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Santa Anita for Saturday 11 May 2019

Hope the rain stays away today or at least doesn't amount to much so as not to mess with either racing surface.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  Our Romance   MSW debut two back is decent but her latest is not.....needs a rebound and needs to handle her 1st on the sod.......works hint she might mount a bounce back.....pedigree suggests she should handle the green carpet.......we shall see

8  Stylin Ocean   tough post especially for a low % turf rider but this filly appears to have the best off pace ability in the field and might still have a shot at the circle of joy even with a 3 wide trip.......doubt she can overcome anything wider than that

1  Spanish Channel .three-year old filly "stayed on" much better in her latest with the addition of the blinkers.......and that race was at 8F on the turf and this girl seems better suited to sprinting on the grass.....should be one big price considering the connections

5  Lucky Ms Jones

4  Rosey Sky

 

race 2    average clarity

1  The Rule of King's  the only three races when up for a tag led to (3 1 2 0)........up for a tag today and at the lowest price so far.......last race fits and he owns some back numbers that are quite a bit better than his last.......low % trainer but he is doing slightly better these days

4  Senditlikechilly   gelding fired his lifetime best in his latest running a par like number for today's level.......it was his 1st race in 8 1/2 months so he might show even more today 2nd out after the layoff......hot rider/trainer combo the last two months as in 2 wins from 4 starts and the other 2 managed to hit the board........very dangerous sort

6  Vintage Hollywood   consistently closes down on the leaders when sprinting on the dirt........ran 2nd at one level lower in his last and today he gets a significant rider upgrade

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Coldwater  solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime off of 30 days rest.......so 2nd out after a break might move her forward again (36 days rest) and considering her latest was a decent endurance building 9F turf race she has the potential to be tough maiden in this spot

3  Curlin's Journey   my figs for this filly when racing at 9F on the grass suggest it is her best distance and that is somewhat disguised......Dallas Keen is bit snake bit as he is 0 for 14 at the meeting but has 6 second place finishes.....shot for his 1st 2019 win here

4  Surface   very decent MSW debut in the 5 April version of this race as it is never easy to race as far as 9F in a debut race.......likely muscled up and ready to move forward today.......3 runners in this race beat her in her MSW debut but she might turn the tables on them this afternoon

2  Mercy Mercy

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Air Boss  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  sprint debut was decent and hidden by a wide trip on a day the rail seemed slightly biased.......not too hot in his next in a route......but the works since are vastly improved especially considering how deep the SA track is.......should be a price

2  Time Is Now   good near par MSW debut in a 6 1/2F sprint in the slop.........answered the distance question with a fairly decent route turf race as well........sure seems to fit back on the main track unless of course he is a slop move up

4  Always Forgiven  sprint-sprint-route scenario is as dangerous a move in S Cal as it is anywhere in the USA that I know of.........and this fellow is well-bred to handle a distance of ground.......significant rider upgrade to boot

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Causeforcommotion   hard not seeing this consistent mare not being part of the win picture in this affair.......her 3 lifetime races at 10F or greater are 3 of her best lifetime turf races.....trainer is having a very nice go of it in 2019

4  Lynn's Legacy   would like this O'Neill six-year-old mare more if this race wasn't as log as 12 furlongs as she flatten out the only time she ran at the distance......still she seems somewhat dangerous coming off of her lifetime best which was at 10F in a Grade 3 like today......and.......Mr O'Neill has won 8 of his last 16 grass races

5  Guiliana   likely needs more than her latest which was her 1st ever racing in the good old U S of A........and might provide as she may have benefited from the race......and top turf jock Prat stays put

 

race 6    above average clarity

3  Cee Cee   very strong winning time for this filly in her MSW debut considering how slow SA is now.......and the strength of the effort is supported by gaps 2 1/4 and 8 1/4 behind her.........seems like the one to beat if the red-hot Victor Espinoza gives her another clean trip like he did in her debut

4  Lady Ninja   quite the 32K claim by Baltas and company last September as this filly just keeps getting better........her latest is her strongest yet and that is somewhat hidden.......Prat gets back aboard today and the two times he rode this mare for Baltas she won by daylight

5  Tapitha Bonita   (3 1 1 1) on the dirt since the blinkers were taken off and she just popped her lifetime best.......and it seems noteworthy that it was on the revamped Santa Anita surface.....still the top two are rather tough so she likely will need another forward move if she wants to see the winners circle

1  Zusha

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Acclimate  both lifetime turf wins came the only two times this gelding broke from the 1 post and both races were at today's one mile distance........five year old likes to stalk the leaders and should get that position here

4  North County Guy  both lifetime routes are better than they appear in print (dueled in solid pace in last and he was way too wide in his race two back).........he doesn't provide too many clean trips so that is a concern.......but.......if he does get a decent trip he likely is the one to overcome

9  Mongolian Greywolf   toss out this guys last as he dislikes conventional dirt and then some........back where he belongs on the grass today........he has plenty of early speed and Martin Garcia (improving of late) best utilize it so that he doesn't get caught wide on the 1st turn

6  Quick Finish

8  Foray

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Caxexman  colt has an abundance of early speed and he was never faster than in his last where he dueled in a brutal set of fractions.....he did well to hang on for 3rd.....gave him 6L of pace adjustment which made for a Santucci fig that was 3 lengths better than par......Cerin wisely gives him plenty of time off to recover from the "leg pounding" and his a.m. work hints he is ready........he looks loose on a reasonably lead today

2  Desert Law  away nearly 11 months but he is training at SA as if he fit and ready to roll and liking the deep SA surface......he put in back to back stellar longer drills of 6F and then 7F only a week apart.......very consistent sort in the p.m. retains jock Bejarano who won on him when last seen on 24 June

5  Once Whiskey  another who is impressing me in the a.m who has been absent from the game for awhile.........four year old showed some talent at three for Baffert and company and he sure appears to appreciate the new deeper going at SA and might show improvement because of it

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Rayray   MSW 1st timer starter in training as if he is all set for his debut with a prolonged work regiment with a few hints that he might have some good early speed........and he sure is bred exceptionally well to handle a turf sprint......and he draws Pratt

1  Seeking Refuge   lone turf sprint was run in his debut and at today's 5f distance at Del Mar and was decent........away since November but working as is he is ready to roll........posts 1 and 2 have been dominating the 5F turf distance at SA of late

11 AE  Secret Courier  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  tough post if he draws into the field but he has the kind of early speed that might be able to clear all or most by the turn and not get caught too wide.......likely one of the candidates for the winners circle if that is what occurs

3  Music to My Ears

8  Gate Speed

2  Babael 

 

Posted on May 11, 2019 at 9:46 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections