Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Friday 30 December 2016

Rather bummed with the radar that I am looking at for Arcadia right now as there is going to be more rain at SA than anticipated. I really liked this card but with the rain not so much. They likely will be off the grass (not good) and usually off going creates a biased surface. Hope that it doesn't as the selections are for an even playing field.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Individual Design   5 for 12 at the distance........3 for 7 on the SA dirt.......post was 10 for 50 in the Fall route races at SA........last sure fits and is disguised by about 5 or 6 lengths of trip trouble......a superfecta of positive reasons to consider

3  Private Terms   better when routing and the barn seems to know that now.......  likely to get a nice stalk or mid pack race position which nearly led to a win in her last and it was in a fairly fast heat.......dangerous for sure

2  Frandontjudge   bug boy is 1 for 151 but his mount usually breaks well in dirt routes and she starts from a good post.......should sit close up hopefully minimizing trip trouble........at least the struggling apprentice still gets a 10 lbs allowance......hang on kid and you just might get your 2nd winner

7  General Ann

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Mopotism   two-year old filly goes from a Grade 1 third to a MSW race......fits a ton and then some unless she doesn't take to the SA dirt (and or an off track) in her first race on it

2  Majestic Quality   on the improve with each and every race......not out of this if the trend continues or our top selection doesn't care for SA

3  Spooky Woods    both lifetime sprints adjusted for trip factors are better than par by a couple of lengths.......her lone route effort is not so hot.......Hollendorfer still must believe she can route as she comes right back in one.....maybe he thinks she disliked the Dmr dirt....we shall see

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Princess Ashlyn   lone win and a very solid effort came off of 3 months rest......next race back in 4 weeks was OK and disguised some.......running off of 2 1/3 months rest today and with a stellar series of drills.......sure fits here at this lower level if she reverts back to her race two back.....I obviously believe she will

4  Angel Lane   seems likely to get loose in this spot and with a good rider with speed in Prat who I believe can be the leading rider at this long meeting if he stays healthy.....dangerous gate to wire shot

1  Miss Bliss   might be a good claim by Ed Moger of a four-year old filly who does her best running on the SA dirt ( 8 2 4 0).........nice work series at GG suggests she is meant and ready for her new connections

2  Buzzer Beater  SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE

 

race 4    average clarity

(if taken off of the turf  3-4-5-6-9)

3  Girl Downstairs   lifetime best and hidden by about 5L of trip trouble was her only race ever on the new SA turf .......that race was at one mile so she still has to prove she can handle the hill......major rider upgrade to get that accomplished

6  Pearl de Vere   very consistent mare when competing on the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course......and she drops one level lower than what her new connections claimed her for........hard not to see her being a major player in this spot

4  Pico Chick   very consistent sort but all of his races are on the dirt ( 13 4 3 4).......1st on the grass with an average pedigree for it......fits fine if she handles it and if she does she has the right jock up in Flavien Prat

1  Comealongwithme

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Fantastic Style   stout four-year old filly has never missed the board and is a stellar ( 5 4 1 0) at SA and ( 4 3 1 0) with today's jock up........add to that Bob Baffert and you one tough individual despite the 7 month hiatus from the game

2  Stealth Drone   should be closing better than usual as there should be a lively set of fractions in this affair........good rider with off pace types in Van Dyke gets the mount for the 1st time

1  Dr. Fager's Gal   another off pace runner who seems poised for a strong late run running turf to dirt in her 2nd out following a four-month layoff

7 Bad Ju Ju

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Prime Attraction   we had this colt as our top selection in a grass race on opening day but he scratched for today's dirt race.....and his last race on the dirt sure fits well in this higher level spot if he can handle the SA dirt as well as the Dmr dirt.......works awfully well at SA and his debut was at SA and was better than appears in print......bred to run all day long

1  Top of the Game   lifetime best was his lone race to date at SA which was run 3 back.......tried the grass ( not if I was the owner) in his next two starts and ran OK at best.....back where he impressed.....Desormeaaux wisely sticks around......finishes like he should appreciate the 9 furlongs

2  Lazzem   seems better on the dirt so his latest might have been a turf tightener........and like our top tw0 choices the distance seems as if it should be a plus

5  Tribal Jewel

Long-shot consideration:   7  Ground Rules   has fired well "fresh" with two wins the only 2 times he has ever competed "fresh".....9 months fresh today and Prat up.....nice pedigree to handle an off track......dangerous

 

race 7    average clarity

(if taken off of the turf  4-7-1-2-5-6)

2  Soglio   very strong turf race at Dmr in his latest with the addition of blinkers.....and his previous 3 lifetime grass races elsewhere aren't too shabby........1st on Lasix today which is one of Graham Motion's better stats.....good post and with one on the trainer's go to jocks in Van Dyke up

4  Vending Machine   vastly improved since the Peter Miller claim.....1st ever on the sod but mom has tossed 4 grass winners and dad is a decent turf sire.....very dangerous especially with the way Miller has been going the last few months

3  Hootie   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   nice MSW debut on the turf followed by a respectable off the turf run in a Grade 3....back to the grass......only mount of the day for Victor Espinoza seems significant

7  Interrogator

Long-shot consideration:   1  Oopper Wallah   lifetime best was his only race on the turf.....and that race was at SA and at today's one mile distance......likely will need his best ever but not impossible to provide it

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Candy Coded   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   flashed a strong bullet 3F speed drill way back in early October.......since then he mostly has been given a steady diet of long works....that hints he has put in plenty of endurance for today's maiden debut and that he likely has speed

8  Soleil Couchant   another 1st time starter who I believe is meant and ready for his MC debut.......only cost chump change at sale but his works are solid and mom his tossed 8 winners from 11 starters

1  Really a Gem   consistency is not his problem......hanging is......needs to break the mold and do so for a trainer who has struggled in 2016 to the tune of 2 for 50.......3 for 51 sure seems a lot better.....as in 4% to 6% for the year

12  Latina Mo

2  Bubble Time

13  Jeoffie

 

 

 

Posted on December 30, 2016 at 8:22 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections