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Santa Anita for Sunday 19 March 2017

Only one day left to save $5 on our special publication covering the Stakes races (likely 8 of them) on Florida Derby day at Gulfstream Park on April 1st.

Best of luck as always!

race 1    average clarity

5  Juansagain   great spot for Richard Baltas to have this runner ready off of the layoff as he essentially gets a shot at a level he can potentially dominate without being eligible to be claimed......recent works support the notion

3  No Problem   Mike McCarthy runners have for the most part been firing on all cylinders and that is somewhat hidden........ran over his noggin in last likely to dirty up his form some and drop and put some doubt into the minds of the claiming vultures lurking.......Prat rode the "gimme" so you know he would be aboard today

2  Last One Standing   obviously not the claim the connections were hoping for as they drop their new shooter multiple levels.......but ...........he might have a race or two left in him and if they win today they can break about even.......race two back is solid and would make him a major player here

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Atomic Action    great spot for Jeff Bonde to have this runner ready off of the layoff as he essentially gets a shot at a level he fits well without being eligible to be claimed......good a.m. preparation and the right jock up as Maldonado has won 3 of his last 5 over the last two months for Bonde

3  Cupid's Choice   last three fast track dirt races all fit and his latest is disguised by a rough trip.......would have been top choice if it wasn't for the fact that he was a vet scratch on March 4th in a MSW affair

8  Empire Ruler   might be a good claim by Ellis and company as his last was his best to date and is somewhat better than appears in print......and with the new trainer comes a new rider and he is an upgrade and predictably very dangerous on his father-in-law's horses

5  Gigantis

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Milton Freewater   back to Prat after being absent for a race........and both of this colt's lifetime scores have come the only two times he did not race in Stakes races......allowance race today........sharp a.m. work

6  Bobby Abu Dhabi    needs to be ready fresh and my guess is that he is as he won his MSW at today's 6 1/2F and did it in a effort/fit that would make him part of the win picture here........Miller and Arroyo......as hot as it gets in S Cal as a trainer/rider combo

5  Midnight Pleasure   looking for his race two back where sat close to a brutal pace and still stuck around for 3rd in a Grade 1......and today we get a major rider upgrade from a jock in a slump to one that is a Hall of Famer

 

race 4    average clarity

(AE 12  Particleacelerator   has shot if draws into the field)

8  Conquest Sabre Cat   does well sitting close to the pace....... so........ 1st time running with blinkers seems to be a smart move.......as is the rider switch to Bejarano after two straight bug boys riding who like most apprentice riders find the grass more difficult than the dirt

5  Langham   wide trip in his MSW debut or this colt would have graduated in his debut which was way back in July at at today's 1 mile turf turf........off since but obviously showed he can run fresh.......and choosey Mike Smith sticks with the colt

6  Ziconic   Zenyatta youngster has one very impressive race which was her 3rd start of his career in a route dirt race.......if he is ready to roll fresh off of a long layoff and is able to run similar on the grass today he would be the one to overcome.......owns a decent pedigree for the sod and he did run well in his debut

1  Orion's Belt

Long-shot consideration:   2  Latitude   work regiment for this laid up gelding is so much better now than what he showed last year ..........so....... running as a 1st time gelding might be significant.......good post and has some tactical speed  to sit close up and save ground

 

race 5    above average clarity

5  Lord Simba  only race run at SA which was on 14 Jan was one of the fastest MSW heats in many a moon......his effort likely would have been good enough to graduate in about 98% of the MSW affairs run at SA.......plenty of rest to recover.......jock could use a win especially for Baffert and best get the job done here

3  Who's Hot   dwelt & reared in his MSW debut and then showed he can run.......blinkers on and Prat remains up.....sharp bullet gate.......top connections so it seems likely that he will leave the metal monster cleanly today

2  Rafter One  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

1  Uncle Billy

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Riri   decent layoff run down the hill in her latest........won her only other race down the hill for fun and it was her MSW debut.....highly likely to move forward 2nd out after the layoff.....not a lot of speed in here and she has some.....hard not to like

1  Nickname   another from a good barn running 2nd out after a layoff following a decent effort down the hill......rather sure we will see a move forward with Mandella and Prat at the helm

3  Symposium   broke slow and was rank on the 1st turn and that was especially bad as she was shuffled back in a pace-less affair and didn't have any pace to close into.......that route race which was her 1st in the USA should set her up nicely for today's sprint.....and she was a good turf sprinter in GB in 2016

7  Corps de Ballet

Long-shot consideration:    9  Indriya   brutal trip given by a rider who has struggled trying to break into the S Cal racing scene......jock upgrade today and one impressive 7F work two weeks ago.........and might have the best early gas in the field

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Sly Humor   both off tracks stand out as her best lifetime races but her latest wasn't really that off.......if that is the case she is the one to beat......if not the top prize might go to someone else

6  Aura Rose   might be a good claim by Baltas of a filly who just won for fun to break her maiden 5 weeks ago......Baltas has been able to put 4 works into her since......believe she is sitting on another strong effort but likely needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our top choice one way or another

1  You're the Reason   new trainer takes over and he might have the trump card for this filly as the works since last are markedly improved.....and look who sees fit to ride.......Mr Desormeaux

8  Fallout

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Conquest Farenheit   pressed a brutal pace down the hill in latest and still was victorious down the hill.....and his Grade 2 run last fall at WO was very solid running 134:2 as a two-year old.......add to that the top rider/trainer combo at the meet and you have an easy pick to place on top

2  Taxman's Quest   strong Oklahoma invader winds up in the Mandella barn (never had to write that before) and he is working lights out.......not exactly a classic turf pedigree but if Mandella and Prat believe he will take to it that is good enough for me.......my guess is he has worked on it somewhere between Oklahoma and S Cal....maybe secretively.....lookout if that is the case

5  Taco   another strange invader who I believe has talent who is 4 for 4 lifetime all on the grass and has handled 3 different turf surfaces.......not crazy about the jock but he 1s two for two on the colt and the trainer is a stout 34% over his last 87 with shippers.....yikes

9  Zakaroff

Long-shot consideration:   1  Big Sky Logan   still a maiden but has a good post and plenty of pace up front to possible make a strong late run from the back of the pack and at a price

 

race 9    below average clarity

13  My Man Chuckles   excuse no. 1 - off track for debut.......excuse no. 2 didn't care for the blinkers on....blinkers off and a fast track and facing much easier.......has always worked like someone who could compete in the lower maiden claiming ranks

4  Liberty Jack    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

8  Soft Trip   two of his four lifetime starts seemingly make him a factor in this soft field especially his race 3 back which would be a solid fit versus this group

14  California Cajun

 12  Autism is Here

3  High Class Taste

 

 

Posted on March 19, 2017 at 9:06 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections