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Santa Anita for Saturday 20 May 2017

Nice card at Santa Anita loaded with quality. Enjoy your day.

Best of luck as always!

 

Race 13 The Preakness Stakes at Pimlico

5  Classic Empire   giant effort/win in the BCJvnl last Nov at SA.......ran number for a two-year that was off the charts and did so pressing a strong pace......ran poorly in his next as the 1 to 1 favorite........came back to life in his next start off of 2 1/2 months rest to win the ArkDby......jostled around some in the race and I like that he had to cope with traffic and with some kick back for a good majority of the race......then another rotten trip in the Derby.....look for him to sit much closer to the pace today unless he once again gets roughed up at the start

4  Always Dreaming   here is my comment on the Derby winner prior to the race, "very impressive in his G1 win at GP......but he is a bit of a goof and the rowdy environment at CD has a shot of doing him in.....but then again if he repeats his last he should be one major player in the outcome of this race".....he behaved well and ran one nice winning race......but his behavioral issues showed up again in one goofy start to a gallop the other day.....outstanding horse when he behaves.....but.......keep your fingers crossed

1  Multiplier   Hawthorne was part of the circuit that I followed for a couple of decades and let me tell you that 1:47:4 is one fast time for the Hawthrone Derby even a faster than normal surface....colt has put in two works since.....feeling good likely fresher than those who competed two weeks ago.....rider upgrade.....should get a nice mid pack trip.....new shooter to the party seems dangerous

3  Hence   ran evenly after a poor beginning in the Derby.......no Derby wins for Asmussen....2 Preakness wins.....big race in the Sun Derby two back........like our top choice this youngster is likely to sit much closer today

10  Conquest Mo Money   dangerous speed horse who is also capable of running from off the pace as well........but it appears his best shot to capture this race is on the lead....how is speed doing at Pimilco so far ???

 

race 1    above average clarity

3  Pee Wee Reese   ultra impressive 1st in a turf route going eye to eye in a solid pace and still popping a 133:3 one mile......outstanding grass trainer at the helm........a perfect 4 for 4 on the grass has a decent shot at occurring today

1  What a View   most turf credentials by far and owns a nice history at SA on the sod (9 5 3 0).....not out of the win picture whatsoever....no pun intended

2  Smokey Image   only grass race was without the blinkers and he is a regular blinkers user......so he might be quite a bit better on the grass with blinkers....we shall see

 

race 2    below average clarity

8  Drizzy   trainer has been rather hot of late which bodes well for this Cal-bred two-year old 1st time starter who shows some nice works......and mom has tossed 2 winners from 2 starters and both won at two....and one was a Stakes winner

7  Moonlight Praise   decent debut run on a racetrack that was off some.......sharp near bullet 3F work since.....rider upgrade.......trainer wins his fair share of the early baby races

1  Masco Yodeler   Hollendorfer 1st timer also seems ready and has worked further than today's distance......usually a very good thing in these early two-year old races

3  Caseintime

 

race  3   average clarity

1  Excavation   nice awakening in latest and it was at only one furlong longer less than today....3 works since hint he exited his latest in good shape........so the question seems to be can he run as well around two turns.....pedigree suggests it won't be a problem especially with the D'A as the trainer

3  The All Button   appears to be a need the lead type with only one other speed horse to put away who also appears to be the same.......no 3 does appear a bit faster than no. 5....but at what cost....1st time Bejarano seems like a good move as he is good with route speed

6  Night's Watch   decent history with Prat (3 1 1 1) but on the other hand the trainer is cold.....connections likely will have their fingers crossed that the two speed horses go eye to eye in a hot pace as this fellow can sit a few lengths off of them in an advantageous position

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Dahlia Azul   hottest rider/trainer team on the grounds you say? - Roman/Belvoir (won again yesterday and at a nice price)  .....last two races don't get it done....the race 3 back with bug boy Roman up does and the strength of the effort is hidden......sharp recent a.m. work.....hmmm

8  Zanab   fell off in her latest but her race two back fits solidly in this spot.....Chew gives her ample time off to recover her form....the trainer has woken up lately and so a rebound to some degree seems likely

6  She Rules You   won like a good thing in her maiden debut and was pounded at the windows......and the effort was better than appears in print......so why is she racing at such a low level.....tough call but if she has held form she is likely rated too low

4  I'll Be Around

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Oh Scatty Oh   lone turf route is much better than appears in print and it was run in her 2-year-old debut......layoff turf sprint run in last was a tune-up.....to tighten up.......and......go go go back at route.......hot trainer - bred to appreciate the 9 furlongs......should be player

3  Scandal   ultra consistent grass runner but she likes to hang with 6 2nd's and 2 3rd's in 10 starts......she did cross the wire 1st once only to get DQ'ed.....and I don't mean Dairy Queen......that race was at 9F and all off her 9F races seem strong.....that gives Nakatani plenty of time to pass the last horse in front of her

4  Heavenly Thought    decent MSW debut especially considering it was in a turf route.....bred to appreciate the additional furlong......retains Prat.....should be a factor

8  Crème de La

Long-shot consideration:   7  Causeforcommotion   2 useful not too bad one mile grass races should have her fit for her 3rd lifetime start which is at 9F......and by my book the further she runs the better......seems like a decent "price shot"

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Red Carpet Cat   as mentioned above we get the hottest rider/trainer team on the grounds in Roman/Belvoir who won again yesterday and at a nice price.......3 yr old gelding exits a fast heat where he was only beaten by 3 1/2L.......and the cut back in distance with the weight break for the but boy and the fact he is a three-year old makes for 114 lbs....a big advantage at 5 1/2F

6  Rockin My Mojo   lone race was run 363 days ago and was decent and run at a slightly tougher level.......works hint he is ready fresh off of the bench and with a better rider this time around......fits quite well in this spot if I am correct in my assessment about his readiness

1  Zachian   both lifetime races fit solidly for the level.....so why 3rd choice....our top two selections appear to have more upside potential

9  My Special Image

 

race 7    below average clarity

7  Oscar Dominguez   seems best at 10 furlongs on the grass and gets it today.......and I sure like the change in riders to Bejarano as Espinoza continues to struggle on the grass especially considering the caliber of his mounts

4  Buster Douglas   another who might be at his best at 10 furlongs of turf........crazy race in his latest as he was uncomfortable (goofy/rank) for about 1/2 of the race......ran awfully well the 2nd half of the race.......if he displays the same energy and settles down early he should surprise many today

10  French Getaway   bred to run all day and it showed in his latest at 12 furlongs....nice recent 5F drill hints he is feeling good.....would have considered placing higher if it wasn't for one nasty post with the hill starting position

5  It's The Ice

 

race 8    above average clarity

1  West Coast   only three-year old in the field but Baffert trained and with some very strong a.m. work showing......all three lifetime races are routes and fit fine here

2  General Ike   not eligible to be claimed and has one powerful looking work tab......been away a long time but 1st time Ellis and the new trainer has a great spot for his 1st out with his new shooter in a protected (from claiming) spot

4  My Italian Babbo   likes the SA surface and just fired his lifetime best in his 1st ever at today's 1 1/16 distance....and the effort is better than appears in print.....not out of the win picture by any means

5  Magical Mystery

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Lord Simba   seemingly on the improve with each and every start and that is a scary proposition for his competition as his last two are better than par for today's Grade 2 level

2  Calculator   finally gets back to where he belongs after 3 grass races as on the dirt.......and his recent eye-popping 1:10:2 work hints he is more than happy to be back on it....owns a ton of talent and has a shot at the winners circle if he displays it this afternoon

6  Ransom the Moon   what an incredible job of training by D'Amato who took a distance turf and AW runner from Woodbine and got him run one big sprint race in his 1st out for his stout new trainer.......that race is par like for today's level....but....... he may need more as this appears to be one tough Grade 2 race

8  Eastwood

 

race 10    average clarity

2  For The Hustle  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

3  Tony Blackjack   last at a route is OK but what we want is his effort two back where he ran 2nd despite breaking badly and running wide.....seems better suited to sprints that are longer than today's 5 1/2F or would be our top selection

9  Lovely Anzi   lifetime best and a solid fit here was 6 1/2F to 5 1/2F in his 2nd career start.......layoff run in latest was run at 6 1/2F......5 1/2F today.......trainer seldom wins but just might here with T C Baze sticking around

4  Cayate

 

race 11    below average clarity

1  Guggenheim   sharp work since the Diodoro claim bodes well....comes right back for the same 32K he took this fellow for.....good post and a rider upgrade especially for a turf race....last has slight chance of doing the trick.... but..... he should show more today

11  Atomic Rule    best horse in the race and I believe Baltas has him ready to roll.....but ......he draws a tough post or would have easily made him top choice

2  Bronzino   last two wins came the only time today's rider Baze was up.......like that Baze won with him on the pace and off of the pace......he looks as if the lead is his if he wants it or if someone is all out to have it he can stalk....such a deal

6  Frddies Dream

7  Crown the Kitten

4  Runasaurus Rex

 

Posted on May 20, 2017 at 9:19 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections