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Del Mar for Friday 18 August 2017

Seems like a decent card today handicapping wise and so does Del Mar's big Saturday - Pacific Classic Saturday!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Mr. Opportunist   best at 6F (4 2 1 1) and coming off a race that would win today's affair......and I doubt he regresses any as he has worked 5 times since his 9 July 108:3 2nd at Lrc

1  Iron Rob   nice win at Dmr 4 weeks ago and his trainer shows confidence in his four-year old as he steps him up a claiming notch......and the trainer is stout at getting back to back wins out a claiming horse

3  Blue Anchor   might not be the best of claims by Diodoro and company.....but...... it is interesting that they don't drop this follow following a bad race .......and that they entice Prat to ride.......rebound?.....we shall see

4  Karma King

 

race 2    average clarity

6  My Friend Tony   like his effort run at Sac and his trainer won his only start at Del Mar and with today's rider up.......back in relatively short rest and with a solid 4F work at GG since.....all systems go

3  Gosofar   1st at Del Mar but racing turf to dirt which is usually a good thing and just popped one strong drill on the Dmr surface.....and Stevens stays put......consistent sort might break his maiden finally in his 8th lifetime start

9  Vegas Vic   both lifetime races fit but I am a touch concerned that he will be caught wide on the turn......if he isn't he is likely rated too low

2  Thank My Buddy

 

race 3    average clarity

4  An Unusual Group   wanted to race for 32K but was an AE scratch on 26 July.......so the connections are willing to risk him now for 25K......a solid 6 for 14 at the distance on the sod.....and almost all of his lifetime races fit here.....and Bejarano stays put....hard not to like

10  Liar's Smoke   seemingly owns enough early speed in this spot to clear enough of the ladies to get on over to the 2 path or better by turn one and sit a couple of lengths off of the lead......her chances sure are enhanced if that predication comes to fruition

2  Kennedie Sky   Miller has cooled of (finally) but he likes to win races and is hardly ever afraid to lose a given horse......drop should help make this closing mare to be a significant factor in the late stages of this race

9  Del Mar Ann

Long-shot consideration:  11  Ryder's Starlight   consistent sort showed life in her latest and now drops a notch....believe this is basically where she was always point to as she does best off of short rest.....23 days since her last qualifies for that

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Katzumoto   trainer does well overall but has plenty to prove with 1st time starters.....but....... this colt went for $100K at sale and sure is working well.....and his a.m. work hints he has early speed

3  Raven Creek   decent debut but number wise he likely needs more this afternoon.....but he finished well hinting he felt good at the wire.....likely benefited from the race and moves forward today

7  Campaigner   hard to tell when Miyadi 1st time starters are ready as he doesn't drill his stock very hard but I sure like that this 1st timer worked out of the gate 4 of his last 5 works....that is the hint that he is "meant and ready"

8  Fast as Cass

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Dr. Troutman   toss last as he dislikes the dirt.....race two back he had a bad trip and he did well to only get beat 6L....but what we want and likely need is his effort 3 back.....his only race on the Dmr turf was run at two and it was a solid 2nd just missing the win money

2  Popular Kid   likely needs more than his latest but Keith Desormeaux is decent 2nd out after layoffs and his brother should give him a nice trip starting from the 2 post and with tactical speed to work with

9  Kings River King   on the right end of the learning curve and has worked decently twicw on the grass since his last which was his MSW breaking win......Baze worked out a decent trip from post 7 in his last.......can he do it again from the 9 post

3  Accountability

Long-shot consideration:   4  Packin Heat   seems best at 8F on the grass.......rider upgrade.....and recent a.m. work that suggests he is moving forward today......that and I believe his ML is way to low at 12 to 1

 

race 6    above average clarity

3  Nagys Piggy Bank   Midwest invader follows a pattern for Hess with this shipper going for the 1st in and win money in that they all drop.......and this fellow appears as formidable as any of them as he is (6 4 1 1) at the distance on conventional dirt running many times that jump off the page here

10  Fight Thru   as I stated earlier in this publication Miller likes to win races and is hardly ever afraid to lose a given horse....but this drop alarms me as his last two races are very strong and fit a ton here.......but if he is still doing OK - lookout

1  He'saruler   two Illinois-breds in one California race.....quite strange......and ironically he even faced our top choice at Haw in November losing to him.......seemed to like his 1st ever on the Dmr dirt.......but still will need to build off of the effort .....but ......might as Stevens sticks with him to race in an 8K claiming race once again

8  Hawks Eyes

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Richard's Boy   ever so consistent and tough in 5F turf races when the grass is rated firm........and it is more likely for the ground to shake at Del Mar than it is to rain in mid August

5  Jimmy Bouncer   sharp works since the Pender claim.....lookout if he has the trump card for this gelding as he owns some back numbers that fit just fine at today's level of racing and they were run at 5F on the Dmr turf

1  Gutsy Ruler   seemingly very sharp right now and Gonzo sure has ridden this fellow well time after time.....still he will need his "A+ game" if our top choice runs like he normally does

11  Guns Loaded

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Make It a Triple   lead type only has a decent shot at getting what he likely needs racing at the lowest level of his life.........and with Bejarano up to hold him together

3  Zap Again   very suspicious drop.....but if he has a race left in him as some of these Baffert giveaways do......lookout

5  Big Hearted   working like he is a "ringer" which of course he isn't for Daniel Dunham and company.......or is he .....LOL ......if it shapes up that our top two choices go head to head this gelding might be sitting in the drivers seat sitting mid pack saving ground

1  Shadow Op

8  Moon Zapper

10  Buckner

 

 

 

Posted on August 18, 2017 at 10:06 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections