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Santa Anita for Thursday 28 February 2019

The track maintenance crew peeled back the track's cushion to a depth of approximately five inches to examine the base to try to get some clues as to why the track might have caused an unacceptable number of fatalities following all the rain this winter. So that hints that we might get a track that plays different then it has been playing since the track dried out and became a fast racing surface about 10 days ago.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Greater Glory   just popped her lifetime best in her 1st on the turf in the Jan. 27 version of this race......and the strength of the effort is disguised by a bad trip (shuffled back early on and then ran wide).....same energy/effort today with a decent trip might make for a visit to the winner circle

3  Sugary   trainer seldom wins these days including a record at SA this year of (8 0 0 0)........but.......he might here with this mare dropping to a level where she should be stout at if she holds form

1  Trappiza   best couple of lifetime figs were run on the grass which she hasn't seen for a very long time........trainer has won 1 of his last 2 with the other hitting the board stepping up multiple levels like today.........hmmmm

 

race 2   average clarity 

3  Don't Sell   if all three of the 1st timers in this race don't show early speed this 3rd time starter is going to open up a lead and be very dangerous.........and........the only 1st timer that works as if she has some speed is the one horse

2  Dr Wysong   both lifetime races are good (one on the dirt and one on the turf) and with today's rider Flavien Prat up........Prat and the D'A seem do as a combo as they have only won once with their last 12 over the last 2 months

5  Our Romance   double barrel action from the D'Amato barn as he also trains our 2nd choice.......1st time starter seems cranked up and likely ready for his MSW debut off of 4 very tightly spaced drills averaging only 5 days apart

 

race 3    below average clarity

2  Raging Tiger   lifetime best of 4 races was the only opportunity this colt had to compete down the SA hill grass course........that is also the case today and with 1st time Mike Smith up for his only mount of the day

4  Overdue   like D'Amato's 1st timer in race 2 this gelding also appears meant and ready for his MSW debut.......but I would like this fellow even more if the race was on the dirt instead of the turf as his pedigree for it is questionable........but than again the D'A is one of the better turf trainers in S Cal

3  Cajun Treasure   3 of 4 lifetime races were run on the turf and are decent......and the rider who rode those 3 races isn't anywhere close to as good a turf rider as today's jock Joel Rosario is.......1st down the hill is a ? mark

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Sergio   solid awakening in his latest (on a good rated track) 1st out following the Steven Miyadi claim........reassuring 5F drill since......drops back to the 20K maiden level that he snatched up this five-year old for.......unless the "off track" is the main reason for the improvement he should be tough

4  Victor's Show   3 of 4 lifetime dirt races look good here.....and......he beat our top choice in his latest but I assigned him a figure that was a length less than that earned by our top pick

2  Captain N. Barron   very consistent but he sure has turned out to be a hanger with 10 in the money finishes but zero wins in 17 starts.........but there is a small chance that he can get a loose lead and if he does there won't be anyone in front of him to "hang" on

3  Raggy Rocks

 

race 5    below average clarity

5  Sidecheering   solid very surprising MSW debut in open company from a barn that you wouldn't expect much from (as witnessed by the 28 to 1 odds in a field of 7).......if she runs as well on the grass as she did on the slop on Feb. 3rd she is the one to beat

3  Weather Market   takes quite the step up but this is a soft group and this mare's 4 route grass races don't look bad in this spot

6  Smoovie   three solid grass efforts down the SA hill grass course........if she runs as well in today's turf route she might be rated too low.......but......she does flatten some in the late stages of her races down the hill so I am touch leery about her ability to get 8F

4  Radish

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Plan B   Maldonado is dynamite with speed types drawing outside posts in sprints.......three year old filly has been away 4 months been she is training up to snuff.......and as the saying goes "fresh speed is dangerous speed"

3  Just Splendid   toss out last two races as one was on a sloppy track and the other on the turf with a poor pedigree for it........MC debut 3 back on a fast race dirt fits fine......should be in the mix from the get go

2  Sierra Sunset   toss out latest as this filly disliked two turns......back to a sprint where all three of her lifetime races fit.......should be motoring late

 

race 7    above average clarity

3  Surfside Sunset   significant wake-up in his latest earning an adjusted for trip Santucci fig that is about 4 1/2L better than par for today's level.......only grass race is so so....but Rosario and his agent must feel she can do OK on the grass as he jumps aboard making for a significant rider upgrade

5  Candyman Garret   filly has run better 2nd out after breaks but if she breaks the mold today off of a 6 month layoff she will be the one to overcome as her only 5F grass race looks rather good in this spot

1   Rocky Rogue   filly should be in the mix from the get go......she just needs a little more staying power.....maybe she will provide it racing 2nd out following a layoff today

4  According to Buddy

 

race 8    average clarity

6  You Must Chill   all three lifetime one mile turf route races fit well here.......and his preparatory 5F drill for today is vastly better than what this fellow put in prior to those three efforts.......seemingly has a shot to show even better this afternoon

1  Seven Oxen   colt was predictably caught wide on turn one having to deal with the 9 post and with the rail out 20 feet........much better post today for Maldonado to cope with........seems likely to get a close up ground saving trip......such a deal

4  Mofakker   believe Glatt has this invader from Ireland ready to roll because if he was giving his new three-year old a race he would protect this youngster in a MSW affair.......and he gets Rosario to ride who has won 2 of his last 6 (and with the other 4 hitting the board) for the conditioner

8  Resident Liberal

3  Silent Musketier

 

 

 

Posted on February 28, 2019 at 6:41 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections