1  Chips All In

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Bar Scene   57:3 work.......yikes and then some....... and a few other works that jump off the page......that and a  pedigree that screams speed.......Kory Owens 1st timer sure looks fast and talented.....mom has tossed two winners from two starters and one of them was also a Stakes winner

7  Lemon Orchid   dirt debut wasn't bad......then ran poorly on the grass in 2nd start.....but the grass sure appears to have muscled up this filly as her a.m. work since is stronger than ever.....dangerous sort

11  Tiz Makin Memories   bet hard especially for a Jones 1ster but only ram so so.......continues to work nicely as if she has more talent than she produced in her debut....we shall see

6  To B. Ava

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Mrs. Norris   seems best with Espinoza and it is Victor's only mount on the card.....total lack of speed in the race so I believe he will take advantage of the post and send her as close to the front as possible.....that should enhance her chances

1  Shazara   lifetime best two races and a one of them a very solid fig were her only races on the Del Mar turf.....and.....both were at today's distance.......switch to Smith and it is his lone mount of the day.....late runner would easily have been top choice if there was more speed in the race

8  Del Mar Ann   last sure appears to be nothing more tune-up off of the long layoff to help muscle her up for today's race........and why not as she is two for two on the Dmr turf and likely pointed for today's race.......dangerous for sure

6  Peach Cove

 

race 8    above average clarity

2  Enola Gray   all 5 lifetime starts look like a ton and 1/2 here and her best ever was at today's 7 seven distance......and Baze knows this stout D'Amato runner well having been up for her entire career

3  My Fiona   should be motoring late as usual......very consistent when sprinting at 6 1/2 or 7F.......still she will need plenty to go right and or wrong for our top pick to get to the winners circle

5  Chao Chom   should be stalking the top choice and with a rider upgrade......and her best race to date is at Del Mar.....still like our 2nd selection she will need plenty to go right and or wrong for our top pick (and maybe even our 2nd pick) to get to the winners circle

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Kimbear   faster 1/2 and 6F and final time of the other division of MSW runners on 1 October.......very impressive in the a.m. since........should be in the mix from the get go and very tough from start to finish if this two-year old has held from.....his works sure suggest he has

3  Ice Kat   likely not that all wound up for his MSW debut as he went off at 35 to 1 yet he ran 4th beaten 3L despite a wide trip.....better trip and the same effort and he has a shot.....and considering he had no support at the windows in his debut he has a decent shot of being tighter for today's race

2  Colonel Samsen   last running over his head is better than appears in print......and his race 3 back at KD in a $130K MSW race is solid especially considering the winner of the race won a $100K Stakes on day one of the BC and did so in fabulous time for a baby down the SA hill

4  Camino De Estrella

8  Kona Dreams

1  Eaglemaker

Posted on November 13, 2016 at 10:54 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections