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Del Mar for Saturday 24 November 2018

Today's Saturday card is very nice as it is more like a summer card at Del Mar than a fall race card. Pick 6 jackpot now stands at $122K and there is a SHF carryover of $19K in race 9.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Pulpit Rider   3 for 4 racing on the turf at the one mile distance..........0 for 4 at other turf distances........significant jockey upgrade from one that is ice-cold to one that is red hot......hard not to like

3  One Fast Board   par or better last 4 turf races dating back to 31 Dec 17 at SA and all were at today's one mile distance........and unless you are a touring pro golfer par (or a little better than par) is a usually a good thing

7  Flammetta    no action on the board whatsoever in her latest running off of a 3 month layoff and with a soft set of works........works since the race are much better........sure seems like the classic gimme/go here.....the fact that Prat jumps aboard supports the notion as he is 2 for 2 aboard the Baltas filly

5  Jazzaalah

8  Zaffinah

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Gray Magician   all three lifetime sprint races fit well fig wise for the MSW level........new trainer for today and it is Mr. Peter Miller........nice 6F drill put in and the work was at Del Mar........seems all set for his 1st at route today ........should be in the mix from the get go with first time Prat up

1  Alleva   3 decent turf routes in a row.......switches to the Del Mar dirt today and with a sharp 5F work put in over at Slr which might have been the catalyst for the connections giving their colt a shot at a dirt route.......like our top selection he should be a factor from the opening bell

3  Royal Insider   exits a very fast heat of MSW runners where being beat by 9 1/2 lengths still worked out to be a decent effort/fig.......and today he gets a rider upgrade.......not out of the win picture by any means

 

race 3    above average clarity

6  Oiseau de Gurre    believe this four-year old gelding is more dangerous in turf routes than turf sprints and that is well disguised on paper.......he just needs a good trip (for a change) and Joe Bravo is more than capable of giving him one......runs well with ample time between starts..........55 days since his last qualifies for that

4  Trojan Spirit   seems highly likely to get a good trip......maybe the most likely in the field to get one.......should sit close to the front and should save ground on turn one as the 3 horses inside of him have very little early speed.......hard not to like

8   Acker   gelding has spent too much time racing at 10, 11 or 12 furlongs on the turf ........last 3 races that he has run at 9F or less on the turf have led to 3 wins.......believe Miller knows that now.......Bejarano is likely to send him early like he did on 27 Oct to clear and get on over by turn one......dangerous sort

5  Cimpl Man

7  Erotic

 

race 4    below average clarity

4  Damiano   43 to 1 in his MSW debut (for Miller) has gimme written all over it........drops into mid priced maiden claiming race and gets a rider upgrade to Van Dyke who is 7 for his last 13 (and with 3 others hitting the board) riding for the Miller barn.......yikes

3  Diamond Blitz   debut for MC30K is better than it appears in print as he ran way too wide......did well to beat 8 of 11 foes......that and the step up of a couple of levels hints he might have muscled up some despite being a voided claim......seldom used jock Arias has been given a few "live" mounts of late from Keith Desormeaux.......hmmm

5  Seeking Refuge   somewhat suspicious drop but if he is OK he is likely rated too low especially considering he gets Prat up for the first time.........who........has won 2 of his last 3 riding for O'Neill and with the other in the money

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Pivottina   two-year old filly has been impressive in all five of her lifetime races and that includes a fast closing 4th in a G1 at WO where she beat 9 of 12 foes.......1st time with Motion as the trainer......1st time on Lasix......sharp works at the highly regarded training track Fai.......draws Van Dyke.......all systems go

4  Monette   double barrel action from Motion as he also trains our top selection.......very nice turf sprinter (7 2 4 0) tries a route for the 1st time and with a pedigree that suggests the transition will not be a problem

8  Creative Instinct   filly has an abundance of early speed on the dirt......1st on the turf and 1st at a route but her pedigree for both is adequate........trainer Peter Miller is awfully dangerous with speed types........hard to get a price on a Miller runner but this two-year old will likely go off close to her 15 to 1 morning line odds

3  Elsa

2  Lakerball

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Popular Kid   four-year old gelding  has been a popular guy at the claiming box as he has run very well for 5 different trainers in his last 6 races......today he races 1st following the Hollendorfer claim and Jerry sure has better credentials as a trainer than those other 5 trainers......such a deal

4  Jungle Warfare   double barrel action from Jerry Hollendorfer as he also trains our top pick.....very consistent three-year old has only missed the board once in 13 races.......and he maybe at his very best in dirt routes of one mile which he gets today

1  Jan's Reserve   ran in a turf sprint in his latest and the race likely muscled him up as his a.m. work since is improved and the improvement is just what you want as in rather subtle........1st at a route and that is right in Victor Gracia's wheelhouse (25% win with his last 20)

8  Sheer Flattery

2  Lord Guinness

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Synchrony   dynamite history on firm turf as in 5 wins and a 3rd in his last 6 when the sod has been rated "fm"..........and 5 of those races were Graded races like today........good to see Joe Bravo is in to ride as he is (6 4 0 2) on the five-year old......all that and this fellow is a perfect 2 for 2 at today's distance

3  Ann Arbor Eddie   lifetime best was run two back and at 10F which seems a touch too far for him.....so if that is so the cut back of 1 1/2F should make him very tough provided he is up to the effort/energy he put forth in his race 2 back

4  Pincheck   Irish invader has been very well prepared by trainer Jessica Harrington when placed in Graded races overseas.......so my guess is he is all set to strut his stuff in his 1st ever in the good old U S of A

10  Ohio

8  Kenjisstorm

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Tanners Pride   drop makes sense as he has not been getting the job done vs. better and he has hardly earned his keep in 2018........2 for 3 at the distance.......trainer Koriner is 4 for 10 at the meeting and he has had a very good 2018 in general

7  Psychedelicat   solid improvement in his latest earning a number that more than justifies today's step up in claiming levels......trainer has been on an extended roll and might add to the "good times" here

8  Zippy Groom   deep closer gets what he needs as in plenty of speed in the race.......like our top choice the drop doesn't bother me much as he also has been racing over his head of late

6  Face of Victory

9  Downside Up

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Suspicious Spouse   filly needs her effort 2 back and considering she is trained by Miller and she is 1 for 1 with the blinkers on racing at 5F on the sod at Del Mar my guess is she will up to her race 2 back.......sharp a.m. work and 1st time Prat support the notion

3  Helen's Tiger   best at Del Mar sprinting at 5F on the grass (3 1 2 0) and this likely is her last shot to race at 5F on the grass at Dmr until next July......so O'Neill is likely to have her feeling really good for today's race

8  Kentan Road   big race in latest breaking badly and rushing in a 5F grass at SA at today's alw level.....solid near bullet work since.......trainer has been cold at the meeting (0 for 16) but seems due to break out the slump.......we shall see

9  Batiquitos

6  Well Hello

5  Naughty Sophie

Posted on November 24, 2018 at 9:09 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections