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Santa Anita for Sunday 12 February 2017

Believe the races will be on the turf with sunny skies and a breezy day. I sure hope so as I have run out of time to makes picks for the dirt if they come off.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   below average clarity

4  Tiz a Billy   consistent sort including competing on the SA hill........Koriner is solid 2nd out after layoffs and that is the case today........Sutherland sure could use a visit to the winners circle and might get one here

10  Incensed   very consistent 5F turf sprinter in the Midwest and Florida.......shows up in the stout Miller barn for his 1st in S Cal.......his pedigree agrees with today's further distance.......very dangerous new shooter for Miller

7  Lauren's Lad   claimed by Ellis in Oct. from Baffert for 50K........been away since but training well enough to be ready......likes the hill........should be a player if I am right about my assessment of his readiness

1  Street Vision

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Latino Mo   woke up with the blinkers put on and the drop in class two races back.......like the the cut back in distance for today as his endurance should be there to finish strong at 6 1/2F

4  Jeoffie   filly move forward in her latest and it is hidden somewhat as she broke slow and ran wide........and she might move forward again as this is only her 3rd out following a layoff

1  Avaudrey   10 lbs bug boy has a shot to get loose if he can manage to break well from the 1 hole........if he does lookout as he might be loose on the lead which is right where you want a very inexperienced rider to be

5  Seaquet

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Magic Miracle   sure like the way this colt who was compromised by a slow start finished up late in his MSW debut......nice set of preparatory drills since........solid pedigree to handle a route of ground......and the D'A wins about a 1/4 of the time when he sends a given horse long for the 1st time

2  Magical Mystery   owns multiple efforts that fit solidly here but they were with Mr. Baffert......can Scott Hansen who takes over the training duties get as much out of him 6 months later.....works suggest he might

3  Wise Curlin   big wake up in his last and it is somewhat hidden by a wide trip......would have rated higher if he had worked more than once since.....hopefully he has put in some strong gallops or swims

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Iliad   solid pace and final time to graduate on Dec 18th......good work regiment since.......and I sure like the switch in riders (with the change in trainers) from a struggling one to one of the best year in and year out in S Cal

4  Battle of Midway   hottest jock in town in Mike Smith and especially so for Hollendorfer......only needs to build slightly on his winning MSW debut.....rate it 75/25 that he will

2  Aquamarine   impressive MSW debut win and the strength of the race was supported as 2nd came back to win yesterday......solid reassuring a.m. work since.......NOTE: my 3 selections were split by hairs

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Miss Sunset   faltered on an off track.....no big deal......toss it out.......continues to train like a young horse with plenty of talent who displayed it winning by an average of 5L in two lifetime races on fast track.......owns an adequate pedigree for the turf......should be in the mix from the get go with a speed jock up who shows signs of breaking out of a slump

6  Miss Sugars   very consistent young filly who just won a small turf Stakes race like this one but at a route......but.....she ran well in sprint races overseas in GB last year........solid rider/trainer combo in Baze and Mullins......should be flying late

1  Hot in the City   good looking MSW 5F debut turf win at Del Mar in early December.....filly has trained like she has quite a bit of talent since.........Prat upw who is terrific with young grass horses..........stout pedigree for a turf sprints including one at 6 1/2 furlongs

8  Madam Dancealot  

Long-shot consideration:   3  Mo'vette   Blanc set too far back off of a lackluster pace in this girl's last.......rank and checked in her race 2 back in high winds that tossed large chunks of debris all over the place......enough to discourage any two-year old........very impressive on the grass three races back......two year old filly trained by Baltas overcame trip trouble and still made a strong 3 wide move on the 2nd turn.......hidden and might pop at a price today......jock owes The Racing Digest as we are hardly ever right about anything he ever rides

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Lady Believe   mom has tossed two winners from 2 starters including a Stakes winner.......one of the better looking work tabs for an O'Neill MSW 1st timer in many a moon.......can you spell R E A D Y

3  Sealcourt   work series for this Sadler 1st time starter sure has finished up solidly......right when it counts the most....... as in just prior to her MSW debut..........seems highly likely to be a major player

4  The Incident     Jamie Theriot originally named but Mike (on fire) Smith up on the Hollendorfer 1st timer........hmmmmm

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Aura Rose   last three races fit....... and she races for her lowest MC price of her young career.......two reassuring works since and Bejarano sticks around.....usually a good thing but especially so for a Truman runner as the trainer quite often means business when he uses Raffy

6  No Spin Zone   very strong better than appears in print race in latest and beat our top pick......so why not top choice.......another furlong to cope with might not be to her liking

8  Princess Bella   moved forward in 2nd lifetime start and might be able to again today.....bug boy has struggled but got a confidence boost yesterday with a win......dangerous sort

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Summer Lady   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

11  Flamingo Lane   obviously not a good claim by Baltas and company as this mare had to be laid up following the 27 Oct claim......but.......takes a significant drop in claiming and draws Bejarano.......very dangerous ability even with the difficult post if she is in decent physical condition

7  Lob City  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

9  Conquest So True

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Goliath's Girl   filly runs best off of short rest........with that in mind it makes her latest which was run over her head appear to be a gimme......so as to drop back in only 7 days.......and....... go go go this afternoon

8  I'll Tell You What   five-year old mare has been absent since she was three but Gary Stute sure appears to have her ready fresh off of the bench for today......seems best at 5 1/2F......seems best at SA......dangerous laid off runner

6  Tough Annie   trainer Lorenzo Ruiz is often at his best off of layoffs of 3 months or more.......that is the case here.....and her work tab hints the rest has done her a world of good.....sure hope in has

2  Moonie

1  Gianis

10  Sooner Time

Posted on February 12, 2017 at 10:40 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections