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Santa Anita for Monday 31 December 2018

 

OK card today and New Years Day's card also seems decent. Have some safe fun tonight!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

8  Ayacara   only earned chump change since the 18 July claim for Cerin and company so finally they drop in hopes of cutting into the red ink.......Prat sticks around........blinkers off today which is often a good move for Cerin

10  Offshore   Baltas won 3 and ran 2nd in two other races on yesterday's card.......like our top choice this fellow drops back into claiming to face softer.......and he draws the attention of Rosario and his agent

4  Platinum Equity   needs to stay focused and finish better so first time blinkers turf might help him keep from flattening out in the late stages of this race.......should get a nice ground saving trip thru turn one as the three starters inside of him lack early speed

6  All I Can Say

7  Friendly Steve

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Trappiza   ran much better in her last two races which were both at today's 7F distance......4L of trip adjustment in her race two back and 6 lengths of trip adjustment in her latest getting squeezed at the start and running wide.....new jock up today

2  Here'slookinatya   caught an off track in her 1st on conventional dirt as the 4 to 5 favorite at Lrc at one MC level higher and ran a close 2nd.......if she prefers a fast track she should run more like a 4 to 5 shot today

5  Heloise   squeezed back badly at the start of her latest and then showed plenty of run.......that race was also at 7F........she can be a major player with a better break today flying in the late stages of this race

3  Second Fiddle

6  Brite Rivers

 

race 3    average clarity

7  King Abner   vastly improved since switching to route racing albeit on the dirt........but he ran just fine in his only grass race to date in a 5F affair at Dmr last summer (running 3rd by a length) where the two horses that beat him came back to win......good rider/trainer combo in Baze/D'A

1  He Will   2 for 4 at one mile on the grass.......2 for 13 at all other grass distances.......and he faces the softest field that he has seen in many a moon........should by motoring late as usual

3  Brandothebartender   trainer is often at his most dangerous with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver and/or the 1st time he runs a given horse "long"......both are the case today

4  Accountability

 

race 4    above average clarity

4  Route Six Six   very powerful 1st at a route last Feb in his 3rd lifetime start.......ran much better than par for the MSW level despite a wide trip in a tough field......works hint he is ready off of the 9 month hiatus.......if he is he will be one tough cookie

2  Justin's Quest    Baltas won 3 and ran 2nd in another race teaming up with Prat on yesterday's card.......that bodes well for this colt who is on the improve with each and every race......should be in the mix from the get go

6  Caribbean   strong race 2nd out after a break on August 30th......2nd out after a break again today.......1st time Mike Smith.......might be a player here

3  Aced

 

race 5    average clarity

9  North County Guy   Prat/Baltas at it again with this three year old Cal-bred who won by a widening 5 3/4 lengths in his 1st to date on the majestic SA hill grass course........away since the late October race but his a.m. work says he is ready to roll.......faces open company today but his effort/number down the hill fits

3  Count Alexander   away since Nov of 2017 but he has put in many tightly spaced drills suggesting he is returning fully fit for his return to the race wars.......that and he won his debut at WO by 4L......and he showed a liking to the SA turf course running a close 2nd in a 100K Stakes in the fall of 2017

8  Luke's On Fire   solid return to races off of a layoff in his latest in a 5F grass race at Del Mar........and he won his only race on the SA hill grass course........might be poised for his best ever 2nd out after a layoff

7  Mesut

2  Paddock Pick

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Divine Dharma   scenario here (making for a top selection) is that this filly had a needed sprint tune-up on 4 Oct in her 1st at SA to sharpen up for her 26 Oct route race at SA......she won that race by 15L earning a number that would crush these.......so her only race at SA where she was meant is terrific.......working well on the SA track.......hmmmm

4  Diose   speed of the speed and she gets one significant rider upgrade.......filly should appreciate the cut back in distance.......gate to wire shot here for this Pender two year old

3  Sass Machine   believe Bill Morey made a good claim here (and he is 21% win in his last 120 1st out following a claim) as Papaprodromou usually takes his time with his young horses.........which says that this filly should some upside

7  Kate's Princess

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Mongolian Window   Van Dyke likely chose this filly over Baffert's horse (our 3rd choice) hinting this Peter Miller filly is ready for another strong race off of a 7 1/2 week break.......7 drills over that span including a strong 7F work supports the notion

1  Tell Me More   double barrel action from the Miller barn as he also trains our top choice.......this filly is ultra consistent as she has hit the board in all 9 2018 races and on 3 different surfaces........that and she also is 8 for 8 lifetime in the money on the grass.......1st as far as 9F today but her pedigree and her running lines suggest she will appreciate the added distance

4  Super Patriot   Cal-bred has run quite a few efforts that fit fine in open company at the non winners allowance level........Van Dyke lands on the 8 horse but Rosario jumps aboard......that'l do just fine

7  Don't Blame Judy

9  Katherine

 

race 8    below average clarity

13  Dual Account   tepid top choice........ but....... a dangerous looking work tab for this Palma 1st timer who has won with with quite a few MC 1sters this year with similar work regiments.........as in copious prolonged weekly drills

2  Loud Mouth   SCRATCHED OUT  very solid history for Michael Machowsky racing MSW to MC which this colt is doing for his 2nd lifetime endeavor........Baze wisely sticks around

5  John's Intuition   1st timer from the Bonde barn is training well enough to possible be ready enough to win at 1st asking......that and mom has tossed 5 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner......decent trainer/rider combo to boot

4  C J My Boy

9  Scrappy Deville

14  Jack's Reign

 

 

Posted on December 31, 2018 at 9:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections