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Santa Anita for Saturday 19 May 2018

Track has played fair the last two days. Sure is nice to see. Difficult handicapping today as you can see from the "clarity ratings" and not exactly a classy card

Best of luck as always!

 

race 13 Pimlico

7  Justify

5  Good Magic

8  Bravazo

6  Tenfold

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Girl Downstairs   Ron Ellis is sending out very few these days but he sure is getting the job done with his limited stock.......he seems to have made a good claim of a mare who has run good efforts in both of her races down the hill and the strength of those two efforts is better than appears in print

6  Red Livy   speed filly has other speed to cope with but she is capable of going eye to eye with a foe and still getting to the circle of joy........that and she fits T C Baze awfully well as in a record of (5 3 2 1) in races down the hill when he has been up

2  Little Bit Lovely   not much in last 1st out following the Hollendorfer claim.....but.......the works since her 8 April race are vastly improved and numerous......believe her new trainer now has the trump card for her and the fact he moves her up a notch following a dull race supports the notion

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Carnivorous   nice works for this two-year old Cal-bred 1st time starter from the O'Neill barn........a.m. work suggests he has early speed.........mom has tossed two winners from two starters........should be tough

8  Takahiro's Dream   last two works for this Kitchingman 1st timer hint that he is really coming around work wise when it counts the most......as in right before his MSW debut

1  Lucky Royal Flush   bet hard in debut but didn't show much......blinkers on and a rider upgrade to Hall of Famer Gary Stevens........deserves another shot???

2  Takeo Squared

6  Acclamation King

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Catfish Hunter   works for this colt who shows up with a new trainer after a 1/2 year layoff suggest he is ready fresh.......his last race which was run on 23 November was extremely strong and the time supported by gaps of 6 and 7 lengths to 2nd and 3rd and 2nd came back to win

1  Polity   strong win in his 2nd start which was run off a 22 month layoff........likely needs a move forward of a few lengths and seems likely to provide it as his 3 works since his maiden breaking win hint he exited his last in good shape and likely more fit for his 2nd start in 2018

2  Insubordination   best suited to 5 1/2 furlongs and he has a good chance to get what he needs as in the lead......that and he retains the bug boy and his 5 lbs weight break which should enhance his chances of getting it

 

race 4    below average clarity

2  California Breeze  lone race at 9F on the grass is much better than appears in print......wide trip and too far back of a pedestrian pace.......that and Asa Espinoza and his 7 lbs weight break seems well worth it despite his lack of experience on the grass

10  Brandon's Law   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   three-year old filly seemingly has a decent chance to open up a lead and with a dangerous speed rider up in Maldonado.......that and Cerin/Maldonado have won their last 4 of 5 as a team......yikes

3  Mongolian Humor   sprint dirt debut 8 weeks ago wasn't too bad......rider upgrade and gets to run on the sod and at a route which fit her breeding better........both of her siblings were turf winners

11  Majestic Design

1  Fluorescent

 

race 5    below average clarity

8  Myrcella   good history back in short rest which is the case today........best with close contact to the front end and seems likely to get it today.......Molly Pearson as usual is doing a nice job with her limited starters in S Cal

3  Just Be Held  bad race in latest but it was caused by an awkward start of about a dozen lengths........her 13 May work strongly hints at a "mental" rebound.......that and the barn is rather hot at the moment including another win yesterday

6  Oh Scatty Oh   plenty to prove in a sprint race but her dirt routes fit OK and the trainer is very dangerous when he drops a horse like he is here

7  Majestic Diva

2  Trap Queen   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Best Two Minutes   by far at his best at today's 6F distance (has won his last 3 racing at the distance) and should get good close up position with Maldonado up who is starting to ride awfully well of late.....trainer has had a very solid 2018......hard not to like

4  Catalina Cruiser   won his MSW debut way back on 7 Oct 17 despite having not so hot of a trip.....colt has been absent since but obviously he has shown he can run fresh and his a.m. work sure supports the idea that he is ready to roll

2  Swiss Minister   last two state-bred alw races fit fine at today's open company alw level.....that and we get one significant rider upgrade for today.....not out of the win picture by any means

1  Tony Blackjack  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

5  Horse Greedy

 

race 7    below average clarity

9  Implicitly   eventful MSW debut which was also down the hill like today.....broke poorly and then checked.....did well to finished only 3 3/4L behind the winner......continues to train like a happy healthy individual......good gate jock up.......let's hope he breaks him a lot better than Smith did

10  Rumpus Cat   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  blinkers off for this youngster's 4th start and that is often a good move by Callaghan........colt seems likely to sit about mid pack and be finishing fast in the late stages

4  Jimmy Chila  seems better suited to a sprint and he handled his lone grass race quite well......hot trainer rider/combo of late.......hard not to like

11  Englander

5  Alfareed

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Kochees   simply put this J. Wong eight year old will be a ton and one half here if his aging body can hold form.......running turf to dirt should aid his chances of doing just that

8  Ketos   very solid forward move in latest.......that improved effort fits fine at today's higher level.......would have been top choice if it wasn't for a rider downgrade

2  Eighty Three   ultra consistent sort and I like when Jacobson steps up a given runner as he never seems afraid to lose a given horse.....dangerous "you can count on his consistency" sort

6  Burn Me Twice

3  Papa Turf

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Cheekaboo   big hidden move forward in her latest (with 1st time blinkers) which was 1 year ago in the 2017 version of this race...........checked - bumped - a little too wide..........believe she has been pointed for this race.....if she is up to the effort she put forth last year and gets a good trip this time she should be tough

8  Cordiality   owns plenty of tactical speed which should help Baze get on over to or close to the wood by turn one.....that and T C has a good history on this Glatt runner (7 3 3 0)

9  Shy Carmelita   sprinter attempts a route for the 1st time in quite awhile........believe Talamo will try to wire the field......trainer and rider sure have been hot together.......seems dangerous

1  Speakers

10  How About Zero

 

race 10    below average clarity

8  North County Guy   seems much better suited to 5 1/2 furlongs than 6 1/2 furlongs and yet managed 2nd at 6 1/2F in his last.......that and  I like when Jacobson steps up a given runner as he never seems afraid to lose a horse........ and this MC gets a rider upgrade

9  Bless His heart   bad trip in MC debut hides a decent effort......and like our top choice he gets a rider upgrade.......and maybe more importantly the colt is working awfully well following his debut

1  Perfect Wager   likely needs more than he has shown in two lifetime races......but he takes that ever dangerous drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming

3  Iron Curtain

7  For the Hustle

 

race 11    average clarity

8  Swayze   bad trip in latest hides a solid layoff run at 7F.........blinkers on to get him more focused and his a.m. work since his last hints that the equipment change has worked.......and D'Amato is firing on all cylinders of late

9  Ike Walker   acted up at the gate in last and still ran a par like effort for today's lower level.....race two back is very strong and run at today's level and distance.....very dangerous if he behaves today

6  Plum Dandy   away from the game since 1 Oct 16 but working as if he is meant and ready to roll for his new trainer Richard Mandella.........colt ran very well the only time he had contact with the front end and there is not much early speed signed up in this race

10  Downtowner

1  Sheer Flattery

 

race 12    below average clarity

6  Ky. Colonel   good early speed in a race that lacks it and a recent near bullet 3F work hints he is going after the front end.......R Mandella has been rather chilly but he has won with 6 of his last 12 claimers

5  Most Determined   rather consistent at 7 1/2 & 1 mile on the turf.......1st time racing for trainer Belvoir who was able to get Gary Stevens to ride hinting this four-year old is ready off of a 7 week break.......but maybe most importantly this fellow should get the wood on turn one with slower runners starting inside of him and sit close to the front

4  Banze No Oeste   seems set up with the sprint - sprint - route maneuver..... and.....with a sharp near bullet 4F recent speed drill.......that and his last was one soft looking ride

8  Secreto Primero

3  Crown the Kitten

 

Posted on May 19, 2018 at 8:35 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections