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Santa Anita for Friday 23 February 2018

Decent looking card today. Saturday was difficult to decipher and lacking quality which was disappointing because last Saturday was the same.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

5  Mongolian Window   only had a bit wide of a trip but it was significant as it was on a rail bias day........earned a Santucci adjusted fig that was close to par for today's lower level.......and there is a good chance the race was a tune-up........1st at a route and the turf but this filly owns a pedigree that has a good chance of handling both

6  Super Patriot   filly has the advantage of a couple of route grass races under her belt........but she is a little short fig wise of what it usually takes to take down today's MC level of racing.......then again she has been a fairly "smooth" runner and that often gets the job done on the grass despite being "a little short" figure wise

7  Seattle Drop   1st time in a maiden claiming race today..........turf sprint - turf sprint - turf route scenario also for today......and that might be more significant than it usually is as this three-year old filly from the Gary Mandella barn owns a pedigree that is better for a route than a sprint........dangerous sort

2  Prairie Citizen


race 2    below average clarity

2  Lake Time   lifetime best was the only time that Corey Nakatani rode this filly........better speed of late since the blinkers were put on 3 races back........seems likely to save ground sitting 1st or 2nd.......four year old has only missed the board once in 9 conventional dirt races and that race was a Grade 1

4  Dalsaros   2 for 2 at today's distance and both races were at Santa why is she not the top choice?.......Gaines sees fit to put the blinkers on.......unless it is Bob Baffert an equipment change for a given horse that is doing well is often a bad move

5  Mistressofthenight   last win was 3 races back in a one mile dirt race and it came 2nd out after a layoff and turf to dirt.......2nd out after a layoff today and you guessed it......turf to dirt


race 3    average clarity

5  Mor Candy   returns off of a layoff for his 4th lifetime start as a 1st time regiment in preparation for his return to the race wars hint he is ready and if he is the drop from Cal-bred MSW racing to Cal-bred MC50K should do him a world of good.....should be in the hunt from the opening bell

7  Bad Boy Leroy   decent MC50K debut 4 weeks ago and two very reassuring works since especially his latest work which was the 4th best of 54 five furlong works on the morning of 19 Feb......feeling good when it counts the most

4  Jerry's Thunder   away since his 2nd lifetime start on 13 May which was a dull turf race......but his MC debut which was on the SA dirt was not.......obviously he showed he is capable fresh so if he has recovered from whatever sidelined him he has some shot at taking down this race

3  Bear Down Cats


race 4    average clarity

1  Shining Armada   two 2nd's and one 3rd all of which were sprints to start her racing career.........1st at a route today and likely has a very good opportunity to get loose on the lead.......positive rider switch especially considering the 5 lbs apprentice weight break........seems very dangerous despite the trainer being 0 for his last 15 1st time at a route

6  Millie Joel   awfully early for a three-year old to compete against older especially in a two turn race but this filly has route figs that fit OK especially with the 6 lbs weight break

8  Wasatch Wonder   apprentice rider is only 1 for 16 but she has hit the board 4 times with 8 mounts at the SA meeting.....that and her mount will only have to carry 110 once again I believe a late Feb. 3-year-old might be capable of beating her elders

7  Solar Corona

5  Victorious Falls


race 5    average clarity

4  Desert law  only race on the turf was at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance and was down the hill.......the effort was decent as he showed plenty of life after a slow start and the race was his MSW debut.......race 2 back on the SA dirt is very strong and disguised by about 5L of trip adjustment........regressed in his latest on December 31st.......but given ample time to mount a rebound and his recent a.m. prowess hints he will provide one

2  Double Touch  not really a Stakes horse so back to reality for the connections......fits fine in this nw2 alw race if he is fully ready off of the 6 month hint he is with a series of tightly spaced (every 6 days) muscle him up drills......Dan Blacker is only 2 for his last 43 with layoffs greater than ninety days but might boost the stat today

1  Critical Way   no shot in latest (on the hill) as he went up against tougher and had a bad trip.......race two back also on the hill fits fine at today's level........difficult to tell if he is up to his effort two back but if he is he might be rated too low

9  B Squared

3  Incensed


race 6    average clarity

2  Whacked   believe the connections were surprised by how well their three-year old filly ran in her MC debut as she went off at 53 to 1 and was only beaten 3L for the win despite a tardy start........likely wasn't all that cranked up.......might be today

1  Oh My Soul   51 to 1 in her MSW debut for Miyadi and company suggests the race was needed.......that and the effort was better than appears in print as she ran four wide on a rail biased day........drops into MC50K today which was likely the plan for her 2nd start all along........dangerous sort from a barn that shows signs of snapping out of a small slump

8  Mixed Emotions   another who went off a big price in her MSW debut and didn't run that bad and now drops.......and Eric Kruljac is much better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters

7  Lucky Lula

4  Lily Be Good

6  Calimonco Action


race 7    average clarity

7  Winning Causeway   exits a very fast heat at one level higher where despite being beaten by 8 1/4L the effort is better than par for today's 6,250........high percentage trainer with limited starters in Vallejo

9  Rafter One   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last three wins came on significant drops in class and two of them were run back in short rest.......placed way over his head in latest and went off 88 to 1........drops 6 days later to the new low-level of 6,250 available at SA these days........hmmm

4  Rprettyboyfloyd   cut back in distance appears to be a plus for this seven-year old gelding......race seems to set up for a mid pack runner and that is where he usually sits........drop of 2 levels is somewhat suspicious or would have rated higher

5  Tribal Jewel

6  South Texas Lingo

3  Storm Comin Thru


race 8    average clarity

3  Principal Bob   improved on the grass since the blinkers were added 4 races back........five year old exits a very fast MC50K race which was over 5 clicks faster than the other division of MC50K runners that day.......good post and he is capable of handling the 9 furlongs of sod and many in here likely will not

1  Bacoli   lifetime best was the only time this four-year old got to run as far as today's 1 1/8 turf distance.......seems likely to be motoring late for a hungry new to the scene rider in Tyler Conner

4  Winning Element  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   likely will need his lifetime best and he has some potential to provide it as he is competing this afternoon as a 1st time gelding.......we shall see at about 4:30 p.m. this afternoon

8  Lauren's Ladd

9  Acker

5  For Him


Posted on February 20, 2018 at 3:45 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections