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Los Alamitos for Thursday 6 September 2018

Nice card for opening day at Los Alamitos with only one half the card claiming races and not one race rated "below average clarity".

Please check our website calendar to see the dates that will not be covered in September and October. There also will be 3 or 4 that will not be covered in November and December which will be decided later.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Exes N Ohs   Baffert three-year old filly wasn't much in her MC62.5K debut bur her a.m. work since couldn't be much more impressive for her 1st at a route and at the lowly MC20K level

3  Take Charge Gal   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this Sadler filly and drops 2nd out after the layoff from MC40K to MC20K.......trainer is 5 for his last 19 with multi level drops and with 9 others hitting the board........not out of the win picture by any means

1  Copper Cowgirl   seems like the best of the rest

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Dre Dan   expensive near 7 digit purchase caught slop in his debut way back on New Years Eve 2016 and has not been seen since.........works for his return (now as a four-year old) to the race wars "scream ready" and the drills are at LA

4  Aced   Eurton 1st time starter appears ready at 1st asking hitting the track every 6 or 7 days going back to 11 July......and the fact he trained out of the gate for his last two preparatory works hints he is "well-meant"

2  Justin's Quest   MSW debut run 5 weeks ago at Del Mar is better than appears in print as he had a short lead on a dull rail and predictably tired in a one mile affair.......and.......the cut back in distance should be a plus as I believe his pedigree is better suited to a sprint

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Hailey Rachele   trainer does well with limited starters and he is decent turf to dirt and that is the case today for this six-year old mare making only her 7th start today.......that and her only race at Lrc was a 6L win and that effort fits well here

2  Sunrise Royale   running lines hint she will appreciate a cut back in distance to the shortest race of her career at 5 1/2F.......that effort fits fairly well so if she can duplicate the it in her 1st on the Lrc surface she should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

1  Alpenhorn   needs to leave the metal monster a whole lot better (refused to break 2 back and then broke 8 slow in his last and lost by 7 3/4) .......1st time blinkers to help make that happen......seems to like the Lrc dirt

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Conqueror   very consistent in dirt sprints and Valdimir Cerin is often at his most dangerous with the sprint - route - sprint maneuver which happens to be the case here......and the race should set up well for him with the 2, 3 & 5 front running types and the one horse being no factor whatsoever

4  Aristocratic   as tough as they come in Peter Miller 1st following a claim and this gelding sure seems sharp right now.......trainer/rider are 34% win with their last 35 over the past two months

2  Lombo   colt has back numbers that are solid and he is training up to snuff but Pender is poor with layoffs of 3 months or more (1 for his last 35).......thus.......3rd selection

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Forestation   believe this colt will benefit greatly from his MSW route turf debut which was at one mile on the turf......and his effort really wasn't that bad as he was bumped and steady at the start and then rank giving away about 7L .......two reassuring dirt works since......and maybe more importantly Kruljac is quite dangerous MSW to MC

3  Kid Koil   exits the same turf route race as out top choice and Kitchingman is even more dangerous stat wise with the MSW to MC move with 3 for his last 9 with 3 others hitting the board......and his dirt race two back is better than it appears

8  Just Hit Play   gelding showed competitiveness in both lifetime races but they are quite a bit short of par.......maybe the blinkers off for this 1st time can help him take back some and improve his stretch run and number

5  Lifesbeengoodsofar

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Magnificent McCool   nice turf route race in his 2nd lifetime start should have him very fit for today's dirt route.....and I like his pedigree to handle a dirt route more than a turf route......hard not seeing this O'Neill colt being a big factor

7  Seven Scents   low percentage trainer in Craig Lewis but he isn't too bad 1st time he sends a given horse "long"......last race wasn't much but his debut was......and his recent near bullet 5F drill is solid and hints of a rebound

1  Dinesen   decent sprint debut at Del Mar in a 5 1/F MSW affair......blinkers on and 1st at a route for start number two........likely will sit closer with the equipment change.......good breeding to handle the two turns

4  Earnest

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Kristie's Heart   mare seems set up for today's race as she raced over her head in her latest off of a long layoff on a racing surface at Dmr she doesn't care for much.......low % trainer in Saavedra but he is decent dropping multiple racing levels like he is here

7  Alpha Pegasus   predictably tired dueling in a solid early quarter at Dmr in her latest.......not that much speed in this affair and she might be able to grab the lead....and when she gets it she gets very brave and thus dangerous

8  Rockantharos   nice rebound in form in her latest and in the past when her trainer drops her she runs decent races........multi-level drop today

3  Nazareth

9  Princess Areni

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Jeweled   Sadler for quite a few years gave little away but these days he has joined the ranks of trainers like Peter Miller who are not afraid to lose a horse.......part of that might be because he has some really good stock right now.........big drop for this filly today

6  Dashin Ashen   away from the game since the 1st of December but training like she is fit and ready fresh off of the bench and she logically drops to a level where she fits........and I like that Roman is up as he has a win and a 3rd in his last two mounts riding for Carlos Lopez

5  Ciao Luna   claimed by Knapp in her last and Knapp is about 20% win 1st out after a claim with his last 50......weak number in this gals last but she doesn't want to run as far as 6 1/2F......so...... the full furlong cut back (3 1 2 0 at today's 5 1/2F distance) should be a plus

8  Lady's War Dress

3  Majestic Authority

7  Sharona Sunset

 

 

Posted on September 6, 2018 at 5:32 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections