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Santa Anita for Saturday 2 February 2019

Smart move by the racing office dumping the grass races and putting up a few extra dirt races. Should be a boatload of grass races next weekend. A very sloppy track is likely for today. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   average clarity

3  Raul Rosas   strong MSW debut in 2017........next start on 4 Jan 2019 is dull but not that bad as he was caught wide on a day the rail was somewhat biased......works since hint he might have benefited from the layoff run.......shot to wire if he can put away the one horse

4  Nap Lajoie   decent better than it looks (on a good rated track) in his latest which was at a route.........trainer is stout sprint-route-sprint and that is the case today.......should be motoring late

1  Red Envelope   should sit close and might even lead our top choice if he can overcome a difficult post at 6 1/2F to break from .......but I believe he will take back some and attempt to stalk

5  Cyclometric

 

race 2   below average clarity

2  Denman's call   trainer is better than average 1st out following a claim which is the case here.....that and he has handled off tracks in the past fairly well......good sign that Bejarano rides thru the claim

1  Kochees   small drop should help and I like that he is still competing at a higher level than Hollendorfer took him for 3 races back.......1st on an off track is a ? mark......but it seems like a positive as he has handle AW, turf & fast real dirt

5  Beantown Boys   last is strong but he was a voided claim........hopefully he has had enough time off to fix what ailed him........the fact he steps up and Maldonado stays put hints that he has

 

race 3   average clarity

3  Pioneerof the West   just won on an off track at SA and earned a number that fits well at today's higher level and the race was also at today's 8F.........same rider with 2 lbs less to carry......such a deal

4  Carville   exited the same race as our top choice where he finished 6L behind him.....but the effort was not as bad as it appears as he dueled on what appeared to be a somewhat dull inside.......not impossible to turn the tables on our top pick today

6  Mucho Besos   needs more than his latest but drops and gets a rider upgrade......considering this fellow is now 10 the drop makes sense.........in fact if I owned him he would be in a 10K or lower........not too many folks want to claim a 10-year-old

2  Holland Road

 

race 4   average clarity   

5  Tyfosha   one of her top lifetime races was run on an off track and was at SA 5 races back........she seems at her best competing at 6F or less and she has run further than that in her last 3 races......cut back in distance and off going today......such a deal

4  Team Hollywood   trainer is very deadly when he gives a laid up horse a race at GG and then ships.....that is the case today and he ships off of two straight bullet works on the AW at GG........believe she is primed and ready for her 1st ever on conventional dirt

7  Tiz Toffee   good history for this filly sprinting on the dirt when she draws to the outside (4 1 2 1)......outside start today.....she should sit on or close to the lead if she handles her 1st ever in the goo.......pedigree for it seems adequate

1  No Wine Untasted

 

race 5   average clarity

5  Omaha Beach   powerful 1st on the dirt in latest stumbling some at the start and pressing the pace a little too far off a biased inside......dynamite works since.........Prat stays put for the fifth time in a row

8  One Bad Boy   solid sprint debut and he is well-bred to run decently at a route and an off track.....and Baltas is awfully good 1st time he sends a given horse long

7  Moonoverthebayou   solid wake-up in latest and Hess wisely puts him back in the MSW ranks.......distance is somewhat of a question mark but not significant enough to not make him a contender

4  Alleva

1  Polar

 

race 6   average clarity

6  Nolo Contesto   bet very hard and did not disappoint.......and he had to overcome a wide trip on a day the inside was slightly biased.....and he beat our top choice in race 5.......how did that choice do?

2  Magnificent McCool   big move forward turf to dirt last fall........turf win in last and a dirt race today.....that and one hot trainer in Doug O'Neill

5  Mucho Gusto   seems loose unless the sloppy track isn't to his liking........Baffert with a route speed three-year old in G3 affair........that is one dangerous proposition for the opposition

4  Gunmetal Gray

 

race 7   below average clarity

2  Camzul   good spot for a 1st time starter and this colt is out working everyone in this weak looking group at least on paper........and his trainer used to pop at a price now and then albeit quite a few years back

6  Ministersdon'tlie   horrid start in his debut and then showed some life from there and it was on an off track......improved a.m. since.......interesting play if he can break well today out of the metal monster

8  Royal Aspirations  wide trip on a decent rail day hides the strength of his 2nd lifetime start.......that and he showed some early gas which might come in handy on an off track providing he takes to one

3  Calder Vale

1  Command the Moment

 

race 8   average clarity

4  Parsimony   both lifetime races at SA fit solidly here.....like the turf to dirt scenario especially with two solid works showing since his 5 January race.........hot trainer in O'Neil......decent off track pedigree

5  My Mandate   consistently shows good early speed in his races which usually is a plus on off tracks........would have considered top pick is his sire wasn't only 1 for 15 to date with "mud" runners

8  Norski   he has shown he can handle an off track and his race two back is very solid and was the only time he has had the opportunity to run at today's 6 1/2 furlongs.......good rider/trainer combo and they are often under-bet

7  C Falls

3  Scalper

 

race 9   average clarity

8  Battle of Midway   (6 4 2 0) in two turn races since Hollendorfer but the blinkers on this five-year old including a win in the BC Mile......also like that he has handled outside post draws well in two turn races

7  McKinzie   quite the rebound in his latest and bet like everyone saw it coming except yours truly and I am a big McKinzie fan........hard to split top but placed him 2nd mostly because our top choice is proven on the off going and "Kinzie" is not

4  Shivermetimbers   like the turf to dirt set up for today ........and.........the only time he was on an off track he stalked an extremely hot pace and still hung on for 2nd and 2nd to the horse of the year (and maybe the decade) in Justify

3  Dabster

1  Pavel

 

race 10   average clarity

5  Isee It in Hiseyes   good off track run in latest at 6F......and he seems at his best at 5 1/2F.......so hopefully running 5 1/2F on today's (likely) off track is as good as it gets for this Deleon colt

1  Candyman Garret   it has been 5 months since Mullins claimed this colt but he drops one level for his return to the race wars and the works hint he is returning ready

4  Das Bear   away since his 2nd lifetime start where he graduated at Emd in what has turned out to be a very key race......trainer is decent with shippers..........gelding owns some early speed.......seems dangerous if he handles the off going

10  Cayate

2  Advantegeous

 

 

 

Posted on February 1, 2019 at 3:55 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections