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Santa Anita for Thursday 29 December 2016

Tough card this afternoon but I am rather high on Friday's card. Hope the light showers in the forecast for tomorrow are minimal and don't have an affect on the turf or the dirt.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

3  Midnight Swinger   race appears loaded with speed and should play into the hands of this late running three-year old filly........latest endeavor is better than appears in print losing about 4L to trip trouble......solid jockey in Van Dyke with off the pace types

6  Plastered   filly has solid early speed but Prat has options as this filly can also win from off the pace which seems like a wise move here.......claimed in her latest by Hollendorfer who is a stellar 31% win 1st following a claim with his last 150

1  Ok Doll   very strong effort on the grass 3 races back which was run off of 2 1/2 months rest with a low a % (especially on the turf) jockey up......last race for this filly was 2 1/3 months ago.......Bejarano is up today with a record of 3 wins in 4 mounts when riding this girl........sure appears well-meant this afternoon

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Foolish to Deceive   placed way over his noggin in his latest for an endurance building muscle him up turf tightener.......race two back fits and the effort is somewhat disguised......seems primed for similar or maybe even more this afternoon

7  River Hoss   runs just fine when placed in 6F races ( 5 1 2 2)......doesn't when placed at other distance (5 0 0 0)........6F today.......should be running late

3  Adrosa Sky   placed over his head in last in a much-needed spin around the track following the long hiatus from the game.......3 nice drills since the effort hint he should strut his stuff today

5  Red Wine and Dine

 

race 3    below average clarity

12  Kenzou's Rhythm    should finish up well when push comes to shove coming off of two straight route races........and his recent a.m. prowess looks good

4  Thirty Pepperonis   quite unusual to give a runner with 5 lifetime starts 3 straight gate preparatory works but that is the case here.....that hints to me Lewis is trying to change something and improve this guy......lifetime best to date was run in his only effort ever at SA.....potential for best ever today

2  Big Shorty    seems best at SA and like our top selection he seems likely to finish well coming off of a couple of two turn races

3  Rainbow Squall

Long-shot consideration:   5  Quiet Dude   trainer tends to run his youngsters into shape and his debut sprint wasn't bad and somewhat hidden by a wide trip.......endurance building route for 2nd start......seems poised for best ever in his 3rd lifetime endeavor

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Ucanthankmelater   lifetime best and by a wide margin was the only time that Desormeaux was in the saddle........that race was run three back at SA .........and........was the only time this gelding raced as low as today's maiden $30K level......hmmmm

7  Budokan   seems like an overdue drop out of MSW racing.......only lifetime effort in 6 starts that fits was at SA and it was his lone dirt fast track route race ever run......nice 4 work series in preparation for today hints the connections mean business

10  Long Game   not an easy post to cope with at SA at one mile on the dirt but on the improve and drops multiple levels......and gets a significant rider upgrade

11  AE  Dynamic Ruler

3  Downside Up

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Summer Lady   steady and shuffled back quite a bit in last which was too much to overcome in a 5F turf race..........did well to finish only 5L behind the winner......really has responded for Prat with a win and 3 2nd's in 4 mounts........seems likely to get a nice stalk or mid pack ground saving trip

1  Shehastheritestuff   trainer is a dismal 0 for his last 28 with runners coming off of their maiden breaking win like this filly........but........this filly crushed her competition to graduate in her last.......and she finished up at the wire the best off her career by far.......don't see a fall off today

8  Mai Tai   race might not set up too well for her off the pace style but she might be a better sprinter than a router and she finally gets to sprint on the grass.......1 for 2 sprinting on the dirt and the win was at 6 1/2......she should have a strong finish coming off route grass races

5  Algorhythmic

Long-shot consideration:   6  Foxy Fresh   gimme/go to start career led to a win.....so her layoff last and 1st on the sod sure appears to be a gimme to tighten up for a full-blown go today.....recent a.m. prowess sure supports the notion

 

race 6    below average clarity

6  Dr. Troutman   nicely improved in the a.m. coming off of a turf route.......showed he can handle the Santa Anita dirt in a decent sprint race.....good shot for Nakatani to show what he's got as this two-year appears sharp and ready for graduation

3  Q. T.'s Tribute   trainer William Morey has had a hot December and he and Desormeaux have won their last two as a team.......1st ever at the "big track" but recent works are improved hinting this youngster might be up to the challenge

2  Jet Ski   lifetime best was his lone lifetime dirt race at a route.......and the effort was at SA.......not much speed in here and he has some with a decent post to utilize it.......might be tough to put away in the stretch if Elliot is able to slow things down

10  I'd Be Sad an Blue

Long-shot consideration:   8 Six Point Rack   troubled trips in all 3 lifetime starts.....new jock gets a shot today and he is an upgrade......mom has produced 6 winners from her other 6 starters and 3 of them were stacks winners......potential is there to eventually be a good one

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Roman Tizzy   claimed 4 races back for 12,500 so the drop to 10,000 doesn't concern me much.....last race at SA run 3 back was at today's distance and quite strong and with Lindsay as the rider......Bejarano is up today

4  Carlos Dangerous   recent a.m. prowess hints at a solid rebound.......might be up for his strong effort run 3 races back.....fits as well as anyone in this affair if he is

6  Winning Causeway   two of his last three wins have come back in short rest of 21 days......so racing this afternoon with even shorter rest of 13 days might be a very good thing......we shall see

9  Willing to Travel

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Mo'vette   rank and checked in her last in a race run in high winds that tossed large chunks of debris all over the place......enough to discourage any two-year old........very impressive 1st ever routing on the grass two races back......two year old filly trained by Baltas overcame trip trouble and still made a strong 3 wide move on the 2nd turn.......that race with a better trip should make her tough here and at a price

5  Journey Home   exits the same crazy high wind debris flying around Grade 3 race as our top pick but with a good trip.....she ran well.....but......she benefited from more than half the field being bothered by the crazy conditions

3  Cynthiana   double barrel action for Baltas as he also trains our top selection........two year old filly has improved with each and every race and her last two works following her latest are improved indicating she is going to move forward again......Desormeaaux wisely sticks around

6  La Force

9  Tap It All

10  Miss Sugars

 

Posted on December 29, 2016 at 7:13 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections