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Del Mar for Friday 9 November 2018

Opening day card at Del Mar starts a period where there are 8 days of racing in the next 10 days.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  My Farmer   Hollendorfer likely claimed this gelding with Del Mar in mind as his new four-year old has won 2 of 3 and was 3rd in the other......solid improved drill put in on 4 November......like the fact Jerry sees fit to put him up 2 levels

1  Dedicated to You   trainer finished the SA on the upswing following a long slump.......last appears to be a gimme of sorts......if that is so lookout today at a level this Washington-bred should handle

6  Twirling Tiger   claim back by Charles Treece appears to be on a rebound of sorts and might be at his best in route races which he hasn't seen in quite some time......good sign that Tyler Baze rides thru the claim

7  Clear the Mine

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Trappiza   on the improve since the blinkers became part of her arsenal........ran better than appears in print in her latest as the heat she participated in was a fast one for the FMC20K level and she was caught four wide........same 7F to cover today.......also the same (somewhat underrated) jock up

1  Eskenforadrink    lifetime best was run on the Dmr dirt off of 23 days rest.......22 days since her last which was run at a route........that route mile should give her the endurance to be tough today running at one furlong less

4  Sweet Congrats   can't win at the lowest MC level on the turf so the connections are willing to race at the lowest dirt level available.........not sure how much ability she has on the dirt........we likely will find out today

2  Heloise

 

race 3    average clarity

7  X S Gold   toss out last her 1st on the dirt as her pedigree is not good for it........race two back run on the Del Mar grass is strong......race prior to that (also at Dmr) she broke thru the gate and like so many that do she did not run so well.......and in her only other Dmr turf race she won for fun........all that and a bullet 5F drill put in 8 days ago

8  Majorie E   improved since going on Lasix........last is OK but what we want is her very strong winning effort two races back........Prat and his agent are believers as they stick with the filly for a 4th straight race

4  Tenthousandreasons   very fast 12.5K claimer supported by the 6 1/4L win.......the number earned fits well at today's higher alw level if of course she can run as well on the grass in her 1st ever on it......pedigree for it is OK

2  Super Patriot

5  Sapphire Kid

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Easy Shot   small move forward in his 2nd lifetime start earning a par like effort for today's slightly lower level........improved a.m. work since.......he is the only runner in the field who has raced on the Dmr surface and he has been on it twice........same as his last or better seems likely this afternoon

1  Trojan Magic   Bob Baffert 1st time starter is out working anyone in this field and bug boy Espinoza has been getting live mounts from the Hall of Fame trainer of late.......as in 3 wins from the last 4 mounts

2  Manhattan Up   decent MC75K debut which should fit on the step up to MC100K if he logically benefits from his 1st start...........Franco wisely sticks around to see if he will

 

race 5    above average clarity

3  Mongolian Window   blinkers off today and the only two races with them off (3 & 4 back) when Miller was the trainer are quite good and disguised in their strength........that and Miller has tightened his filly up with 26 furlongs of work over only a 24 day time span........should be a price and that is never easy to get with a Peter M runner these days

2  Foxtail   Sadler four-year old filly has only raced off of short rest once and when she did (two races back) she fired her lifetime best and by a wide margin.......short rest today and a better turf jock up today than who rode that (strong better than par) race two back.......such a deal

5  Lil Bit Dangerous   not much in latest but gets a rider upgrade and her race two back would have some shot at taking down this race......trainer James Cassidy has a sub par 2018 and seems due to heat things up

6  Take a Leap

4  Lucky Knickers

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  Big Barrel   solid move forward in his latest and for the 1st time gets to race off of a relatively short time interval of 26 days........decent rider/trainer combo in Quinonez and Powell.......1st on the Del Mar surface is a small ? mark

5  Dubnation   plenty of furlongs put into this D'Amato 1st time starter hinting this race is not a "tune-up".......that and mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters and two of those winners were Stakes winners........and the only two times that the D'A has legged up bug boy Figueroa over the last two months has led to two visits to the circle of joy........hmmm

6  Clyde's Pride   might be a sprint tune-up to prepare for what he is proven at as in a turf route........but 1st time Hollendorfer and plenty of a.m. work put in.........is Jerry trying to make him a dirt horse or is this a tightener.......we shall see

2  Red Envelope

 

race 7    above average clarity

7  Way to Versailles   1st time Peter Miller in her last and she fired her lifetime best........retains top turf jock Flavien Prat.........four year old filly should sit in a nice stalk of lead position in what likely will be a reasonable set of fractions

6  Quebec   beat our top selection by a nose in her last and like our top pick earned a lifetime best number......3 very reassuring solid works since.......proven on the Del Mar sod........not out of the win picture by any means

10  Sweet Charity   very consistent five-year old mare on the grass who missed a check for the 1st time in her latest but it was because of a bad trip (bumped at the start and then ran wide).......she has been away since that race which was run 9 months ago but she has shown she can fire strong efforts fresh off of the bench

11  Last Promise Kept

4  Excellent Sunset

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Queen Carmelita   bad trip (with 1st time blinkers) in a fast heat of two-year old filly MC30K runners hides an effort that is par like for the given level.......strong rider/trainer combo the last 5 races with two wins and a 3rd.......reassuring 4F work since her 18 Oct race.......should be tough with a better trip if she handles her 1st at Dmr

5  Norwegian   like our top selection this Norski moved forward and beat our top pick in her latest with the blinkers put on for the 1st time.......despite her strong connections she was placed 2nd instead of first because she doesn't show a work since her 18 Oct race

2  Tiz a Master   1st time starter appears to be training as if she is meant and ready to roll to compete at a high level at the lowly MC30K two-year old level.......and if she has early speed the 5 1/2 furlongs with the apprentice up should enhance her chances of being a debut winner

1  Kate's Princess

8  Equal Measure

 

Posted on November 9, 2018 at 6:01 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections