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Del Mar for Monday 12 November 2018

Shout out to all my fellow veterans especially those who saw battle. Enjoy your day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Portal Creek   here is the comment for our 2nd selection in race 5 on 4 Oct where she went off at 16 to 1 and won for fun "only one in four lifetime endeavors looks good in this spot but she appears to be much sharper in the a.m. hinting Ryan Hanson has tweaked something for the better.......should be a nice price"..........3 solid drills since her win.......last might do the trick but I believe she will show even more today

6  Midnight Miracle   done little wrong in her 4 lifetime starts and might be at her best on the Dmr dirt.........shooting for her 4th win in a row and she is 2 for 2 with Stevens........hard not to like

1  Be Lifted   last was decent and gets a rider upgrade for today to Prat......likely needs a small forward move today to take down this race.......3 drills since her 12 Oct race hints she's feeling good and might provide one

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Chasing Yesterday   powerful MSW debut 3 back at Dmr so Baffert saw fit to ship x-country to Sar for a G1..........horrid trip in the race gave his filly no shot to strut her stuff......next start was back home at SA again and was another strong race........works since hint she is very fit and likely to have plenty of kick when push comes to shove in the late stages of this 7F $100K Stakes

3  It'sjustanillusion   solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime race running only 1/2 length behind our top choice...............seemingly has the most early speed in the race so like her 1st two racing endeavors she should be loose again........thus.......dangerous

1  Der Lu   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  double barrel action from Baffert as he also trains our top pick........very nice debut but a little less than our top two selections........maybe a nice stalk position can lead to a perfect trip and help her overcome a little less ability (so far) than our top two

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Zestful   decent hill grass race at SA off of a 56 day break should set him up nicely for today's one mile turf route off of 16 days rest.........brutal trip at one mile on the turf at Del Mar two back.......he showed so much trouble/pace that the fig earned is better than par for today's level despite being beat by 10L

2  Flip the Coin   double barrel action from O'Neill as he also conditions our top pick........colt seemingly should be able to get what he needs to win as in on the lead.......dangerous sort

5  Spirit Mission   the classic short comment line in your local paper works here "best of the rest"

7  Buckstopper Kit

8  Hey Sequoia

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Whata Flirt   wide on a rail bias hides the strength of her last.......track played a little outside yesterday so if it stays the same today that "wide" run would make her awfully tough today if she holds form

4  Big Base   seems better suited to shorter sprint distances like the 5 1/2F offered here.......and her latest at 7F isn't too shabby......should be motoring late

2  Gone Skyward   takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to low-level maiden claiming.......already owned some speed and now adds blinkers.....solid a.m......she likely will try to open up a lead and never look back

6  Desired Edge

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Big Buzz   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime start in a grass race at Del Mar which was run off of short rest.....with that in mind logic suggests that he should be ready for a peak performance 2nd out after a long layoff......and..........his rider has 5 wins already to start the new meeting

8  Cupid's Claw   2 of his 3 lifetime grass races fit solidly here and his trainer can do no wrong to start the meeting with 3 wins with 4 starters........that and I like the cut back in distance which likely will enhance his endurance at one mile today

5  Stonegate   lost to a couple of others in this race in his latest......but......he gets to come back off of much shorter rest and he seemed much more suited to a one mile grass race than a 9 furlong grass race......and I like the rider change for a route turf race

3  Sellwood

4  Arch Anthem

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  Dukes Up   voided claim at 20K last time out but he gets ample time to recover.......and the drop makes sense as Miyadi and company only claimed him for 12.5K and made some decent money off of the claim......also it is a good time to drop as it is tough to take a horse by way of the claiming box following a voided claim

8  Point Piper   significant drop here.......claim me please...... or...... drop makes sense as he hasn't won a race in 2017 & 2018.......that and he is at his best on the Del Mar dirt (4 1 3 0)

5  Holland Road   rider upgrade and to a "hot" one at that........and an improved (and that is rather subtle) 4F work since his latest run on 19 October....rather sure he moves forward today.........to what degree is the ? mark

6  Monterey Shale

3  Freedies Dream

 

race 7    average clarity

2  More Ice   very poor trip in latest which was run on 8 October........won his one mile grass race prior to that on the Dmr turf........vastly improved work since.......and for the first time gets a rider other than an apprentice on his back.......and considering the new jock is Prat that is quite a turf rider upgrade......better post too

6  Seven Scents   solid races on the dirt as his last three are better than par for today's racing level.........1st on the turf but owns a decent pedigree for.......hit jock sticks around for the 4th straight time.......hard not to like

4  Our Silver Oak   on the improve with each and every start.......if he can keep the trend going and handles his 1st on the turf and a route he will fit well.........pedigree for it is decent for both for this Cal-bred

1  Sammys Dream

3  The Creep

 

race 8    below average clarity (SHF carryover here)

7  Mr. Class   major league rider upgrade and improved a.m. work.......broke his maiden in his debut only to get disqualified.........rides in next to starts are not so hot eirther.......Kent finally gets the mount from brother Keith.......all systems go today

9  Stay in Yo Lane   sprint-route-sprint maneuver is usually a good thing when the trainer is O'Neill......that and I like the 9 lbs off for today.......5 lbs for the bug boy and in for 28K for another 4 lbs

5  Malibu Bay   1st time starter with a steady diet of decent 5F works and I like that 2 of his last 3 were from the gate.......trainer has had one nice (break-out) year in S Cal

6  Shake N Fries

4  Agronomo  another with a positive rider change.....two of his three lifetime starts fit fine and one of the two was at Del Mar and was his debut

1  Lagoon

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 12, 2018 at 10:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections