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Santa Anita for Thursday 1 March 2018

Decent card handicapping wise. Let's call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things. I have finished studying both Friday and Saturday and they also appear to be good cards. Saturday March 3rd is the first Saturday that I have liked in 3 weeks. Hope we get even racing surfaces for all three days.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

9  Tell Me More   par like sprint down the SA hill grass course in latest and a strong one dirt route prior to that.......nice reassuring 5F drill at Dmr in preparation for this race........difficult post but the right guy for the job in Nakatani and this filly has some tactical (handy) speed

2  Flammetta   seems like the best of the three-year old runners in this 3 and up MC and owns good early speed and with a nice post to work the sprint-sprint-route scenario for today.........if this filly handles the grass in her 1st race on it she should be a factor in the outcome of this affair

1  Swallows Inn Gal   last turf race which was run only 9 days ago fits OK (and is better than it appears) and she gets in 15 lbs less than the older competitors in this race.........seems slightly dangerous and at a price

4  Turing Machine

7  Unlucky Hillary

8  Brandon's Law


race 2    above average clarity

5  Emboldened   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   three-year old filly ran par for today's nw alw level in her MSW 4L winning MSW debut......then she ran even better than that in the 8 Feb version of this race.....she was caught 3 wide up on a solid set of fractions.....did well to hang on for 3rd.......impressive 4F bullet work since......all systems go for Baffert and company

3  First Dudette   on the improve with each and every start all of which were in Florida.......shows up in the Koriner barn and with preparatory works that hint she is ready for her 1st in S Cal......and she showed that she can handle the somewhat specialty sprint distance of 7F

1  Cognitive   double barrel action as Baffert also trains our top Emboldened this filly also won her MSW debut like a good thing but unlike her barn mate she hasn't run since.......instead she has put in some very nice preparatory work.......not out of the win picture by any means


race 3    average clarity

6  Sharon's Fury   seems likely to get a very nice 2 path stalk position behind a suspect speed horse in the 4 horse.......rider upgrade and to one hungry to reestablish himself in S Cal in Madonado

5  Fabrication  similar to our top selection he might sit fairly close up which seems advantageous in this affair without much speed signed up......trainer is quietly having a good meeting

1  Bourbon Dude   not much in two lifetime starts both in MSW races......but this colt takes that somewhat magical drop from MSW to low-priced maiden claiming.......and......her a.m. work seems improved........dangerous sort


race 4    average clarity

8  Towards the Light   3 of 4 lifetime dirt races look awfully solid in this spot the lowest level that this four-year old gelding has ever seen........away since 5 January but he has put in 6 useful works since

5  Pure Pursuit   cut back in distance appears significant for this gelding lacking endurance as does his recent a.m. work over at LA........rider upgrade to boot.....should be in the mix from the opening bell with only 5 furlongs to deal with

1  Milhaud   dropped precipitously in the maiden ranks and only managed 3rd as the heavy favorite in his scratch since the race.........obvious physical problems but Prat sticks with for the R Mandella runner.......and usually the shorter the race the better for this kind...... and....... you don't get any shorter than 5F

3  Awesome E K

6  Capes Hot Rocket


race 5    average clarity

3  Zero Zee   lifetime best was run the only opportunity that this filly had to compete down the SA hill grass course........that and her off pace running style appears to be a good fit in this race with ample speed types

4  Lori's Attitude   yet to win on the hill but she does own 4 2nd's and a 3rd in 8 races down it.........should be in the mix from the get go and with 1st time Roman up....... and that 5 lbs off might help her hold to together when push comes to shove in the late stages of this conditioned claiming race

8  Looking At Thelake    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   definitely appears to be a hanger but she has been at her best when Bejarano is on her back......she can really fly late and with one good rider with off pace runners up.......and as mentioned above this race seems to favor those sitting back off of the lead

7  Candy Ruler

9  Coalinga Nills

1  Paddy Jean


race 6    below average clarity

5  Pica   took awhile but Eddie Truman really appears to have a handle on what this eight year old needs as she is awfully consistent these days......that and her a.m. work since her latest is improved.......stepped up and won in latest and she has a decent chance of doing that again

1  Scathing   just claimed but Cerin who is having a great 2018 and is very dangerous 1st after a claim....... and....... also when teaming up with Hall of Fame jockey Kent Desormeaux

4  Sturdy One   best at SA on the dirt (and with numbers that fit very well) but not at her best at 6 1/2 furlongs.........something has to give


race 7    average clarity

2  Big Day Tomorrow   bad trip in latest hides an effort that fits decently here........race 2 back is very strong and also disguised by racing wide up on a decent pace following a slightly tardy start.......gave it 8.5L of adjustment making for a Santucci fig that is 5.5L better than par for today's level.....Roman wisely sticks around

3  Moonlight Blue   like so many apprentice riders Ceballos is at his most dangerous on or near the lead with few decisions to make and he should be able to be in that position in this spot.....dangerous if that is what occurs

7  Dominant Don   full speed ahead from the opening bell as this gelding sure responded to the blinkers on to graduate in his latest which was run at today's 1 1/16 distance and was a front running effort.....that and he is realistically spotted to win right back

9  Seau

4  Moonman

5  Super Echelon


race 8    average clarity

7  Bee Sweet   takes that ever dangerous drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming and catches a group that really doesn't finish well and she can........she does show a tendency to hang but if others in here finish as poorly as I believe they will I doubt she hangs

1  Tim's Girl   filly is a bit short number wise in her latest which was run down the hill.......but.......she did finish up the best that she has in 3 career races and she owns a pedigree that might prefer racing at today's one mile turf distance......not out of the win picture if that is the case

3  Christmas Carol   tough call if this filly is fully ready fresh off of the bench for Ricahrd Baltas and company but if she is she has a shot at the circle of joy in this spot

8  All Net

5  Silverado Mist

2  Cee Sam's Girl



Posted on March 1, 2018 at 9:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections