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Golden Gate for Saturday 16 March 2019

I am holding back my opinion of the upcoming changes at SA & GG until some of the dust settles except to say I have been an advocate of what the Stronach Group intends to do to clean up the sport for the last four decades but I hope they aren't implementing all the changes too quickly instead of in stages.

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Good card today handicapping wise but it is a bit disconcerting that the track was inside speed on Thursday and outside late runners yesterday. I handicapped the track for being even/fair. Sure hope that is what we get.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Princessdiane    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  Morey is one dangerous trainer MSW to MC and that is the case here for this 2nd time starter.......that and he is 2 for 3 when legging up 10 lbs bug boy Jorge Velez

4  Indian Dancer   another trainer in Badilla who has many relevant stats for this race that are strong........blinkers on and better recent a.m. work that hint this filly has responded to the equipment change in a positive way

1  Lead Actress   gimme go (sprint to route) led to a nice 3rd place finish for this filly in her 2nd lifetime start......and for her 3rd lifetime start she switches riders to a fellow who is 3 for his last 7 riding for Steve Sherman

5  Rouge Bouquet

2  Early Morn

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Ultra Fame   best early speed in this abbreviated sprint of only 5F and with a 10 lbs bug boy up who looks decent in the saddle so far.........hard not to like but might be over bet for such a cheap level

3  Conejos   might be poised for better 2nd out after a long layoff........and if he is he should be sitting pretty stalking our top selection.......quite a few of his visits to the winners circle came from stalking the lead

1  Sierra Dance   low percentage trainer and rider (at the GG meeting) team up.......but on the other hand 5 furlongs of synthetic race track seems like a good fit for this five-year old

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Little Jack   7 for 27 on the GG AW........0 for 35 racing everywhere else........2nd out after a layoff and the meets top gun stays put........sounds good to me

1  Smoke and Burn    five-year old gelding has not hit the board for 10 straight races.......so drops multiple levels to likely be very competitive.........or.........claim me please.........we shall likely see about 1:45 p.m. pacific

4  And Then Some   beaten badly but at least this fellow exits two straight "key" races........not impossible but easy to make as our 3rd selection

7  Hong Kong Cowboy

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Mithqaal   not much speed in here and he owns some.......and if he doesn't get the lead he has a good history pressing or stalking the front end.......meets leading rider and trainer are shooting for three straight wins with is this fellow

2  Bella Luma   4 for 9 on the GG AW and 1 for 11 everywhere else.......not too hot back in short rest but he has run some strong efforts with ample time between starts like his race 3 back at GG.........7 weeks since his latest.....sharp a.m. works......should be "live"

4  Camino Del Paraiso   last two races at today's 1 1/16th distance on the GG AW (3 back and 8 back) fit well here........same jock who rode those two efforts is aboard today

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Turnaround   four-year old appears sharp for his 1st out following the Baker claim as he just worked a bullet 5F drill 8 days ago.......he likely will try to kick loose as the best early speed in the field and hold off the Calvary charge late

5  Fantastic Aragorn   believe the longer rest between starts today will help this six-year-old to move forward.......if it does he has some shot at getting his 2nd lifetime win

1  Bright Autism Mind   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE if our top selection doesn't get the lead this four-year old gelding likely will......but I actually believe the plan will be to stalk our top choice.....if that is what occurs it should enhance the chances of both

7  Kaleidoscope Kid

 

race 6    average clarity

2  That's Bind Baba   1st time starter has hit the track every 6 to 8 days dating back to last year........and he just finished up his work regiment with a best of 47 5F bullet drill........feeling good when it counts the most as in just prior to his debut.......trainer won with a 1st timer as our top choice yesterday despite a brutal trip

5  Camzul   here is the comment for this colt's (our top selection) debut, "good spot for a 1st time starter and this colt is out-working everyone in this weak looking group at least on paper........and his trainer used to pop at a price now and then albeit quite a few years back".........debut fits well here and his a.m. work at Slr since his debut is solid......will he handle the GG AW is a ? mark

4  One Salty Dog   decent MC debut for this three-year old.......and gets a positive rider change.......should be a factor in the outcome of this MC25K affair if he builds off of his debut

3  Nolan's Harbor

1  Tiz Toussaud

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Missionelle   seven-year old mare has been in the exacta 11 of 21 racing on the GG synthetic..........and she has a win & a 2nd in 2 starts (both on the GG AW) at today's distance.....and both of those races seem solid in this spot

4  Sought More Pep   Dallas Keen five-year old mare will likely go after the lead which likely would enhance her chances of success........ but........she has also won without it in the past.......5 for 15 at GG on the AW and only 2 for 13 everywhere else.........not out of the win picture by any means......pun intended

2  Fabriana   seems like a good claim by John Martin of a four-year old filly who has been on a roll.......and Martin is an eye-popping 38% win with his last 175 "1st following a claim"........dangerous player for sure

7  Revenue Virginius

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Double Tiger   gets the "full monty" here........takes the magical drop from MSW to MC......runs as a gelding for the 1st time........gets the meets leading jock for the 1st time.........gets to run off of ample time off since popping his strongest race of his career on 4 November

2  Awesome Ain't Easy   compromised as the favorite in the 23 Feb version of this race by a bad trip........that and the cut back in distance appears to be a plus

3  Johnny Runner   dangerous looking work tab for this Victor Garcia 1st time starter who seldom gets them ready at 1st asking but that might not be the case today

9  Mountain Dance

5  Melchior

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Honeymoonz Over   brutal trip in latest......toss it out.......very strong efforts/numbers in his previous three racing endeavors.......and back to Figueroa who was aboard for two of those races

5  Hill Croome   solid history when Cediio rides (4 2 1 1).........five-year old gelding does well stalking the lead and he should be able to do that here

4  Twirling Tiger   last two races when he had the opportunity to race on fast rated dirt in sprints fit very well here.......and he has shown he can race just fine on synthetic surfaces as well.......10 lbs apprentice Velez is off to a good start

9  Royal Opera House

3  Mo Soul

 

race 10    average clarity

1  Cattering   great spot for a speed horse who has handled the one post well in the past and only has 5 furlongs to cope with........rider trainer have won 3 of their last 8 with two others hitting the board

8  Phantomista   sure appreciates racing at 5F at GG as in 2 wins and a 2nd in 4 starts at the abbreviated sprint distance.......low percentage rider but he has as a good history aboard this filly

7  Artattack   last sure appeared to be a gimme off of the layoff.......and look who jumps aboard today - meetings top gun so far in Abel Cedillo

6  Propeppy

2  It Girl

Posted on March 16, 2019 at 7:20 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections