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Los Alamitos for Thursday 28 June 2018

Race card seems OK but cheap filly races are quite inconsistent and 7 of the 8 races offered today are for the gals. I do like Friday's card more with the majority of the races for the guys and easier to decipher.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Myrcella   improving sort and she won her only lifetime race at Lrc by double digits......(5 3 1 1) "at the distance"........rider Steward Elliot sure has fit this filly well

4  Tiger Mom   filly has shown that she can handle the Lrc surface and Bejarano shows up for his only mount on the card......that seems significant because this is only a $16K claiming race

2  Cinnamon Twist   obviously a bad claim for $32K to show up in a $16K claimer 1st out for his new connections.....and Korinar is 0 for his last 18 1st following a claim.........with that said Talamo is one of the trainer's go to guys and he accepts the mount

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Shaula   (5 2 2 1) since high % trainer Avalos took over the training duties......best early gas in the race and only has 5F to hold together.......good rider/trainer combo

1  Dragon Flower   does well in abbreviated sprint races.......and loves the Lrc surface (5 2 2 1)......sharp recent 3F bullet work-out.......seems ready for a top effort

2  Parasail   Charles Treece is better than average 1st out after a claim and that is the case here......and the conditioner is having a good year.........cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be a plus

 

race 3    average clarity

9  Copper Cowgirl   decent return to the races in her layoff last......but what really captures my attention are her works since the race which are improved.......rather sure she is moving forward today

5  Sheza Factor   plenty to prove on the dirt but she takes a significant drop in MC following two straight grass races........tough call as to how well she can run on conventional dirt

7  Sweet Congrats   drops two levels to win?........or claim me please?.......leaning slightly on the "drops two levels to win" scenario as the trainer is only 3 for 50 for the year and he sure could use a win

4  Queen Dreamer

1  Mongolian Rahy

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Jellybeankristine   two bad trips to start her career hides a filly who can run some.......and the latest race is hidden as she ran wide on a rail bias day......and.......I sure like that Talamo wants the mount for the 3rd straight time

7  Scatapulp   just missed winning her MSW debut by a neck with a gap of 1 3/4L to 2nd and 6 1/4L to 3rd......Pedroza wisely sticks around for Molly Pearson

6  Dichotomy   MSW 1ster is backed by a solid trio of connections.......as in Reddam/O'Neill/Gutierrez......works are decent........dangerous for sure

1  Swing Thoughts

3  Rolinga

 

race 5    average clarity

(AE 11  Midnight Hunch  some shot if she draws into the field from the AE list)

6  Pray for Corday   trained well prior to her latest which was her best to date by far and a fit here......works since the race continue to be very solid especially considering the level of racing

8  Red Bomber   dull debut way back in September at NP and she has been away since........shows up in the Baltas barn and the work regiment says she is ready.......trainer is stout the 1st time he takes over an out-of-town individual

3  Two Timing Lucy   3 of 6 lifetime races run at 5 1/2F or less fit OK in this spot........and her recent works are improved and that is rather subtle

4  Legendary Parfait

10  Derby Treasure

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Rocket Fuel   the fact he dropping following a claim doesn't bother me much when the trainer is Miyadi.....and if this gelding has remained in relatively decent health he should be tough here

9  Rafter One   (3 2 0 0) at Lrc and (16 1 0 1) everywhere else......that and his latest at SA is not too shabby.......should make a very good account of himself on a track he greatly appreciates

6  Four Gales   form is decent at the moment and his last win can the last time he raced at Lrc 9 races ago.........same rider up today and racing for the same 6,250 tag

8  Tiz Love

3  Giant Mark

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Kimberlea K   filly has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts with 2 wins and 2 2nd's and two of the races were Stakes races.....trainer had a monster week last week (7 for 15) to finish of the SA meeting........let's see if Hollendorfer can keep the ball rolling

1  Newport Breeze   there is lone speed and then there is the less talked about lone closer.......she is the lone closer and in a small field.....should be flying late with little traffic to negotiate

5  Silken Spy   last two turf races sure fit if she can run as well on the dirt in her 1st attempt on it........her pedigree and her works hint that she should handle it

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Western Mongolia   trainer is 2 for his last 3 2nd time running a given horse in a route.....and 2 for his last 6 dropping multiple levels like today......so that hints his layoff last was a gimme to.......go go go go this afternoon

5  Jicama   should finish very well when most will be toast in the late stages if she takes to her 1st on conventional dirt as her whole career has been run in routes on the turf and AW

4  Seattle Drop   1st on the dirt today following 6 lifetime races all on the sod......bred to handle dirt and if she does she appears loose on the lead......thus dangerous

3  Cee Sam's Girl

7  Whatyouiswhatuget

Posted on June 28, 2018 at 7:14 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections