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Del Mar for Sunday 4 December 2016

Eight days of racing at Los Alamitos starts on Thursday. Three of those days the little track joins the 'big guys" with two Grade 1 races and a special "challenge race" featuring California Chrome. Not too shabby. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Moon Kitty    Miller 1st timer is training like she has plenty of talent and has a pedigree that should handle the sod......Miller has had an incredible meet and can add to his gaudy win total here

5  Another One   another working as if she is meant and ready to roll in her MSW debut.....and like our top selection this O'Neill youngster has a pedigree that should handle the green carpet

2  True Testament   not out of this by any means as she just fired her lifetime best in her first grass race......cut back of 1 1/2 furlongs seems like a plus and gets J J Castellano......should be a factor from start to finish

9  Hot in the City

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Country Road   Drysdale is often difficult to handicap these days but I sure like that the trainer is 6 for his last 13 MSW to maiden claiming.....and lifetime best for this 4-year-old was in 2nd lifetime start......so.....2nd out after a layoff seems like a good thing

2  California Silver   good early speed.....drops.....and has an unlikely jock shooting for the Fall Dmr riding title.....dangerous front (or close to the front) running shot

7  Adir   needs more than his latest but might provide it back in short rest as his two lifetime efforts off of short rest are his two best efforts of his 5 race career

6  Sunny Dee

 

race 3   average clarity

3  Cistron   sprint-sprint-route scenario here and both lifetime sprints are much better than appear in print.......and he owns a good pedigree to handle a route and the grass.....Sadler has quietly had a good meeting with limited starters as in 4 for 14

2  Ice Kat   should be forwardly placed and likely to get a good trip.....that and the cut back in distance which seems like a plus make him one of the horses to beat in this one mile grass affair

1  Cedar Rapids   late runners in grass routes have done really well the last two days with the turf rails at the 0 ft position......that works in this colt's favor if it stays intact as does J J Castellano up for Richard Mandella

12  Sergio

Long-shot consideration:   11  Gentrified   woke up quite a bit in latest and the effort is disguised by a tough trip......and his lone grass race is also better than it appears.....broke slow and ran a little wide but more importantly had little chance to close from dead last with a 50:3 half being set up front.....hot turf rider up

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Late n' Left   might be a good claim by Saavedra and company as this three-year filly sure improved with the addition of blinkers in her latest.......2 for 2 at the distance.......2 for 3 at Del Mar......plenty to like

5  Papa Mambo   good history with short rest and that is the case today.......turf to dirt angle.......decent history in her last 4 sprint races (4 2 1 1)

3  Reckless Charm   Van Dyke has come out of nowhere to have a shot at the riding title as he is one win behind Arroyo and has 7 mounts today.......the resurgent rider is good with late runners and appears to be on the best late runner here

 

race 5    below average clarity

1  Midnight Swinger   on the right end of the learning curve........brutal trip 2 back in a turf route racing wide close to a decent pace.......Santucci fig worked out to be 3L better than par for today's level.......rider upgrade to possibly the best grass jock in America

8  Sutton's Smile   lifetime best was the only time this filly ran as far as 9 furlongs on the grass.....9F today and a good French turf rider in Geroux.....likes ample time between starts and gets it

10  Untouchable   seems best on the front end but Ortiz best attempt to slow things down because turf route speed has done nothing the last two cards with the rail in the classic position

12  Lady Promise

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Buzzer Beater   seems like a good spot 1st out following the O'Neill claim as she is an off pace type in an affair with plenty of speed......and gets the sizzling hot Van Dyke in the saddle

2  Pragmatical   good year for Mike Puype with drop downs and he drops another here.......six year old mare has been away since September but training as if being "fresh" is a good thing.......1 for 1 up for a tag......up for a tag today

4  Tuscan Beauty   very suspicious drop especially with a rider who is still looking for his 1st win of the meeting with 49 chances.....but.....if this filly runs her last she should win......I despise these kind.......flip a coin

7  Cecil's Diamond

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Mexican Gold   Chad Brown has yet to get the ability out of this filly that she displayed in France.....but off of a somewhat dull effort in her last he bothers to ship her coast to coast and with some impressive a.m. work put in at Belmont.....solid one mile efforts in France....1st at one mile on the grass in the USA

7  Roco Rojo    hard to argue with 5 for 6 lifetime all of which were on the sod especially when she is trained by Chad Brown and ridden by Florent Geroux.......like our top choice 8F appears to be a good fit

12  Miss Temple City   best runner in the field but the outer-most 12 post in one mile turf races over the years at Del Mar and Santa Anita has been murder.....pin a medal on Prado if he can work out a good enough trip to take down this race

1  Tiz A Kiss

Long-shot consideration:   2  Stays In Vegas   good post and a fairly smooth runner for Van Dyke to work out a good trip.....and a good trip in a 12 horse Grade 1 affair can go a long way in getting to the circle of joy

 

race 8    above average clarity

5  Jazzy Times   (4 2 1 1) at today's distance........114:2 in lone race at Del Mar and the effort was run off of 36 days rest........30 days this time around......and last but not least he is the controlling speed in the race

2  Who's Out   2 for 2 at today's distance including a 7 1/2 length win at Del Mar........0 for 6 at other distances.......should be well meant today and sure appears best of those who will likely sit from off of the pace......dangerous sort

1  St. Joe Bay   might need lifetime best to upset here but might be up to it with the way in which Miller has been getting the job down at Del Mar this fall

4  Texas Two Step 

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Glacier   Baffert picks up s beautifully bred colt who showed little in his MSW debut in late September at CD.....but he sure is working for the world class trainer as if he will show plenty in his 2nd lifetime start

9  Bobby G   last isn't bad but his race 2 back is very strong and somewhat disguised......believe he will be up to that effort 2 races back if of course he can handle the sod as well as the dirt.....so so pedigree for it....but a hot rider on the grass in Van Dyke up

2  Bird Is The Word   latest is much much better than appears in print......blinkers off for today and vastly improved works.....just what you want to see......bred OK to handle the grass and if he does he has a shot to graduate and graduate at a handsome price

1  Kona Dreams

10  I'm Living Proof

13 AE  Soglio

6  Tastemaker

 

Posted on December 4, 2016 at 10:25 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections