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Del Mar for Thursday 2 November 2017

Selections for Friday will be posted by 7 a.m. pacific time and selections for Saturday will be posted by 5 a.m pacific because of the early post times for the two Breeders Cup days.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Sappho   best turf credentials of anyone in the turf MSW affair.......top echelon turf trainer and rider......1st at a route with a pedigree for it that is better "long" than "short".......should be a major factor in the outcome of today's opener

2  Luminoso   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start (and 1st on the sod) running 2nd despite a slow start from the one post in a race down the hill.......and like our top selection his pedigree to handle the two turns is very good

10  Breezy Bee

6  Lady Bug

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Jes Jaa   last race at Santa Anita fits.....race two back which waa run at Dmr and at today's 7F distance is very strong......trainer has had a very good go of it in 2017

3  Swiss Minister   this gelding's last race surprised me in that I thought he would not hold it together at 6 1/2F and yet he did just that and had to cope with a solid set of fractions........only needs to get another 1/2 furlong.....jock/trainer are 3 for their last 7 as a combo

5  Tasunka Witco

1  Fueled by Bourbon

 

race 3   below  average clarity

6  Goodthingstaketime   all of her races in Ireland appear very strong for today's MSW level.....and arguably her best of all was the only time she ran on the grass with some firmness to it.....welcome to S Cal......1st time Lasix.....solid grass rider in Geroux

4  Camino Song   nice improvement in her 2nd lifetime start running wide and checking a length and she was still able to beat 6 of 9 foes.....blinker go on today to help her focus....route today and her pedigree suggests that is a better deal for her than a turf sprint

2  Thisoleheartofmine

1  Our Slick Chick

Long-shot consideration:   7  Biscate   lost about 11 lengths in her debut (only was 9L behind the winner at the wire) taking an awkward step or something and racing wide in a MSW race down the hill.....should be one big price at post time

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Royal Trump    two-year old gelding sure improved in his latest both in pace and final time 1st out following Cerin claim....last sure fits if he can repeat the effort....cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be a plus

5  Luke's On Fire   another coming off of a forward move in his latest endeavor.......two reassuring work outs since........like our top choice if he is up to a repeat of his last he should be a major factor in the outcome of this MC50K affair....1st on the Dmr dirt is a ? mark

1  Time for Cioppino

4  Big Bad Gary 

 

race 5    below average clarity

7  Salsita   significant rider upgrade especially so for a turf route......4 for 8 on the Dmr turf.......2 for 15 elsewhere.....lifetime best was at today's distance and at Dmr......hard not to like this Hollendorfer six-year-old mare

4  Be Mine   filly has been running well against better but she was a vet scratch on October 6 so her physical condition is a concern.......but on the other hand Prat is willing to stick around

9  Girl Downstairs

8  Ava Forty Seven

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Freedom Journey   three-year old filly has proven she can run stoutly "fresh" and she is 2 1/2 months "fresh " today.....that and she seemed very cranked up and ready.....smart move as the connections realize they might lose her by way of the claiming box today and the purse money would ease the pain

2  Sly Humor   like the confidence that Cerin shows in this filly as he steps her up multiple levels 2nd after claim.....and he teams up with Desormeaux his top go to guy these days (as in 3 for their last 5)

3  Lady Ninja

6  Betdesilvergold

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Twentytwentyvision   away since April but returns with 1st time blinkers and the a.m. work hints the equipment change has done him a world of good.....and he has won fresh off of the bench in the past....gets Prat off to a good start at the new meeting with 2 turf wins yesterday one at 4 to 1 and the other at 14 to 1

2  Moonlight Drive   consistent grass runner is often at his best off of layoffs.....away since late January for Baffert and company and with a solid work tab that you would expect from a Baffert returnee....good history in the USA when breaking from the  1 or 2 post ( 3 2 1 0) and all with Bejarano up

1  Ample Sufficiency 

6  Tequila Joe

Long-shot consideration:   3  Forever Juanito    consistently tries hard....and he has been at his best at one mile when competing on the Del Mar turf course

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Tybee Island   blinkers on and just what you want to see as in vastly improved works......and Baltas is one of the more reliable trainers when he shows good works.......three year old gelding might be ready for his mug shot this afternoon

4  Bardstown   lookout if his last off of a 4 year layoff was nothing more than a public workout.....because if it was the drop from MSW to the bottom is more significant than it usually is.......Desormeaux sticking around hints that it was a "gimme"

10  Gator Don't Play

3  Divulge

5  Physchedelicat

1  Clifton Beach

 

Posted on November 2, 2017 at 8:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections