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Santa Anita for Saturday 18 March 2017

Only a few days left to save $5 on our special publication covering the Stakes races (likely 8 of them) on Florida Derby day at Gulfstream Park on April 1st.

Average card at best today. Let us call it an 5.5 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

race 1    average clarity

6  Bottle Service      MSW debut which was run two back was impressive as he was green early and sat way too far off a very slow pace......when he got his act together he showed a good stretch run.......much better rider up today than who rode in his debut.......recent speed drill hints he will sit closer today

2  California Journey   Mike Puype is rather dismal when he starts a 1st time starter on the grass but this youngster's a.m. work is too good to ignore .......and he sure is bred to handle the sod and a route

8  I Can Do This   blinkers back on might be a move that will put him on the lead as he showed good route speed on the dirt in his last......not nuts about his turf pedigree but if he does take it I like his chances to be a major player here

9  Checkaboomboom

 

race 2    below average clarity

5  Madiba   seldom gets a good trip including his latest which is better than appears in print......so running as a 1st time gelding has the potential to help him out to some extend.....lookout if it does

3  Tribal Jewel   voided claim in last and a dull race.......yet Spawr doesn't drop when he could without much fear of being claimed.......obviously has issues but might rally for a rebound with the 2 1/2 month break

2  City Steel   seems best taking back some especially racing as far as 1 1/16th........like his chances if the connections are thinking the same way

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Malibu Royalty   showed life in his lone grass race which was at 6 1/2F way back in May........likely needed her latest run off of the May to Feb layoff......blinkers back on and just what you want to see as in a much better recent a.m. prowess........believe Baze can be forwardly placed and grab the wood for at least turn 1......tepid top pick but should go off at a handsome price

4  Dalsaros   so so sprint turf debut but it might have legged up this filly up as she has been able to work an average of every 7 days since 30 Jan........and her last drill hints she is very sharp right now........and I sure like that Prat sticks around for a 1 for 22 at the meeting trainer in Gaines

6  Road Test   on the improve with every start and his last might be good enough if his dirt ability transfers equally to the grass.......average turf pedigree at best

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Kenjisstorm   solid layoff effort in his last racing somewhat wide pressing a strong set of fractions.........and today he gets a jock upgrade especially for a grass race.......solid recent a.m. work to boot.....should be a factor from the get go

5  Rye   race shape is seemingly not in this late runners favor...... but...... it might not matter in he can repeat his latest which was his lifetime best.......same distance/surface/turf course/jock

8  Stringent   quite impressive in 3 of 4 lifetime starts including his latest which was his 1st on the grass and at a route.......works since are good.......would have rated higher if I wasn't slightly concerned about his ability to get another furlong today.......why.....Dam's sire Salt Lake gets awfully iffy past one mile

2  Prime Attraction

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Rebel War   low % trainer but not dropping MSW to maiden claiming and racing off of 90+ day layoffs........that is the case today for this colt who has run 3 lifetime races that all fit decently at today's MC100K level

7  Excavation   like when D'Amato is willing to enter at a lower claiming tag to get weight off......3 lbs off for entering for 85K and another 7 with the bug boy up.........colt has been flattening in his MSW races.....but.....doubt he will today with the drop into MC and with the this colt having 7 to 10 lbs less to carry than his opponents

2  Braddock   no support at the windows (56 to 1) in his lone race last Oct in a MSW race has gimme written all over it.........returns with a work regiment that hints that this time around is not a tune-up.......we shall see

1  Sagittari

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Boldly True   last might be a spin around the track to dirty up his form and drop with less of a threat of being claimed.......latest work on 11 March is quite a bit better than he has shown since late Dec.......dangerous (hoping that he is set up for today) drop down

6  Rangi   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

4  Boone Docks   toss last as he is not much of a route horse and ran too wide anyway.....toss out previous as the blinkers on experiment was a dud....races 3 and 4 back fit.....popping bullet works.......hmmmm

3  Too Fast to Pass

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Enola Grey   love the way she is capable of going eye to eye in solid fractions down the hill and still able to win going away at the wire.....how to you beat that

8  Cuddle Alert   keeps out running her odds and gets one significant rider upgrade.......our top choice should ensure a solid pace up front and this mare appears to be the sharpest of the off pace runners

2  Roo's Valentine   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE     overcame a tardy start and still pulled off a win down the hill .....responds well to ample time between starts and gets it......might be able to save ground stalking a strong pace

4  Desert Steel

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Ivan El Grande   lone win and a race that looks awfully good here was her MSW debut at Sun......so with a strong work series showing this colt seems ready to roll fresh once again

7  Kenji's Storm   blinkers on and took the plunge from MSW racing to low-level claiming in his 2nd lifetime start.....and he responded with an 8 1/4 length win.......D'Amato is an impressive 29% with his last 86 repeating after a maiden win.....so why not top pick?......as well as this fellow ran why isn't he placed in a protected starter alw 40K nw2

2  Solar Zone   sure liked being loose on the lead at least in an abbreviated 5F dirt sprint.......so T C Baze will likely be all out early to get a loose lead once again.......not impossible to get another furlong today if he does

6  Carulli

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Finest City   extremely versatile B C winner seems to handle any surface or distance thrown at her.......and in her only 2 turn dirt race she ran only 2L behind the mighty now retired Beholder (note: that our 3rd choice raced 12L behind Beholder the only time she raced against her)

7  Wild At Heart   slow winning time in her latest in a Grade 3 moved from the turf to the dirt.....but she had the trip from you know where......broke slow - ran somewhat wide - and did so close to the strong pace........and she still won by 3 1/2L.....retains Prat who this time appears like he should get a good trip sitting off what should be a lively pace

2 Vale Dori   very consistent sort might be placed a little low but she was nowhere the only time she ran in a Grade 1..... and...... she had some awfully good pace scenario's in winning her 3 straight Grade 2's and beat the same semi-weak local bunch in those 3 wins......still.......dangerous but maybe vulnerable

4  Show Stealer

 

race 10    average clarity

4  Catfish Hunter   very poor trip in MC debut checking multiple times and still managed to snatch 3rd only beaten by 2L .......smartly is stepped up into MSW racing.......1st on the grass and 1st at a route sure fit his pedigree.......good post and good turf jock in Baze......trainer has had a good meeting

5  Quick Finish   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   works - pedigree - and the fact that Prat lands on this Dan Blacker 1st timer suggest that all systems are "go" for this colt's MSW debut

8  Marckie's Water   on the improve with every start and his pedigree seems better for the grass which he showed he can handle 2 races back......stout rider/trainer combo........if he manages another forward move he should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

7  Burnt Cognac

2  Candy's Martini

9  I'd Be Sad an Blue

Posted on March 18, 2017 at 9:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections