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Del Mar for Sunday 27 November 2016

High winds and the threat of rain made an already difficult card even more head scratching to handicap. A little fewer comments today as I had to study for the races possibly being taken off the grass and moved to the main track. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  Golden Missile   subtle improved a.m. work since her latest which was her best to date and disguised by a wide trip.....believe she is sitting on lifetime best

1  To B. Ava   all three lifetime races fit at today's lower level.....and finally gets an established decent rider in T C Baze in the saddle.......after three races with bug boys aboard

7  Yavrig

2  Trixie Topper

 

race 2    below average clarity

4  Alley Boss   speed was good yesterday with some moisture in the dirt.....best shot in the field of getting the front end for this colt coming off of an 11 length (likely stress-free) win....nice a.m. work since is reassuring

5  Zarqa Star   handles Del Mar quite well.....and his last three races before having to be laid up on Jan. 30th are solid......his trainer is an outstanding 34% with his last 32 off of layoffs of more than 3 months......dangerous sort

1  Tribal Roar

 

race 3    average clarity

5  We Go Now   best half mile speed in the race......Prat might be able to grab the lead and that is obviously a significant advantage in this seldom run abbreviated 5F sprint dirt race

1  Dapper Dixie   last sure appeared to be a learning experience only......and he ran better than the 7th place finish suggests.......and his last two works sure hint he is fitter and that he will likely move forward in lifetime start number two

7  Canny's Music

6  Jay Makes Us Laugh

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Royal Mo   exits a very fast heat of MSW runners where he had a very bad trip and still managed 2nd beating 10 others.......1st at a route but his pedigree to handle one is just fine.....should be tough if he holds form

5  Sonneteer   par like races in both MSW route races.......retains Desormeaux......speaking of Desormeaux.......Kent's brother Keith trains this colt and the last week or so his stock is really firing and more than his record indicates

4  Troublewithatee

3  South Americain

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Nuke Laloosh   Miller is winning at a ridiculous 40% clip at the meeting and can add to that here with this gelding dropping a couple of notches....and with a runner who is ( 3 1 1 1) vs. tougher at the distance

9  Trump Diesel   bug boy is mired in a slump but might jump-start things here if he can utilize this gelding's speed to clear all or most by the turn....he definitely appears to have the horse with the best early speed

5  Uncle Chato

2  True Ranger

 

race 6    on the turf - below average clarity

2  Curly's Waterfront    colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts including two races on the turf and at today's distance........good rider/trainer combo.......and what really catches my eye are his last couple of works which are the best two back to back drills of his career

6  Sword Fighter   sprint - sprint - route maneuver here and for a trainer who is on fire in Peter I can do no wrong Miller.......two year old showed he likes the sod as he ran a solid race down the SA hill in latest

4  Hootie

8  Vending Machine

 

race 6    off the turf - below average clarity

6  Sword Fighter   sprint - sprint - route maneuver here and for a trainer who is on fire in Peter I can do no wrong Miller.......should have a good opportunity to dictate the pace up front

2  Curly's Waterfront   colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts including one race at today's one mile dirt distance........good rider/trainer combo.......and what really catches my eye are his last couple of works which are the best two back to back drills of his career

4  Hootie

8  Vending Machine

7  Term Of Art

 

race 7    below average clarity

1  Pleasant As Pie   lifetime best and it stands out here was his MSW debut in Sept of 2015.....she went off 33 to 1 in the race likely shocking her connections winning by 1/2 dozen lengths at Del Mar......Ellis smartly appears to have her ready fresh as he knows what she is capable of fresh and at Dmr which won't be available until summer of 2017

5  Lemhill Basr   another with a big MSW race way back in Sept 2015.......away since her 2nd start which was in Oct 2015.....so.....Baffert most likely has her ready fresh as well......800K purchase as a two-year old also supports the notion she has a ton of ability

10  Fruity

7  Run For Retts

Long-shot consideration:   3  Little Dume   off track at this point?  crushed to win her MSW at Kee in the slop.....seems worth a look if there is some moisture in the track today

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Imperative   I like the confidence builder Baltas gave his six-year-old in his latest......in the race he sure earned a solid fig even considering today's higher level.....he ran 2nd in the 2015 version of this race with a tough winner in Dortmund

6  Point Piper   very strong race the only time he has been on the Del Mar conventional dirt winning in solid time......track will likely have some moisture in it which seemingly will be a plus as he has a 1st and a 3rd in two off track races

7  Midnight Storm

1  Hard Aces

 

race 9    on the turf - below average clarity

1  Fabulous Lady   on the right end of the learning curve and has never trained better.....reliable trainer in Eurton and a reliable turf rider in Desormeaux.......should be in the mix from the get go

5  Angel Eria    good history in turf sprints .....and..... a grass rating anything less than firm (which seems likely) will be advantageous to her and won't be for many in the field

4  Aloha Spirit

3  Araceli B C M D

6  Yellow Bonnet

7  Ready To Hula Lula 

 

race 9    off the turf - average clarity

7  Ready To Hula Lula   been away since April......but......fresh speed and Glatt and only 5 furlongs to cope with.....absolutely right in Glatt's training wheelhouse

4  Aloha Spirit   mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters......Miller is red-hot and so is this 1st timers last 3F gate work......seems meant and ready.....and that sure is a dangerous thing for a trainer winning at 40% for the meet

3  Araceli B C M D

1  Fabulous Lady

6  Yellow Bonnet

2  Lori's Attitude

 

Posted on November 27, 2016 at 10:24 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections