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Santa Anita for Thursday 20 April 2017

OK card today. Let's call it a 6.5 on the 1 to 10 scale.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Getoffmyback   very solid at two.....like the step up out of claiming.......seems poised for......and...... has the potential for.......more  this afternoon 2nd out following the extended hiatus from the game

3  General Mach Four   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route.......back to a sprint today and once again something new for this gelding to handle......as in 6 1/2 furlongs of turf .......pedigree for it seems adequate

9  Taima the Hawk   proven on the SA hill grass course whereas our top two selections are not......vet scratch on 2 April or would have rated higher

1  Southern Keys

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Make it a Triple   broke poorly and ran wide in an eventful bad trip MC40K debut.......smartly steps up one level......last with a good trip sure fits well at today's higher level and he has the potential for more if he builds upon his debut

4  Westwood's Wizard   trainer has had a tough go of it with his stock in 2016......maybe a little too ambitious with the levels he puts his horses.....drops this one to a spot he fits......and if his form is intact he should finish with vigor coming off of 3 straight route races

5  Bucky Goldstein   liked this Wicker 1st time starter in his debut and he ran well running 2nd in a fast race for the level.....actually beat our top choice but only earned the same adjusted for trip fig

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Rizzi's Honors   last two races to finish off her 2016 campaign would very likely win here if she is up to similar off of a very long 9 month layoff.....trainer has done extremely well with limited starters at SA in 2017

3  Time and Chance   displayed some talent in Florida before arriving at Dmr where he had to be laid up after one race way back in July for Ellis......returns with a new trainer and Morey has her cranked putting both speed and endurance into her....seems ready......draws Bejarano

1  The Cat's Leavin   another racing off of a long layoff and changing trainers.....not impossible (as he did win his debut) but definitely easy to place as the 3rd selection

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Jill Madden   latest two racing endeavors peg this filly as the one to overcome.....and......she already appears to be the best speed in the field and now adds blinkers..... retains Mr Pratt......graduation day appears to be at hand

4  Warrior Vixen   toss out last as she might not have liked the blinkers.....toss out 2 back as she didn't like the grass....ignore fig 3 back as a lackluster pace made it impossible to run a good final time.....race four back fits.....rider upgrade.....works hint she has remained in decent shape

7  Quiet No More   Harty is so much more dangerous with 2nd time starters than 1st......drop from MSW to MC30K doesn't bother me as this filly only went for 40K one year ago........1st time blinkers......1st time Raffy........dangerous sort

3  Curlina Curlina

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Los Gatos   seems better on the sod and gets back to it this afternoon after competing in back to back races that were taken off of the turf........up for 12K less today than she was claimed for by Mulhall 4 races back.......works hint she is very primed for today's race as they know that she has a decent chance of being claimed....if they win they turn a nice profit......if she doesn't they lose some coin

7  Heat   Nakatani sure has fit "Heat" well with his 3 grass mounts on him (3 1 2  0)......and maybe more importantly he got him to pass and win to break his maiden in start no. 18.......maybe the five-year-old broke has habit of hanging......we shall see

3  Over Par   strong turf race put in (albeit in a turf route) the last time he competed off of a layoff......last race was November......works suggest he's fully fit for his layoff run.....seems dangerous even in a turf sprint

10  A New Trend

 

race 6    average clarity

4  American Rhiannon   last two races sure fit well in this spot and her latest is disguised by dueling in decent pace on a slightly dead inside......did quite well to salvage 2nd.......back in short rest and steps up hinting she is still sharp

3  Sheza Firstsamurai   bad race - good race - bad race - good race .........three-year old filly needs to break the pattern for her 5th lifetime start........cut back in distance should help

5  Californiasummer   lifetime best was her MSW debut........so running fresh off the bench might be a plus......new trainer and he has done well at SA in 2017 with limited starters

6  Pay Or Play

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Watch Me Now   works sure suggest this O'Neill four-year old filly is ready fresh just as she was in her maiden debut 14 months ago......apprentice has looked like he has some talent and he has done quite well in sprints....should be flying late if his filly is as ready off of the bench as I believe she is

5  Harbored Affair    believe this Hollendorfer four-year old filly is placed this low following her 5F MC20K win because she lacks endurance and they don't card too many of these lowest level condition claimers at 5 1/2F......as in place them where they can win

6  Sunshine Laurie   has failed in her last two layoff races albeit at a much shorter time interval......and she did run 2nd in her debut........so.......maybe with a long layoff she can turn things around......if she does she is at the right level to succeed

2  Truli Ponti

 

race 8    average clarity

12 AE   Californium    two sharp works at Slr since racing on 1 April..........his turf route speed looks good enough to sit close to the front in this sprint down the hill......should have plenty of endurance when push comes to shove

9  Kopitar   one fine hockey player as most of us Blackhawks fans know and not too shabby of a colt either.....still he likely will need a small move forward to graduate but he has been able to put in 3 works since his last on 23 March.....sharp and knows the hill......decent chance to "score" today

5  Lucky Soul   1st time starter has a good pedigree for the grass and draws Stevens for his lone mount of the day.......that sure hints this colt is "live"

7  Dog Gone Lenny   

10  Arms Runner

1  Gummy

11  Amazon Cry

 

Posted on April 20, 2017 at 8:10 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections