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Del Mar for Friday 28 July 2017

Seems like a good card today. One of the best so far (handicapping wise) at the new meeting. Take note that Saturday and Sunday's publications will both be posted on Saturday morning and the comments shortened some on Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

7  Tera Lago   cheapest two-year old maiden claimer of the year to date on the S Cal racing circuit.......and the works for this low-level sure are strong for this 1st time starter......and considering Peter Miller is her trainer it sure is easy to put this filly as the top selection

5  Mis Viola   39 to 1 for a Jerry Hollendorfer MSW 1st timer screams gimme.....should be all set for her drop into this low-level 2 yr old MC......should be very tough especially if I am all wet about my evaluation of the top choice

1  Trust Fund Kitty   invader from GP winds up in the Machowsky barn.....that is a dangerous thing these days as almost anything the trainer starts has been "live" to some degree although he is 0 for 3 to start the meet.....not out of the win picture but easy to make as our 3rd selection

8  Boss Move

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Excavation   even though this 3 yr old had a wide trip in his latest I would still classify the effort as a "clunker".......he needs a rebound to his effort 2 back which would be quite good in this spot.....works since his disappointing last hint he might provide one

1  El Super   last couple of races sure fit well in this spot,,,,,,but......he is a speed horse with a couple of other speed types in the contest......he does show some signs that he might be capable of winning without the lead......that obviously is a plus if he can

3  Pick One   consistent sort (8 1 3 3 1) ships south for today's race and draws the attention of Prat and his agent......mid pack style seems like a plus.....should get the wood on the 1st turn with the two horses inside of him having more speed

8  Wheresthemoneyjack

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Stormy Rocit   decent in abbreviated turf sprints like today's 5F affair at Dmr and his lone race at Dmr at 5F on the grass is very good and hidden by breaking 3 slow and rushing up.......all that and he was only beaten by less than 2L for the win......that race was run off of 48 days rest.......exactly 48 days since his last......outstanding trainer with turf sprinters in Miller

1  Zuri Chop   should welcome the return to 5F grass races as he appears better suited for them than 6 1/2F down the hill at SA.....and his recent hill races aren't too shabby

7  May B   ran his eyeballs out to win by about 10 lengths in a 5 1/2F dirt race at Lrc in a blistering 102:2.......owns plenty of early speed at least on the dirt and this race doesn't have that much.....failed in his lone lifetime grass race.......deserves one more shot?

4  Native Treasure

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Dangerously Close   won her MSW debut in good time and then in her 2nd lifetime start she dueled on a dull inside in one nasty pace and rightfully tired....did awfully well to beat 1/2 the field.....like the way the Dan Blacker barn is going of late.....filly should be in the mix from the get go

6  Zuzu's Petals   talk about over-bet in her latest......seven year old has been doing all her best the last year or so off of short rest.......that was not the case in her last but is today....has a good history at Dmr and is OK at the distance....retains Bejarano

7  Papa Mambo   trainer has been tough with his stock returning from a layoff.....so with that in mind this five yr old might be ready for a top effort fresh off of 5 month break......if that is so she should be a factor in the outcome of this affair

9  Freedom Journey

 

race 5    above average clarity

1  Bold Papa   nicely improved in his latest with a major upgrade in trainers to Baltas.....that sprint turf race run off of 2 year layoff should set him up well for today's turf route,,,,,,good post.....Prat sticks around.....easy to put on top

3  Bottle Service   2nd straight par like effort for the state-bred MSW level......and one hot rider/trainer combo in Talamo/Machowsky.....3 for their last 9 with 5 others hitting the boards......impressive

8  Kings River King   ran 3rd behind our top selection in his latest......might find the winners circle if he builds on the effort.....but I do see the top selection with more upside potential

9  Tatar

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Edwards Going Left   nicely improved to say the least since Sadler took over the training duties....quite impressive in his last overcoming a bad trip and still managing to win on the step up in class......steps up once again and he sure is drilling as if for the 3rd straight time he will handle the class hike

6  Ann Arbor Eddie   very consistent sort for O'Neill and company and well proven at today's level of racing......lone race at Dmr was a Grade 3 and he was able to run a nice 3rd..... and...... it was at today's somewhat specialty sprint distance of 7F.......seems likely to be a major factor in the outcome of this state-bred 150K Stakes race

7  Mr. Hinx  undefeated in 3 lifetime sprint races two of which were on the dirt and one that was on the turf.......in his last dirt race which was run 2 back he was still able to win despite a wide trip up close to a decent pace.....not out of the win picture by any means

5  Milton Freewater

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Fritz Johansen   awfully consistent at 1 & 1 1/16 on the grass since the blinkers were added 9 races back.....and arguably his best ever was the last time he ran at 1 1/16 at Dmr (back on 19th November 19th with the rail at 24 ft).....seems very dangerous in today's 1 1/16 turf affair with the rail at 30 ft

10  Record Highs   best of the speed types in here and I believe he is capable of winning without the lead as well.....Tyler Baze knows him quite well having been aboard for 6 of his last 7 races

12  Special Season   nice work tab for this GB invader who has been away from the game for 4 months......the work tab and the fact that Pratt jumped off of a decent Drysdale horse for this fellow once he got into the field from the AE list supports the notion he is ready to roll in his U S of A debut

3  Trifecta

Long-shot consideration:  4  Cafe Flavor   was on the improve and then he tried a distance (12F) that he predictably found too far.....and he returns with 1st time Lasix......lookout if Lasix helps

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Hoppitty   blinkers off in his last and the equipment change really woke him up and the strength of the little 5F race is disguised by a multitude of reasons.....two solid reassuring works since his last......Mulhall is very good with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver which is the case here....Baze will likely have his mount in the mix from the get go

2  Rick's Dream   last 3 sprint races fit fine for the mdn20K level.....1st at a route is the ? mark it seems as is his pedigree to handle one.....tough call but Palma is a respectable 4 for his last 21 1st at a route

5  Idium   takes that ever dangerous drop out of MSW racing to maiden claiming......both lifetime starts were on the grass but his pedigree for the dirt seems fine

4  The Real McCann

6  You'll Be Lucky

8  Mr. Brightside

 

Posted on July 28, 2017 at 8:23 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections