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Santa Anita for Saturday 14 April 2018

Following last Saturday's card which was loaded with quality we get just the opposite today. Be back with you Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

2  Sellwood   stepped up from MC75K to MC100K and nearly won in his 2nd lifetime start despite a bad post and a poor trip......deservedly steps up again to MSW racing for 3rd start......draws a much better post today........should be tough

5  Friendly Outthedor   both lifetime grass races fit......but......Mike Smith is a shockingly dismal as in 1 for his last 42 on the sod.....but...... then again he is 3 for his last 6 and with 2 others hitting the board when teaming up with Eurton........something has to give

8  Majestic Eagle   not much speed in this affair and he shows enough to help the more than capable hands of Nakatani to get on over to at least the 2 path by the 1st turn which comes up quick.......not out of this if that is what occurs

6  Cajun Treasure

3  Blame the Rider

9  Papa Joe

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Dressed in Prada   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  four-year old filly has only missed the board once in 7 lifetime starts at SA.......and she appears a better runner since two changes were made 4 races back......blinkers on / Quinonez on

6  Anita G.   decent layoff run in her latest which was run off of a 7 month break.......work since the race is subtlety improved .......should be in the mix from the get go

1  Just Be Held   drop makes sense as this filly has yet to win since she was claimed 4 races back........would have placed higher if I wasn't concerned about her ability to hold together at the 6 1/2 furlong distance

3  Reckless Charm

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Venice   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  appears to need the lead to win so I like the change to Pedroza who year in and year out does a good job with cheap speed horses.......race two back (albeit on an off track) would crush this bunch

3  Takes Two to Tenga   decent debut and I like the step up of one level as it suggests Mullins likes what he sees since her debut run.........believe she moves forward this afternoon and might have considered her as the top selection but I am leery of her ability to get 6 1/2 furlongs without flattened out some

6  Mischievious Lass   deep closer might get what she needs as there seems to be enough runners in this field that want the front end.......if they set a decent set of fractions she should be flying late

7  Oh My Soul

4  Calimonco Action

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Irish Cream N Kafe   very wide trip hides a decent debut.....but what really catches my eye are the works since as they are vastly improved hinted the race muscled her up........we shall find out about 1:36 p.m. pacific time

2  Tengs Rhythm   exits a fast heat where getting beat by 7L was still a strong effort......that and she has a good chance for even more today racing 2nd out following the layoff.......very dangerous

1  Lily Be Good    trainer is dismal with 1st time starters and decent with 2nd time starters.........that and this filly drops a notch and races a furlong further today which appears to be a plus

3  Naughty Sophie

4  Silversonic

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Beautiful Becca   Hollendorfer filly seems likely to get a nice mid back ground saving position and that is more than half the battle.........that and the race profile seems favorable for those sitting a few lengths or more off of the frond end of things

6  Nine Point Nine   doubt this lead type runner can get the front end as our fifth choice is extremely fast.....but the mare does show a few hints that she might be capable of stalking and producing.......that and she has been facing better

8  A Little Bit Me   likely well prepared for today's race as this is the 1st time O'Neill has put his Irish invader up for a tag......and one of his better stats is the 1st time he puts a given horse in a claiming race......as in 24% with his last 100

7  Salda

1  Red Livy

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Polity   gelding has been absent since his MC debut which was 22 months ago.....in the race he had a very bad trip and earned a number that fits here despite being beat by 9+ lengths for the win.......works in preparation for his return to the race wars hint he is doing very well........last two times Talamo rode for Hofmans the horses were very live

8  Rebel On the Run   very dangerous looking work tab over at LA for this 1st time starter.......the works suggest he has early speed which will come in handy to help him overcome his outside post

4  For the Hustle   another 1ster working as if he is ready to rock and roll in his debut.......hungry jock in Matt Garcia is riding better than his record at SA suggests

2  Imalocamotive

6  Perfect Tale

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Smokey Image   in his latest race he ran his 1st dirt sprint where he did not flatten late in a very long time.......like the cut back in distance and finally gets to compete at 6F where he is 2 for 2 lifetime.......it's not rocket science

2  Tough Sunday   very consistent sort can win on or off of the lead.....that and he is an awfully sharp gate horse......hard not to like with that consistency and versatility

1  Edwards Going Left  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   another consistent sort......in fact I would have made him top choice but he only shows one dull work since his latest and usually he puts in decent drills.....works aren't everything but enough to place a runner I have always liked as a 3rd choice

7  B Squared

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Lymebyrd   both lifetime grass races at one mile which also happened to be at SA with the blinkers on are better than par efforts for today's level........recent works hint the colt is doing quite well..........we shall see

6  Kings River King   lifetime best and a fit at today's higher level (and his lone lifetime win) was run hill turf sprint to turf one mile off of 25 days rest.......1st race off of a long layoff was down the hill 14 days ago......turf one mile today........hmmmm

3  California Journey   trainer Matt Chew shows some small signs of snapping out of the doldrums.......his gelding has put in a nice tightly spaced series of works......one for two lifetime and the win was at today's turf distance at SA.......believe he goes off much higher that his 6 to 1 ML

5  Tule Fog

4  Hardboot

9  Raven Creek

 

race 9    below average clarity

1  Giant Mark   likely back too quick in his latest.......appreciates ample time between starts and gets it today........trainer is 36% with 46 to 90 day layoffs.......race two back at 62 to 1 was solid.....and today we get a significant rider upgrade and with 5 lbs less to carry.....20 to 1 ML.......come on Ceballos

8  Mesa Sky  nice move forward 2nd out after the claim for this Jacobson runner......like the confidence he shows in his 5-year-old stepping him up two levels.......and seems at his best at 6F

3  Well Measured   small drop should help as should getting back to a fast dirt surface.....consistent sort but he hasn't seen the winners circle in a long time.....that might change here

9  Junior Gilliam

6  Classico

2  Louden's Gray

 

race 10    average clarity

1  Aquaphobia   raced over his head and at a distance which is a little too far for him in his latest racing endeavor.......back to a level where he is usually tough and retains the services of one fine grass rider in Nakatani

3  Well Developed   gelding has done little wrong in his 4 lifetime races.......cut back in distance appears to be a plus.......capable of running on or off of the pace giving Tyler Conner options.....hard not to see him being a major player here

6  Air Vice Marshal   vet scratch in a 75K Stakes 2 weeks ago....but.....a solid work since.......fits just fine if O'Neill has taken care of whatever was bothering this fellow.....good sign that Smith sticks with the horse

2  Beach View

5  River echo

8  Unapologetic

 

race 11    average clarity

7  Red Obsession   bet some in his MC debut in the 26 January version of this race but only ran so so showing speed and tiring........returns with a new trainer and Mulhall has gotten much more out of the gelding in the a.m. than Baltas did.......believe we see a much better effort in this fellow's 2nd out

6  Insuborination   good gate breaking gelding appears to be the speed of the speed ........cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be to his advantage......as does a positive change in apprentice riders

9  Righteous Wave   nowhere to be found in his MSW debut which was 51 weeks ago........but I doubt that will be the case today as his last preparatory work is a solid 5F gate drill.......that and Headley entices C-Nak to take the mount

8  Jerry's Thunder

3  Seattle Encounter

1  The tattoo Kid

 

Posted on April 14, 2018 at 8:18 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections