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Los Alamitos for Friday 1 December 2017

Eye surgery turned out great so far with 20/20 vision in both eyes. And when I use reading glasses for studying the races I also see better than ever. My job becomes much easier and I hope that it will show next year. Thanks for the well wishes from many of you and the patience from everyone. It is much appreciated.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  Night's Watch   trainer Leonard Powell is solid 3rd out following layoffs and especially so when he drops multiple levels.....good history at the distance (6 2 0 2).......only race at Lrc is better than it appears in print

2  American League   racing at the lowest level of his life today and why not as he seems to find a way "not to win" one way or another......recent drill is encouraging as in Roman taking the mount

6  Spitfire   away 14 months but owns a nice history on conventional dirt (3 2 1 0).......realistically placed to succeed or "claim me please"......we shall see

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Ocean Bound   great spot for a 1st time starter as those that have run are not much to date......three gate works hint this filly is meant and ready.....and mom has tossed 5 winners from 5 starters (including a Stakes inner) and all won at two

2  Songofthedesert   owns some early gas and takes the ever dangerous and somewhat magical drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming.....T C Baze will likely try to grab the lead and never look back

4  Miss Pretty   might get a nice stalking trip behind our 2nd choice which is quite often a good position to be on the Lrc surface

8  Wicked Sunset

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Coco Smooches   very consistent the past 14 months competing on conventional dirt at 4 1/2F or 5 1/2F with 3 wins - a 2nd - a 3rd........you would think today's 5F distance should fit.....1 for 1 at Lrc to boot

3  Forthenineteen   nice improvement 2nd out following the Vallejo claim.....like the step up in claiming the trainer makes for today especially considering how hot he has been with his limited starters......and the fact Roman sticks around supports the notion this filly can improve again

4  Lirica Heat   needs her effort run two back in a race run at Lrc......hard to tell if she is up to that race but if she is she is definitely rated to low as 3rd pick

5  Just Bookin

Long-shot consideration:   2  Holidayincambodia   likes the Lrc surface and her last two races run at 5F are much better than they appear in print.......if there aren't any scratches in this race she has a shot at going off at higher odds than her 12 to 1 ML

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Mischievous Song   Hollendorfer appears to have made a very good claim of a 1ster debuting for maiden 40K.....her time was excellent earning a number that fits well in today's MSW race.....that and she has worked impressively for her new connections......only mount of the day for Smith to boot (he won his only mount of the day yesterday)

4  Highland Lass   sure seems ready for Sadler and company for her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing.......a.m. works shows both endurance and speed put into her

5  Hottalabamba   another 1st time starter from the seemingly endless supply of them from the Baffert barn that is likely ready to rock and roll.......Baffert/Van Dyke combo have won 5 of there last 15 as a team......not out of the win picture by any means

2  Travieza

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Optimistic Outcome   very consistent sort on conventional dirt only missing the board twice in 16 starts (18 4 6 6).......lone race at Lrc is decent and run off of 2 1/2 months rest........seems better off of short rest........last race exactly 2 weeks ago......hmmm

2  Swissarella   most of her races at Lrc fit well in this spot but she hasn't found the winners circle in 6 starts at the oval.......and she hasn't won since Becerra claimed her 9 races back on 12 Feb.......two solid reasons to drop her two levels to enhance her chances of winning and cut into some of the red ink

3  Swiss Skimmer   race 3 back would peg her as the horse to beat if she repeats it..........that effort was run off of 15 days rest.....7 days rest today following a bad race at GG......but.......maybe the race was a gimme in a protected race to dirty up her form.....we shall see

4  Glamsquad

Long-shot consideration:   7  Stole My 'Art   bad claim but enough time off to possibly recovery.......high percentage trainer with limited starts drops two claiming level and enters for 7K to get 2 lbs off his rider.....dangerous

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Divine Spark   alarming drop but the works hint that this Baffert drop down has a good race or two left in her.....the kind you might want to claim but can consider supporting at the windows

8  Spadodilla   seems best at Lrc and might be nicely muscled up for today's race coming off of a route turf race......should be in the mix from the opening bell and with the 7 lbs bug boy aboard.......and the apprentice rider Ruben Fuentes is starting to really learn his craft

5  Song of Ekati   disappointing race in her latest which was run at Lrc.....race 3 back was also run at Lrc and is impressive especially pace wise.......needs that race and if she provides it she might go a gate to wire as the speed of the speed

1  Todos Santos

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Stealth Drone   likes the track.....likes the distance.....and she sure has been solid races on fast rated dirt as in 2 wins, 3 2nd's and 2 3rd's over the last 7 races on it.......that and she appears to be sharp right now

6  Not Now Carolyn   away since June of 2016 but she is working "lights out" and then some for the Desormeaux brothers.....rather sure this filly is ready to strut her stuff despite the prolonged hiatus from the game

3  Late 'n Left   consistent sort has been in the exacta 9 of her last 14 on fast rated conventional dirt.......that and the cut back in distance appears to be plus

10  C. c. Zipp

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Chidamac   seems better suited to a route and this is his 1st attempt at one on the dirt......both lifetime turf routes fit well here provided he can run similar on the dirt today.....sure like that T C Baze sticks around

10  Spend It   both races at 7 panels are good efforts.....and his lone route on the dirt is OK and run at Lrc.....last race at 7F is much better than appears in print and that should help lift his price

8  Empire Ruler   owns quite a few races that match up well vs. our top two selections but he has yet to get close to any of his competitors....in fact the closet he has gotten is 1 3/4 lengths on a race back in February....might....I say might.....be a hanger of sorts

3  Emphatic

9  Second Gear

1  Hailey's Kid Comet

 

 

Posted on December 1, 2017 at 10:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections