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Santa Anita for Sunday 4 March 2018

Drying out tracks can leave your head scratching sometimes. Hope the track plays fair/even. A little short on comments as I essentially had to study 11 races with the threat of races being taken off of the turf.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

3  D D's Lute   lifetime best was run the only other time this Gary Sherlock filly raced at today's 5 1/2 furlongs......7 days prior to the race she worked a 35H bullet.......7 days ago she once again worked a bullet this time it was 34:4H.......hmmmm

1  Sheza Factor   Peter Miller first time starter seems ready at first asking with a prolonged series of works dating back to at least mid December.......very impressive in that the largest interval between drills was 8 days.......good post and good jock on the SA dirt in Victor Espinoza

5  Best of Me   

6  No Wine Untasted


race 2    average clarity

2  Insubordination   not much in his latest at a route........race two back which was his 1st out following the Almeida claim and at 6F is par like for today's MC40K level and in the race he displayed some solid early speed......two works since and the last was a sizzling 34 flat bullet........10 lbs apprentice should really fly early and likely open up a dangerous lead

3  Invasion Looming   away since August but the trainer is capable with "fresh" runners.......if he does have this gelding fully fit he fits well in this spot as he should be able to stalk the lead and be looming down the stretch

4  Uncle Billy


race 3    average clarity

4  It's a New Year   3 lifetime races to date......the two at Del Mar are poor but the one run at Santa Anita is not and was at today's one mile dirt distance.......and the strength of SA effort is somewhat disguised......away since mid November but training as if Peter Miller has him all set to graduate with 3 straight 6F gate works the last of which was a bullet

3  Roaring Fork   all three lifetime races are at higher maiden claiming levels and fit just fine in this spot.........that and he might be feeling very good today 2nd out after a layoff and coming off of a sprint grass race

2  Elevated Knight


race 4    above average clarity

6  Surfing Star   ultra impressive MSW debut running a stellar time for the given day and doing so with a wide trip from off of the pace.......plenty of speed signed up to possible aid his running style but that might not even matter if this colt builds on his last effort

1  Take the One O One   best speed horse in this race if of course he is ready fresh off of the sure hint that he is.......and if he is he should be a major factor in the outcome of this race despite other speed to cope with

4  Oh Man


race 5    above average clarity

2  Shacklov   nice "breakout" in latest and a reassuring (best in quite some) time 4F work since.......repeat of his latest would make him tough......but I believe he is up for even more with that solid preparatory drill put in

6  Dare to Enter   one lifetime race in four fits vs. our top selection and that race was his maiden debut........been absent over 2 months but returns as a 1st time gelding.......that gives him some potential to find that debut effort which might get the job done

1  Real Quick


race 6    average clarity

If the race is taken off the turf:  4-3-8-2-1

4  Lifeline   nice win in latest and he likely is up for more today 2nd out after a long layoff as he moved forward about 6 1/2 lengths in his 2nd lifetime start last April and ran one strong race at today's 9F on the turf.........Prat knows him well and his colt is very attuned to the 9F turf distance as all three grass races have been at that distance

3  Maestro Dearte   four-year old is a perfect 2 for 2 on the turf with Nakatani up........and he is on the improve with each and every start.........if the trend continues he has as good a chance of taking down this race as anyone

2  Play Hard to Get

1  Tequila Joe

7  Royal Albert Hall


race 7    above average clarity

7  Broome   last is quite a bit better than par and disguised by a wide trip and a wide trip up on the pace........moved forward a lot in his 2nd lifetime race last out following the long layoff seems like a plus

2  Sensible Myth   turf to dirt and back in only 8 days rest.......seems somewhat set up for today's race.......1st on the dirt but his pedigree for it is very good

4  Hot Autumn

1  Tapalita


race 8    average clarity

5  Iron Rob   whole career fits at new S Cal bottom claiming level of 6,250........obviously he has some physical issues but catch this.........Mike Puype has won 7 of his last 13 multiple level drops in class

8  Four Goals   consistent seven-year old gelding has the best early speed in this race lacking the commodity.......that and this fellow is capable of running well without the lead......2 for 3 at today's distance.......and overall he has been in the exacta 28 of 53 races on main track surfaces

2  Mesa Sky

4  Lambo Luxx

3  Ajac


race 9    average clarity

If the race is taken off the turf:   1-8-4-7-3-6

4  Achira   on the right end of the learning curve and she sure acts as if another furlong of turf for today will not be a problem........trainer is stellar following a maiden in 6 for his last 22 with another 8 hitting the board.......Mike Smith shows up for his only mount of the day

7  Causeforcommotion   leading rider Edwin Roman struggles some with route turf horses but not on this his 5 lbs weight break is quite significant in a grass race as far as 9 furlongs

8  Pistol Packin Rose

3  Scandal

6  Vasilka

1  Night Time Inc



Posted on March 4, 2018 at 6:59 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections