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Santa Anita for Friday 8 February 2019

So so card today as you can tell by the "clarity ratings" but Saturday's is very nice with 6 grass races carded and three of them are Graded affairs.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Lead Star   trainer Keith Desormeaux is having one heck of a SA meeting (33 9 5 5) and has been especially tough when legging up his brother Kent.........three year old colt is 2 for 3 at Santa in 3 route dirt races.......1st dirt sprint at SA is a ? mark but not much of one the way the trainer has been producing this year at SA

1  Runningwscissors   colt has run well off of short rest in past.......returns off of a 2nd place finish at the 25K level in a race run just 13 days ago at SA........small drop to 20K today.......1st at 7F is a ? mark

5  Gleybar   another who has yet to run at the somewhat specialized extended sprint distance of 7F so like our top two picks 7F is a ? mark.........not much effort/fig wise in latest.......but.......his race two back is strong and a fit effort/number wise at today's level

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Mybluebell   blinkers on in latest was a bust........they are off today and this Hess filly drops into claiming for the 1st time.......and gets a rider upgrade.......filly has yet to hit the board in 6 turf starts but her efforts/figs earned in her 4 USA races look fairly good at today's softer level

2  Wind Tartare   very bad trip in the 10 Jan. version of this race earning a Santucci Fig that is a length better than par........rider upgrade and a better post.......would have been top selection if I wasn't slightly leery of her ability to run off of relatively short rest

5  Mongolian Window   little shot in latest as she stalked and then pressed a nasty set of fractions for the given day.......switch to the top bug boy but he gave this filly a bad trip the only time he rode her (lost to our top choice in the 20 July race) or would have considered higher

3  Subic Bay

 

race 3   average clarity

2  Mistressofthenight   SCRATCHED OUT  here is our comment prior to her last racing endeavor, "after dropping this mare way down in claiming to 8K Baltas sees fit to move this gal up 4 claiming levels to 20K.......that hints she came out of the race in good shape and that a significant rebound can occur this afternoon".......well she ran a good race and might have won with a better trip.......bullet work since and drops one notch.......Rosario wisely stays put

6  Majestic Diva   on the improve and trainer Bernstein sees fit to step up his five-year old mare once again......she went off at very generous odds in her latest........might be overlooked some again

4  Award it   drops to 16K one notch below the 20K level that Cerin claimed this mare for........the drop makes sense as she has hardly earned her keep and can wipe out the red ink today racing at a distance where she is 3 for 4

 

race 4    below average clarity

8  Storming Lady   both lifetime grass races down the majestic SA hill fit fairly well in this spot......and she was just claimed by Alfredo Marquez who put a good-looking 5F gate work into her.......seems well prepared today to handle the MC50K to MSW class hike

2  Magical Gray   filly has consistently run well in her grass races but has yet to graduate.......she runs off of her 1st break since she debuted on 19 August.......not sure how she will respond off of the 2 1/2 month hiatus from the game but if she is fully fit she has as a good a shot of winning this race as anyone

4  Smoovie   both lifetime races on the SA hill are better than they appear in print and fit fine if Gutierrez manages to give her a better trip.......work tab hints she is ready.......her results seem up to the rider who is in a mini-slump

3  Persepolis

7  Ficanas

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Lieutenant Dan   not too many MSW breaking wins for young Cal-breds run in 109:2 like this 8L winner ran in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st at SA..........1st at a route but his pedigree to handle one for a Cal-bred is not great but seems decent enough........Miyadi is an impressive 21% win coming off a maiden win

2  Occam's Razor   went off 1 to 2 in his MSW debut way back in June and came home a winner.........away since but likely will be bet hard again off of a prolonged work regiment which includes a stellar 58:3H

1  Forestation   race 2 back produced 4 next out winners which includes this colt who ran a one mile time that is better than par for today's level.......and remember the top two picks have never seen anything close to a route distance wise

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  Offshore   SCRATCHED OUT  on the improve with every start since Baltas took over the training duties of this gelding 3 races back.....last fits very well at today's higher level.....Rosario lands on the other Baltas runner (our 2nd pick) which seems peculiar but not enough to put this fellow anywhere but on top.......Pratt will do

4  Ice Katt   last win for this five-year old came the last time he ran off a long layoff like today.....and the fact Rosario lands on him instead of our top choice (which he won for fun on) supports the notion he is ready to roll

3  Wildshire Dude   monster dirt race in latest and he sure appears better on the dirt than the turf to yours truly........but if I am wrong about that and he displays the energy/effort that he produced in his last he should have been the top pick-a-rue

8  Falcone

6  Encumbered

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Spokane Eagle   last race might do the trick which was the 1st out following the Miller claim for only 20K.......gets in very light for today's significant rise in class........Peter Miller magic might be in the cards once again

2  Ax Man   very unusual 7 race record.......best this Baffert gelding has been able to do in 4 Graded races is two distant 3rd's in two Grade 3's.......in his 3 non-Graded races he has won all 3 by 6 3/4 lengths or more.......and of course this is not a Graded race

5  Shivermetimbers   might feel really good coming off of a turf tightener in latest.......and his only race at today's 7F distance was run as a two-year old and is better than it appears.......that and Mike Smith sticks around

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Sea of Liberty   exits a fairly fast MC50K on the grass where this gelding earned a fig that is par like for the three-year old state-bred MSW level......and you have to like the confidence that Sadler shows to step him up......and Rosario wisely sticks around......better post today......hard not to like

10  Mobou   solid one mile grass races in open MSW affairs in his last two........mostly placed as 2nd choice as Smith has a somewhat difficult post to cope with.......on the other hand this colt might have enough early gas to clear all or most by  turn one

1  Posterize   very solid MSW debut but his 2nd lifetime start isn't so hot.......1st on the sod and at a route today with an average pedigree for both.......he needs the energy he showed in his debut and if he gives it and takes to a turf route he has a good post in which to get the job done........and.......just might be the one to beat

5  Brix

4  Scrappy Deville

 

 

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 8:31 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections