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Los Alamitos for Friday 16 December 2016

They ran on cement yesterday as the surface became lightning fast and favored inside speed. Then the rains came last night and this morning. I don't have a clue as to what kind of surface we will see today. That makes my confidence level quite low. 

The Winter Challenge Saturday featuring the world's best thoroughbred in California Chrome. Like last Saturday I like the race card and last Saturday sure turned out nice.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Whiskey Prince   consistent sort including on an off track......trainer finished up the Del Mar meeting red hot......and William Morey is a high percentage trainer 1st out following a claim

2  Justonemorething   both races following the Melissa Saldana claim fit solidly......voided claim in latest but gets ample time off as in 3 1/2 months to make a recovery

5  Outthink'em   7 for 14 in the exacta when competing at Lrc........2 for 29 in the exacta elsewhere......best be fully ready to win (or place) now

1  Brother Soldier

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Sleepin N Cheatin   trainer and rider have been absolutely ice-cold as a team but might change that here with this 2nd time starter who has been working too well to ignore

4  If Ur Not Early   Puype has had great success the last 3 months or so dropping multiple levels to get to the circle of joy......MSW to MC40K today.....first two races are solid but his last is not.....plenty of time off to set things right

5  Cal Cal Li Gowchis   Jerry Wallace does OK at Lrc and he appears to have this colt ready for his debut......and it seems like a good sign of readiness that this is the only mount of the day for Martin Garcia

8  Who Cares

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Georgia Blue   very good speed in this spot if she is fully ready fresh off of a 2 month layoff.........lifetime best was the lone time this filly raced on the dirt without fronts........like her pedigree to take to the off going

1  Secret Wonder   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   no action on the board in her maiden debut suggesting the effort was needed and intended as a muscle her up turf tightener......recent improved works support notion.....as does a rider upgrade

5  Lovely Raquel   only race at Lrc run way back in April is a good effort and hidden by a slow start and a wide trip.....been away since but has been working for a prolonged period of time and for a trainer in Victor Gracia awakening from the doldrums

3  Utana   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Avicii   five-year old mare s in good form at the moment with 2 wins and 3 2nd's in her last 5 races one of which was at Lrc.....and she was just snatched up at the claiming box by one dangerous trainer 1st out after a claim in Diodoro

5  Midnight Candy   solid record on conventional dirt (6 2 1 2) when not wearing blinkers....... lifetime best was run at Lrc three races back.......latest is much better than appears in print (way too wide).......hard not to like

4  Conquest So True   somewhat suspicious drop especially considering her trainer tends to give little away......but sure fits solidly if she has remained in good shape.......rate it a 50/50 proposition

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Frandontjudge   seems like a good claim by Diodoro of a mare who is vastly improved since the blinkers were removed 3 races back.......and Diodoro is firing on all cylinders at the brief meeting and is dynamite 1st out following a claim

2  Papaslilprincess   after falling off form for a couple of racing she mounted a rebound in her last......and today she gets a positive switch in jocks to one with a good chance to win his 2nd straight S Cal meeting in a row

3  Backstreet Lisa   not so hot on turf and very poor on the AW.........so maybe toss out both but definitely toss her last on the GG AW........trainer sure seems overdo as he has been icy cold for a very long time......drops to help break the pain of losing......filly is 1 for 1 on an off track

8  Joan of Arch

Long-shot consideration:  5  Individual Design   good off track pedigree and it showed as she won his lone effort on an off track......5 for 11 at the distance.......and she gets a top-tier rider on her back for the 1st time in many a moon

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Westmont   only race on the dirt without blinkers which was run 2 back is strong as is his last run on the turf........back to the dirt today and likely feels good coming of a grass race of only 5F.....and he owns a pedigree to handle an off track

5  Derby Music   improving until he tried the grass in his latest which didn't work out too well.......so.....back to the dirt for today.....retains Arroyo who knows this colt well as this is his 5th straight mount on him.....such a deal

3  Blowemaway   decent win in his 2nd lifetime start way back on 22 Sept. in a race at Lrc..........been away since but training well for O'Neill and company......seems ready

2  Rim Ditch

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Alltheleavesrbrown   very strong work regiment for someone like Hartman who usually doesn't push his western stock too hard.......and the trainer isn't afraid to lose a horse so the step up in claiming supports the notion this four-year old gelding is doing quite well

3  Atascaderan   best speed in the field (thus tossing the ML favorite who also has speed and seemingly needs the lead) shows two nice works since stout 1st out following a claim trainer Mark Glatt snatched him up at the claiming box......should be tough

1  Yoked   lone lifetime win was at Lrc and at today's 8F.......takes a small drop and does so showing one of the better works of his life six days ago at Slr.......feeling good and seems ready for a strong turf to dirt race

8  Lamu

 

race 8    below average clarity

4  Wild Mischief   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  only lifetime sprint with the blinkers on was solid and disguised by a 3 wide trip on a good rail day.....and the race has been a key race.......blinkers on and with one less furlong to travel than the aforementioned race.....and one less furlong seems as if it is a plus

3  Vodka Texted You   owns some early speed which is often an asset on off tracks.....and.....his recent a.m. works hints Machowsky has tweaked something for the better

8  Frosted Boss   lone lifetime race that might do the trick in this spot is his latest......can he repeat it today?.......we shall see

5  Libertarian

2  Tanzor

12  Pop Pop's Pizza  SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  

 

 

 

Posted on December 16, 2016 at 8:02 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections