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Santa Anita for Sunday 5 February 2017

Early 11 a.m. post for today

Hope you enjoy the races and the Super Bowl. And for some folks (like a few spouses I know) this is one of their favorite days as in the end of football until summer. Be back with you Thursday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

4  Cistron   solid forward move in 2nd lifetime start.......strong work tab since........and highly likely to be the controlling speed in this spot.....no brainer to place as top selection

1  Soglio   believe this colt might be a better grass horse than our top selection but the race shape of this affair seems to work against him

2  Oopper Wallah   not so hot on a good rated turf course in his latest........but much better in his only other grass race which was on firm turf.......and he might be able to sit in a decent stalk position and get 1st crack at our top choice

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Outa Here   z pattern running line and ran wide on the turn........better than appears effort on paper......and maybe more importantly a rider upgrade from one struggling to one that is hot

4  Beautiful Princess   another with a poor trip in her MSW debut for Baffert and company.......new trainer for her 2nd lifetime start in O'Neill......like the solid 6F work he put into his new shooter to finish up her preparation for today's race

2  Meanie Irenie  MSW debut for this Baltas filly might have been nothing more than a tune-up as her a.m. work since is quite a bit improved.......seems like a dangerous Baltas/Bejarano 2nd time starter

 

race 3    below average clarity

5  Miss Big Stuff   Miller drops and although it seems like too large of a drop (as in suspicious) he did offer up this filly for only $1,500 more three races back.....speed of the speed here.....and that is a good thing as she appears to be a lead type only

4  Goliath's Girl   handled the step up in claiming in her latest for her 2nd straight win.....steps up again......and she does so once again on the SA surface which is easily her favorite (4 2 1 1)......dangerous stalker here

3  Herunbridledpower   very consistent on fast rated dirt surfaces (5 2 3 0)........somewhat suspicious drop but if she still is in decent enough physically condition I might have rated her too low......let's call it a 50/50 proportion as far as her health is concerned

2  Dyna Star

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Rye   very consistent sort on any surface ( 11 5 0 4  -  and he ran 4th and 5th in two large fields in the two races he was out of the money) .......hot trainer in Morey and especially so when he rides Desormeaux.....away for 2 months but training as if he ready to roll....and he will be rolling late

7  Sky Preacher   another hot rider/trainer combo in Nakatani and Baltas........five year old gelding has a win and 2 2nd's on firm turf since adding blinkers.... and.......the win was at SA at 1 1/8.......just worked what might be a very significant bullet work as this guy has been working kind of dull the last couple of months

9  Infobedad   just won on an off track by 26 lengths first time with blinkers......3 works since.......might be feeling awfully well.......needs to avoid a nasty speed duel with our 4th selection one way or another

4  Rye Patch

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Lucky Mark   drop down makes sense for this speedy GG invader.......Morey seemingly means business as he likely realizes he might lose this fellow as he has put 3 works into his cheap horse following his last start on Jan 6th......should be in the mix from the get go with ability to win on or off of the pace

9  Swiss Wager   Gil Matos owns some stats that caught my attention........he has won 3 of his last 8 with mutiple level drop downs and 2 of his last 7 with shippers.......both are the case here.....and 5 1/2F is a good fit

2  Second Proposal   trainer has been dismal the last 3 or 4 months and might be hungry for a win....if that is the impetus for the significant drop down.....then......lookout here

6  Pat the Bear

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Unique Bella   another young filly freak from the Hollendorfer barn.......a la Songbird.......believe she will have to really dislike her 1st at a route not to be a ton and one half here.......but......her pedigree screams.......the longer the better

2  Champagne Room   won the filly B C Juv last Nov in decent time but she couldn't have had a better trip........working great so I imagine she is ready fresh off of a intelligent 3 month break........but if our top choice is as talented as I believe she will need the best race of her life this afternoon to win this

5  Miss Southern Miss   proven fresh as she won her MSW debut for Keith Dosormeaux who seldom wins with MSW 1sters.......work tab says she is meant and ready but she catches the top two three year old fillies in the nation.....stranger things have happened

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Hayabusa One   impressive wide margin win at Kee in his 1st in the USA ....followed that Oct race with a strong Grade 1 4th at Dmr in early Dec........and the effort is disguised by a wide trip......better post for Espinoza to work out a better trip.......softer company......should be tough

3  Conquest Daddyo   1st start with Salder and company and the connections appear ready with their new shooter off of back to back solid 6F drills spaced only 5 days apart......you don't work like that prior to a tune-up......1 for 2 at the distance winning in a $125K Stakes race last July Woodbine

5  Prospect Park   seems to have slipped a little but sure has a spot lacking speed and he owns some.......and gets reunited with Desormeaux who has been absent for a couple of races........the right jock to take advantage of the lack of speed and take control of the situation

4  Some in Tieme

 

race 8    below average clarity

9  Two Hail Marys   best looking work regiment of the six 1st timers in the field......and outside of our 2nd selection those that have run haven't shown too much

10  Potente Alba   2 2nd's and a 3rd in 3 lifetime races......owns some speed and might show even more this afternoon with 1st time blinkers........lifetime best was at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance so the cut back of one half furlong seems like a plus

7  Lil Awecim   fell off in his 2nd lifetime start following a decent debut......gelded since his latest and just worked a solid 5F one week ago hinting the minor surgery has improved him

6  Patience Ofa Saint

5  Vidaks Back

11  Edwards Going Left

 

 

Posted on February 5, 2017 at 7:42 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections