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Santa Anita for Saturday 29 December 2018

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Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

8  My Sweet Baboo   all three lifetime MSW races which were also at today's one mile distance on the grass are quite a bit better than par.........Prat lands on our 2nd pick but Mike Smith grabs the mount.......two-year old filly is bred decently to get another furlong of sod

7  Out of Balance   good turf sprint MSW debut two back........then in start no. 2 she sat too far off a ridiculously slow pace......toss that race out.......gets one powerful switch in riders for a baby turf route........should be a major player

6  Fashion Island   decent MSW route turf debut for this two-year old filly and 5 works since the 10 November race at Dmr.........new trainer Anna Meah is still looking for her 1st lifetime win but her 11 starters have hit the board a respectable 6 times

1  Mercy Mercy   

4  Hello Bubbles

 

race 2    average clarity  

2  Celebrate Life   speed of the speed but at what cost seems to be the ? mark........four year old might be up for his best with the time off because his best two lifetime races (and a solid fit here) were his 1st two lifetime races.......and we get a rider upgrade

8  California Clone   good history sprinting on the dirt when wearing blinkers (5 1 2 1)......all of those races fit well at today's lower level.......decent rider/trainer combo over the years in T C Baze & Sean McCarthy

3  Facts Matter   lifetime best was run two back and it was the only time he has competed at 6 1/2F (and at SA to boot).........and today we get one significant rider upgrade from an apprentice who struggles some to Rosario

5  Rolls Royce Deal

4  Blame Joe

 

race 3    below average clarity

8  Sierra Sunset   two year old filly went off at 33 to 1 in her MSW debut for Bonde and company hinting the effort was a gimme to drop and go in a MC50K fully fit.....she beat 5 of 8 foes in the MSW race so that bodes awfully well for what she can accomplish this afternoon

7  Naomi Friday   good maiden debut over at Lrc at today's same MC level........trainer has had quite the year competing in S Cal........the rider has not or would have been top pick-a-rue

12  Comegowithme   nice move forward in her 2nd lifetime start.......still she likely needs more but she might provide it.......new trainer - 1st time racing on Lasix - vastly improved recent 5F best of 55 bullet work.......takes that magical drop from MSW to maiden claiming

3  The Pet

11  A Dime for Me

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Sweet Charity   Sadler's stock was very dull during the Fall Dmr meeting but if opening day is indication his stock appears fresh and ready to roll at the SA meeting........5 year old mare seems best at 9F or further and she likes the SA turf

7  Amboseli    when Cassidy sees fit to place this six-year-old mare in a Graded race he does a nice job a of getting her ready for the challenge.......G1 run 3 back at SA was too tough for her but she showed she fits in this G3 at SA.......and today she has a much more prolific turf jock on her back than she did in that race 3 back.......such a deal

4  Fahan Mura   route speed turf runner should be loose on the lead for the 9th straight time (all since Maldonado took over the riding duties) but Edwin better get her to slow things down quite a bit as she has trouble holding together racing further than 1 1/16

3  Quebec

2  Escape Clause

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Monterey Shale   lifetime best was run route to sprint......trainer Ryan Hanson was not the trainer for that solid effort but he has won 2 of his last 6 with the move and with another hitting the board........route in last and a sprint today and with one major league positive switch in riders

3  Boy Howdy   gelding has surely has seen better days.......but......he might have been pointed for this race all along as he raced in a protected race run off of 2 months rest hinting the race was a tune-up of sorts (NOTE: we did not have him in our selections on 7 December and he went off as a pathetic favorite)........will be tough as nails if that scenario is correct

2  Whiskey Ginger   (3 1 2 0) when connections have dropped him to a lower claiming level.......12.5K claimer in last......8K claimer today........hmmm

5  Matriculate

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Neighborhood Bully   like the 7 week break following 2 efforts that were rather dull especially considering Van Dyke sees fit to stick with the Yakteen runner........drops multiple levels and the two lifetime times that he made should a move he fired strong races

9  Treasure Hunter   best at Santa Anita and he also handles the 6 1/2 furlong sprint distance well........and like our top selection his chances seem enhanced by a two level drop in claiming

7  Oh Man   seems at his best at the shorter distances and 6 1/2F appears short enough for him.......that and he likely has benefited from his layoff one mile run as his a.m. work since is solid........not out of the win picture by any means........pun intended

1  Heart Awakens

6  Saratoga Morning

 

race 7    below average clarity

10  Redrock Trail   Sadler is very dangerous with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver and that is the case here for this two-year old gelding.......Van Dyke might have selected our 2nd choice but Mr Rosario will do just fine

4  Shake N Fries   very solid race two back.......we need that effort.......seems like a good sign that Van Dyke jumps aboard after being absent for this youngster's last race

11  Violent Behavior   OK race in his latest on an off track......better race two back on a fast track and the race was run at The Great Race Place......such a deal

12  Gleyber

5  Bachchan

 

race 8    average clarity   

8  Competitionofideas   big step up for this Chad Brown runner but he does catch a seemingly soft Grade 1..........last two grass races this filly ran in the Big Apple were tough trip wins.......will need a good trip today and Rosario is more than capable of giving one

6  Paved   sure like that Van Dyke is on this filly who he has ridden 4 times because he has put this three-year old closer to the front than the other 4 riders (all top turf jocks) that have been aboard......this race really does not have any pace setters so the fractions should be slow and the race has a decent chance of favoring those up close early

9  Californiagoldrush   filly has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts all of which were on the grass.........and as stated above this race really does not have any pace setters so the fractions should be slow and the race has a decent chance of favoring those up close early.......and Pratt will likely grab one of the 1st 4 spots in the early stages

2  Colonia

4  Amandine

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Oracle of Omaha   very strong 1st ever in a dirt race in latest his 4th lifetime start........same distance - different track.......very sharp tightly spaced works in preparation for today......very dangerous with Peter Miller training

7  Macwinnon   best lifetime number in the field which he just popped at Lrc in his latest run on 15 Dec.......like our top choice if he can run as well at SA he should be very strong in this race

4  Runningwscissors   on the improve with each and every race with few reasons not to believe the positive trend can't continue this afternoon..........dangerous sort

2  Mayan Warrior

1  Damiano

 

race 10    average clarity

3  Storming Lady   owns quite a few solid figs for today's lower level and shows the most early gas in the field........trainer is 35% win and 71% in the money MSW to MC with his last 34........draws one the USA's top jocks in Joel Rosario

10  Strengthinnumbers   both lifetime races down the hill (MC75K affairs) are a length or two better than par for today's MC50K level........seems poised for her best running 2nd out following a five month hiatus from the game

6  Etching   away since June but that might be a positive as she popped one strong layoff race on 22 April albeit in a 6 1/2 furlong dirt race......that effort/number is good enough here to be a major player if of course she takes to her 1st on the sod........her pedigree to handle it is better than average

7  Breezy Bee

11  Madaket Sunset

Posted on December 29, 2018 at 7:23 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections