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Santa Anita for Saturday 8 April 2017

Hope you enjoy one of S Cal top race days every year in Santa Anita Derby Saturday! Next special pub is now on sale at a cost of $22.95. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(if off the turf:  1-8-3-6)

3  Doc Curlin   stepped on the majestic SA hill for the 1st time and sure liked the scenery as he fired his lifetime best........repeat of the effort makes him the one to overcome in this race......and he has the right to improve 2nd out after a layoff

8  Roy H   has run well "fresh" in the past and Peter Miller has him cranked up like he will once again today.......extremely impressive 58 Hg drill at Slr just 6 days ago to finish off his preparation for his return

2  Daddy D T   Sadler five-year old has had difficulty running back to back good efforts and his latest fits decently in this spot.......not out of the win picture if he can break the mold today

1  Kristi's Copilot

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Champagne Girl   showing hints in the a.m. that R Mandella might have this filly ready to roll in her MSW debut.......mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner.....not too shabby

6  Queen Laila  solid sprint breeding for this 1st time starter from the Callaghan barn who is training as if he is meant and ready ...........works hint that he owns some good early speed

4  Southern Mischief   not much support at the windows for a Baffert 1st time starter hints the race was needed and that much more is likely today .......and the fact that Smith stays put supports the notion

3  Hot Blooded Girl

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Cascade Kid   SCRATCHED    

2  Cats Blame   not much at a route in his 2nd lifetime endeavor.......his MSW debut was quite the opposite as he ran 2rd despite a wide trip pressing and then stalking a hot pace.......trainer could use something good to happen.....maybe it is here

1  Who's Hot   dueled and cashed it in in his 2nd lifetime start.......but he showed life in his debut after rearing and getting away about 9 or 10 lengths slow......earned an adjusted for trouble fig that was better than par for the MSW level......needs a rebound and of course a decent trip

3  Kona Dreams

Long-shot consideration:   4  Buckys Pick   trained quite well prior to his MSW debut but only ran so so......continues to train as if he has talent.......deserves another shot especially at a price

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Miss Sunset   two for two on fast rated sprints where she crushed her competition in both races......seems likely to be in the mix from the get go with a speed rider in Maldonado who has his mojo back these days

7  Starr Quality   claimed by Miller 2 back and the hot trainer sure improved his new shooter.......and since the race he has gotten his new filly to train markedly better........believe she is sitting on the race of her life and should finish up well coming off of a series of route races

4  You're Late   obvious 64 to 1 gimme in her last off of the layoff.....and the works since the tune-up are stout.....not a gimme today

2  Radish

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Pretty Girl   very impressive stretch run in her latest from the back of the pack despite a soft pace up front.......in her only other turf race in the USA she beat 1/2 of the field with a bad trip in one tough Grade 1 at AP........decent record at the distance (3 2 0 1)......should be tough

6  Harmonize   very consistent grass runner (including running off of layoffs) for Bill Mott who does quite well shipping into S Cal.......and the rider Junior Alvarado knows this filly inside out as he rides her all the time.....hard not see this filly being a factor in the outcome of this race

4  Lady Valeur   seems likely to get a nice ground saving trip thru at least the 1st turn sitting about 3rd or 4th not too far behind the leaders.......and that is a dangerous proposition when Pratt is the rider

8  Mokat

Long-shot consideration:   1  Juno   single digit trainer these days in Drysdale but he is still very dangerous the 1st time he takes over a given runner........five year old mare has good turf route speed and a dangerous front end grass rider in Desormeaux.......wire to wire attempt

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Abel Tasman   new trainer today in Bob  Baffert and a new rider in Mike Smith......you think that might help a three-year old......last 2 races are exceptionally strong effort/fig wise......as is only getting beat by the nation's best three-year old filly by 2 1/4L.......solid a.m. work.......should be one tough customer

2  It Tiz Well   on the improve with each and every race and if the progression continues today she has a decent chance to wind up in the circle of joy this afternoon

6  Majestic Quality   Keith Desormeaux often brings his youngster's around slowly and that is the case for this young filly.......needs a lively pace up front to be a factor down the stretch and has a decent shot of getting it here.......brother Kent sticks around

3  Paradise Woods

 

race 7    average clarity

9  Mining Diamonds   displayed average talent for an allowance horse last year........but......returns off of a 10 month layoff with strong works that hint she has grown up a lot and or Miller has tweaked something for the better.....we shall see

6  Avicii   last win came two back where a hot pace sets things up for her mid pack style.......decent chance that she gets another hot pace today......1st for Hollendorfer following the claim.....good sign Prat rides thru the claim

5  Shy Carmelita   very consistent in fast track sprint races........won her MSW debut so running off of an extended hiatus from the game seems doable

2  Dis Smart Cat

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Battle of Midway   impressive 1st at a route in latest running the overland route and still managing to win a salty alw race.......does lose Prat to our 2nd choice but gets Nakatani who has won his last 4 of 5 mounts for Hollendorfer over the last two months.......and just what you want to see prior to the SA Derby as in the best a.m. work of his career

9  Iliad   another caught wide (once again Pratt - what's with that) and up on the pace........did well to stick around for 2nd......should be a major player in the outcome of this race if he holds his form

2  Reach the World   didn't progress in his last but maybe Baffert was totally focused on today's big race and didn't have him as cranked up as he might be today........that and the young colt has a smooth way of going ......and .......Mr Money Mike Smith stays up

7  Kimbear  

Long-shot consideration:  11  Irish Freedom   brutal trip in last hides an OK route off of the long layoff........Baffert/Bejarano ........strong works .......2nd out after a layoff.........20 to 1 in the morning line........might want to use some

 

race 9    above average clarity

1  Sircat Sally   undefeated in 4 lifetime starts including 2 in grass routes........and she is capable on the lead or stalking the lead giving Smith options......a no brainer to put on top despite having a pedigree where 9F might be stretching it some

4  Beau Recall   SCRATCHED

8  Emphatically   been awhile since Proctor has been out west but he is today and with a good-looking filly who is progressing nicely........and she draws the attention of Prat and his agent.......Mr Proctor is close to 25% win with his last 500 shippers......that is a powerful stat considering the sampling

5  Princess Roy

 

race 10    average clarity

9  Elwood J   on the right end of the learning curve and king Jerry is very dangerous turf to dirt with short rest......last grass race is solid both in pace and final time......back to meets leading rider in Prat

8  California Diamond   don't want to jinx anyone and especially the young colt but what an "iron horse" he has been......this is his 11th lifetime start (already) for the three-year old and so far he has 5 wins and 5 2nd's in 10 races.....hard not to see being a major factor in the outcome of this race

4  Mr. Hinx   2 for 2 in sprints.......0 for 2 in routes both 4th place finishes........and Miyadi is often at his most dangerous with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case today

6  Green With Eddie

 

race 11    average clarity

9  Calle Kingpin   last 4 starts starting on 18 Dec have been good race - bad race - good race - bad race........we are on the positive end of the oscillator and the recent drills (and with first time blinkers to boot) hint we will see that positive end on the oscillator this afternoon......and if we do....... combined with the drop into claiming.....lookout

2  Odyssey Explorer   seems like an overdo drop into a maiden claiming race for this Hector Palma runner.......and the connections aren't messing around as they make a significant rider upgrade especially for  a turf race .......should be a major player (finally) if he has held form

1  Cafe Flavor   troubled trip in lone lifetime race which was a MSW turf route in November of 2015.........returns in a maiden claimer and with a hot rider/trainer combo in Stevens and Gallagher.....the fact he didn't return in a protected race hints this is not a tune-up......we shall see

3  Go Ghetto

5  South American

6  Fregosi

 

 

Posted on April 8, 2017 at 9:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections