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Santa Anita for Friday 2 November 2018

Don't miss out on purchasing the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) New format this year will have full comments for the top 3 choices and then in the larger fields 3 long-shots will be given with shorter comments.

Final weekend of Santa Anita and then on to Del Mar!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity  

1  Adjorned   gelding has done little wrong is 3 lifetime races and doing so on 3 different surfaces (turf - synthetic - conventional dirt).......solid MSW breaking one mile turf win at GG.......good grass trainer and rider in Wright and Hernandez

2  Icy Street   moved forward the only two times this four-year old colt raced 2nd out after a break.......that is the case today and his last is better than appears in print as he raced way too wide

4  Cimpl Man   Cerin might have made a good claim of a six-year-old who appears to be on a rebound of sorts.......and the veteran trainer is 34% & 61% in the money with his last 41 1st out following a claim......dangerous sort

6  Avalanche

3  Fabozzi

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Z Z Tiger   seems like the speed of the speed in this abbreviated dirt sprint of only 5F........no action on the board in her last hinting the race might have been a bit of a gimme so as to safely get away with today's drop and not lose their filly by way of claim

6  Desired Edge   cut back in distance appears to be a plus as she makes a nice turn move but then cashes it in racing at 5 1/2 & 6 furlongs.......nice 4F preparatory drill one week ago is reassuring

1  Mi Pajarito   away since April but Periban is 4 for his last 14 with runners coming off of more than 3 month layoffs.....like the rider change to the hot bug boy and his 5 lbs weight break

8  Charming Alexis

2  Social Etiquette

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Halo Darlin   3 of her 4 lifetime races down the SA hill grass course fit solidly in this spot.......that and she finishes well and not many do in this field........jock needs a win and might get it here

5  Ashley's Charms   two of five lifetime grass races fit here and with many of S Cal's top riders at the BC she has the only top echelon jock in this race on her back in Bejarano.........should be a player if she is fit and ready off of the long layoff

2  Pulpitinthesky   last two dirt numbers fit and both races were compromised bad tough trips........only race on the grass was a route (no action on the board) and a possibly a gimme as she dropped from MSW to MC20K in her next start and won

9  Spectacular Move

7  No Wine Wasted

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Superhotamolly   on the improve with each and every start........cut back in distance appears to be a plus.......as does the switch in apprentice riders (12% to 22% win)......trainer is waking-up........hard not to like

8  Spicy Curry   like the endurance building route in her last as her 3 lifetime sprints are about 3L short of par (adjusted) ..........she might not flatten out as bad today as she has in those 3 lifetime sprints.......dangerous and dangerous at a price

6  Athleisure   moved forward in her latest and she might be up for another forward move today (hard to tell)........and with the cut back in distance she might finish with more competitiveness in the late stages of the race

2  Garcia Belle

9  Derby Royalty

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Miss Unusual   appears to be the best speed in the race if of course she handles the turf better than she did in her lone race on it which was on the hill........some dislike the hill so I'm giving her another chance to handle the sod.......adequate route pedigree.........should be going after a wire to wire attempt

10  Copper Fever   all three of her lifetime turf route races fit solidly here.......mostly placed as 2nd choice as the bug boy (like so many bug boys) is not nearly as good on the grass as he is on the dirt......that and he has a tough post to deal with

2  Quinnie   decent with ample time between starts and gets it......also gets the best grass rider in the race and with a good post.......still........ she will need a little more than she has shown of late

3  Peachy

7  Married by Now

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Vegas Strong Baby   debut at CD fits well here as does her last which was her 3rd start.......believe her other race was a dirty her up MSW gimme to get away with the drop and at the same time get herself eligible for today's protected race......that and it appears that the bug boy took this girl over a 6L debut winner from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn

2  Bam Bams Lil River   as mentioned above this girl won her debut by a widening 6L win but her rider landed on our top choice........still considering how hot Hollendorfer is this filly was not an easy decision to make as our 2nd choice instead of our top choice

1  Six Pack Ga   dangerous speed and she has broken well from the 1 post in her last two races.........with the switch to 1st time Pedroza look for her to show the best early gas of her career.......and take note that the only time she was on a loose lead she won for fun

6  Plan B

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Alert Bay   seven-year old gelding is (8 5 2 1) at the distance and a portion of that success is at SA........he does awfully well when he sits 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the early stages and he sure appears to own one of those positions in this race......very hard not seeing him get a good trip and thus be very tough when push comes to shove in the late stages of this affair

1  Kenjisstrom   should sit 1st or 2nd down the back-stretch in a race that appears to favor those who have some speed.......best at one mile on the grass which he has not seen in quite some time

6  Chicago Style   training awfully well at Fai (highly regarded) and can he ever fly late......and he best today if this race sets up in favor of those sitting near the front like I think it will

5  Colonist

2  He Will

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Mucho Unusual   ran 2nd in a Stakes race to start his career.....and then in his next start he broke his MSW by 8 1/4L .......strong drills since the race..........7 furlongs appears to be a plus and won't be for many in here........should be tough

7  Creative Instinct   another who has done little wrong in two lifetime races including a win vs. our top selection........but he likely will need a forward move to beat him again as the fig I have for our top choice is about 3L better than what he has run in either lifetime race.......but then again Miller can do no wrong

2  Start the Show   dangerous invader who just won a 100K Stakes out east 1st time wearing blinkers......and he winds up in the Richard Baltas barn who is quite dangerous when he picks up a new horse from any east coast track.......Del in this case

1  Give Me a Hint

5  Hotitude

 

race 9    average clarity

10  American Currency   voided claim in 2 of his 4 lifetime starts suggesting he has some serious physical problems.......plenty of time off (11 months) to recover and Morey and company drop him multiple levels realizing that his physical problems will likely resurface soon.......the kind you can consider wagering on but you wouldn't want to claim

9  Isee It in Hiseyes   woke up in his latest back at SA and at a distance he appreciates.......same 5 1/2 furlongs today and his last opportunity to run at SA until late in December........connections seem likely to have him feeling good

7  From the Distance   three-year old can really fly but needs to break better than he has been lately......if he does he has shot to wire the field......good gate jock remains up for today and gets a better post in which to break from than he did in his latest

2  Kopitar

12  Latitude

 

race 10    average clarity

2  Smiling Annie   bet hard in her MSW debut but she had a tough start and then a wide trip after that.......toss it out.......since then she has worked like she has some talent......switches to the turf for her 2nd start which she has a very good pedigree to handle.......rider/trainer won both races on the hill that were carded on last Saturday

5  Into Rissa   both lifetime grass races are better than they appear on paper.......like the jock change to Bejarano as Raffy is getting his mojo back and he is awfully good with late running turfers like this filly

8  Paprika   consistent sprinter on the turf or the dirt gets back to the grass where she has been a rather smooth runner as opposed to the dirt where she has found trouble.......with Prat out-of-town Desormeaux gets the mount.........the Hall of Fame jock is heating things up following a small slump

7  Smoothie

9  Drop the Mic

 

 

Posted on November 1, 2018 at 1:32 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections