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Santa Anita for Saturday 24 June 2017

Only six days of racing left after today at Santa Anita. Sunday and then Friday thru Tuesday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

9  Award   only one win in nine career starts dating back to 7 Sept. 2015......so ......the drop into 25K nw2 claiming makes sense.......if anything it is somewhat overdue

6  Magical Lucy   decent start for her sire as a producer of turf runners......last which didn't match up to her debut was her 2nd start and 1st following the claim and it was run in a protected race......which....... hints O'Neill and company might have been pointed here all along......should be forwardly placed in the early stages

8  Ocean Dream   beat the boys in her last to graduate in a grass race which was also run at today's one mile distance......number earned in the win was nothing special.....likely needs a little more to handle our top choice if she runs what I expect she will

7  You're the Reason

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Point Streak   lone lifetime start for this Baffert three-year old filly was run last August in a route turf race and wasn't too bad....returns off of the 10+ month layoff in a dirt sprint with the blinkers put on for the 1st time.....works suggest the transition will not be a hindrance....if anything it is a plus

7  Candy Swirls   decent MC100K debut for this Spawr 2nd time starter.....and......the strength of the effort is somewhat disguised by a wide trip following a slightly tardy start.....should be a major player here

3  So I Sang   works over at LA seem dangerous for this Hollendorfer 1st time starter.....and Jerry is one of the better trainers at getting horses to train over at LA and still run well at SA.....don't have stats to back it up by but in my mind he likely is the best at it

2  Ribbon of Jewels

 

race 3    average clarity

9  Red Livy   only cost 6K at sale so why not run in a maiden claimer.......tough duel in latest which was also down the hill and rightfully tired....in her other grass sprint she beat 15 of 20 foes at 66 to 1 in Ire and it was her debut........sure like the change in riders as Espinoza continues to struggle on the grass.....seems loose here and thus dangerous....... and........ for a trainer who knows what it takes to win on the grass

3  My Audubon   not the best overall win percentage these days for Drysdale but just the opposite of that when he runs MSW to maiden claiming.......nice speed work put in one week ago to help adjust to her 1st sprint.......should be motoring late and do so with a hot apprentice and his 7 lbs weight break

4  Lady Preacher   first three lifetime races fit and all three were down the hill........next 3 do not (one of them down the hill)..........Palma attempts to shake things up and takes the blinkers off for the 1st time.....we will see if it helps

2  Flower Heart Dear

 

race 4    above average clarity

2  Battle of Midway   2nd in the SA Derby.......3rd in the Kentucky Derby........and he coped with nasty paces in both........Grade 3 today......Prat stays up......hard not to like here

5  Arms Runner   very solid wins in both lifetime starts which were down the hill........believe those two turf sprints really muscled him up as his work regiment in preparation for today's challenge of 1st dirt and 1st route is very impressive......especially his bullet 6F work at Slr just 3 days ago......yikes

1  B Squared   cut back in distance should be a plus as should a return to the SA dirt........not impossible but easy to make as 3rd pick-a-rue

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Spin Me a Kiss   on the improve with every start.....last could do the trick but with the D'A doing the conditioning I don't see why this grass runner won't move forward once again.......tough to overcome if I am correct in my evaluation

9  Lady Espionage   has been slipping off of form some.....needs a rebound to something similar that she ran down the hill 3 races back....recent a.m. work hints she might provide one

6  Herunbridledpower   only grass race on the turf was in a turf route.....stride seemed fine on the grass but she didn't appear to care too much for that 2nd turn.......1st turf sprint today and her lone lifetime win was on the dirt at 6 1/2 with the one post.....all the same today except the surface

2  Merrily Merrily

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Collected    5 for 5 on a fast rated dirt surface with 3 of those wins coming at SA and all 5 were route races......regular rider Garcia remains up.....trainer can do no wrong.....capable on or off of the pace

3  Accelerate    seems to show up every time and don't let his 0 for 6 record at SA fool you as he has run some efforts/figs at the Great Race Place that are too good not to have won......not out of the win picture by any means

5  Cat Burglar   Baffert 7-year-old is a notch or two behind our top two picks but he seemingly has never worked better and he is 3 for 4 when Bejarano is in the saddle.......3 for 14 when anyone else rides

 

race 7    below average clarity

7  Cal Cal Li Gowchis   sharp works and a new much more dangerous trainer at the helm today.....can really fly early so you have to like the switch to Maldonado.......dangerous gate to wire sort

5  Second Gear   drops off of his debut a couple of levels and his MC debut is better than appears on paper........trainer is quite dangerous dropping multiple levels......significant rider upgrade especially considering the 7 lbs weight break.......dangerous

1  Have Some Pride   connections aren't haven't as strong of a year as they usually have.....so they might be overly eager for a visit to the circle of joy.....so.....maybe they enter their 1st starter for maiden 20K despite his 90K sales price........we shell see

2  Hoppity

 

race 8    below average clarity

1  Crown the Kitten   blocked and bumped on the 2nd turn or would have won at one claiming notch lower........same surface and distance today......but versus slightly tougher........good post for Pedroza to work out a decent trip and make amends for being Dq'ed from 2nd to 5th

3  Street Moxie   been away since mid Oct but sure is training as if Baltas has him ready fresh off of the bench.....and he makes a significant rider upgrade.....1 for 1 at SA on the sod and the win was at today's one mile distance

12  Rye Patch   tough draw or would have been rated higher.......if Talamo can find himself no more than 2 wide by turn one he has a good shot of being the fellow to overcome

8  My Italian Babbo

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Hailey's Rachele   solid debut surprising many at 14 to 1......and she could have won her debut if she dueled inside instead of a tough 3 wide position......impressive 6F work since......she should move forward off of such a nice endurance building work

9  Princess Dorian   filly has done little wrong in two lifetime races with a couple of one beaten length 2nd's........sharp very reassuring work since her last......rider/trainer teamed up for a win yesterday

1  Moonlite Madness   very dangerous looking work tab for this Koriner 1st time starter.......numerous works and quite a few of merit.....if she handles the SA surface as well as she has been training at LA.....lookout

5  Coalinga Hills

 

race 10    average clarity

12  Sir Samson   ran decent versus better and earned a fig that is about a length better than par for today's softer level........4 solid drills since.....trainer is quite dangerous year in and year out with his hill runners

4  Chief Hosa   fell off in his last but his race 2 back is very solid both final time wise and pace wise......trainer seems to be finally waking up from the doldrums......very dangerous speed horse

7  Super Echelon   low percentage trainer including 1st following a claim (1 for his last 16).....but.......he appears to have claimed a three-year old on the improve and gets Nakatani to ride.....seems dangerous despite that ugly stat for Lewis

5  Allaboutmike

10  Tyler's Tek

11  Giro Candito

Posted on June 24, 2017 at 10:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections