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Santa Anita for Friday 20 October 2017

OK race card at Santa Anita today. Let's call it a 6 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

8  Icy Street   horrid trip two back......toss it out.......last is solid and disguised by about 3.5 lengths of trip trouble.....only lost by a head forr the win in a one mile turf race.......9F of grass to negotiate is a ? mark but he acts like he will handle the added distance

3  Indoctrination   not my favorite turf rider that's for sure but on the other hand one good turf trainer at the helm......blinkers on and in a race lacking speed.....Garcia should be able to sit close to the front and save ground at least thru turn one......and that my friends is more than 1/2 the battle in most grass route races

4  Acker   dull fig in her last her 1st on the sod but it likely is not a true measurement of how well she ran as she sat too far off of a pedestrian pace...... the kind of pace that does not produce a legit useful fig.......and yet she sure closed the best in the field down the stretch........1st time Stevens today

5  Malibu Music


race 2    average clarity

3  Jenna's Faith   2 for 3 at the distance on "fast" rated dirt and both races were at SA........drop makes sense as it is only 4K less than the connections claimed this mare for......and.......if she wins and they lose her she still turns a decent profit

5  Magical Lucy   3 yr old filly is (3 2 1 0) when she has run from off of the pace.......just claimed by Treece and he shows plenty of confidence in his newbie stepping her up multiple levels....and a positive sign Solis rides thru the claim

4  Rizzi's Honors   Miller 4 yr old filly seemingly must have contact to the front to win......failed to get that in her last.......drops some today for her 2nd out following the jock Tyler Conner needs to put the pedal to the metal right out of the gate

7  Tuscany Beauty


race 3    above average clarity

2  Swirling   won her MC debut which was down the hill.......then she had a bad trip (broke slow - ran wide - checked a length in the stretch) in a 5F grass alw race at Dmr and still won....very impressive visually.......2 for 2 and both were run "fresh".......8 weeks fresh today

1  Tillie's Lily   2 for 2 to start her career with both races run in Florida at in the slop at 5F and one on the turf at 5F where she displayed brilliant early speed....won both races pulling away from the field at the wire.......trainer Jonathan Thomas is winning at a 33% clip in 2017 and basically has just as a high win % with shippers....gets Prat to ride....plenty of potential here

4  Sturdy One   seems likely to stalk our 2nd choice and if the invader doesn't take to the hill he might be in the driver's seat turning for home and with one red-hot turf rider in Nakatani


race 4    average clarity

3  Mister Mojo   MSW debut run 2 back fits fine final time wise for today's lower MC50K level....then in his 2nd start he dueled in fast fractions and rightfully and predictably tired.....decent chance to get loose today....and loose vs. softer foes

7  Psychedelicat   all three SA sprint races fit well at today's lower level.....seems like an overdue drop but this colt is very well prepared in the a.m......hinting.......Hollendofer and company aren't messing around at today's MC50K level where they might lose this three year old at the claiming box

2  Street to Indy   decent when competing in dirt sprints.....away since March but returns at the lowest level of his life suggesting that this is not a tune-up........that and he went for less at sale than today's claiming price

8  Carey



race 5    average clarity

10  Knowitallhousewife   last two racing endeavors fit and they were the only two races with Adam Kitchingman as the trainer........that and the filly just put in a strong best of 57 bullet work at Slr in preparation for today........should be in the mix from the get go

7  Chay Up and Away   Puglisi/Aquirre used to be a dangerous combo but that hasn't been the case in 2017.......trainer is 2 for 24 and the rider is 3 for 105 this year so no wonder they have done little as a team in 2017.........two decent looking MC50K races to start career.....drops to the bottom for today....claim me please.....or.....we want the winning feeling back.......we shall see

4  Shady Love   laid up since 5 May following two decent MSW races at the minor LA circuit.......returns with a new trainer and smartly placed at the bottom MC level at LA's major circuit track......10 lbs bug boy up....blinkers on.....kid might really fly early and never look back

9  Gypsy Treasure

Long-shot consideration:   1  Solar Corona   on the improve one baby step at a time.....last at 1/2 furlong less fits.....low % rider when competing at the "big" tracks but he knows (and has ridden) this filly well


race 6    average clarity

3  Saltini  1st time blinkers and 1st time turf in last led to a solid race......and Elliot was up and back in August he was ice cold....he is not cold now as he has woken up in a big way this meeting......dangerous sort

4  Combat Zone   colt showed he can handle the 9F of turf in his latest where he made an impressive 4 wide move and nearly graduated losing by a head.....solid a.m. work since.......should have more endurance today coming off the 9F race and then working steadily......Prat wisely sticks around

7  Lucky Soul   poor trips in last two racing endeavors hides this one's ability......might be up for a top effort off of 2 months rest as the only time this colt ran off of 2 months rest he fired his lifetime best in a race back on 22 July

5  Cascade Rock


race 7    average clarity  

4  Axelrod   lone one mile dirt race (albeit run at Del Mar) was a solid win that fits very well if he is up to similar this afternoon on a new dirt surface

3  Psycho Dar   route pedigree is questionable for this Miyadi two-year old with two solid lifetime sprints under his belt.......and Miyadi is decent "1st at a route" and the 5 lbs weight break with the bug boy up should help the sprinter get the eight furlongs

2  Builder   last is solid (and also run at 8F) for today's higher level......but I doubt Sutherland will get a loose lead in this spot like she did before......seemingly will need to run as well without the lead this afternoon....see it about a 50/50 proposition that she will


race 8    below average clarity

2  Blossom Trail Mix   nice spin around the turf oval at odds of 68 to 1 in her MSW debut........Drysdale is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters......filly only needs about 4 or 5 more horse lengths of her debut was in fact nothing more than a muscle her up gimme she seems capable of making the needed forward move

7  Sunday Prophet   ran 2nd in her MSW which was on the grass at Del Mar at 5 furlongs......been absent since her 10 August debut but sure is working like she is ready for the new challenge of two turns of turf......she had a top grass rider in Desormeaux (not riding today at SA) for her debut and gets another one in Nakatani for her 2nd lifetime start

4  Causeforcommotion   3 2nd's and a 3rd in 4 MSW turf races since Roman took over the riding duties.......gets the 1st break since her debut as she raced with about 3 weeks between starts........gets two months and she is showing some good things in the a.m.......break might get more out of her......we shall see

6  Scandal

9  Bee Sweet

1  Queen of Troy



Posted on October 20, 2017 at 9:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections